Invited Experts on Israel and Hamas Question

Baruch Avatar Image Pnina Sharvit Baruch, Adv. Senior Researcher Institute for National Security Studies, Israel

Misusing the Crime of Genocide in the Israel–Hamas Conflict

The definition of genocide comprises two elements: a physical element of “acts” and a mental element of “intent.” The acts must be deliberate acts. In addition, the definition requires the establishment of specific and special intent—dolus specialis—to destroy, “in whole or in part the group as such.” Hence, in order for genocide to be established, the intent—required for each of the individual acts listed in the definition—must be accompanied by a special intent to destroy the protected group.

This specific intent is an essential characteristic of genocide, which distinguishes it from other serious crimes, […] and of “other reasons or motives the perpetrator may have. Great care must be taken in finding in the facts a sufficiently clear manifestation of that intent.” Accordingly, widespread acts of killing or causing other serious harm do not constitute genocide in the absence of such specific and special intent, although they may certainly amount to other serious international crimes, such as war crimes or crimes against humanity.

Summary

Israel and Hamas are engaged in a full-scale war that began with the brutal attack led by Hamas against Israel on October 7, 2023. This war involves active fighting in the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip. In addition, Israel is being attacked by other proxies of Iran, namely Hezbollah and its affiliates operating from Lebanon and Syria, and the Houthis attacking from Yemen. This armed conflict has led to a harsh reality for both Israelis and Palestinians. In Israel the traumatized public is still mourning the thousands who were murdered or severely wounded in the horrific attack of October 7th and of those killed and injured since then in the fighting that has ensued and the rocket attacks that have continued from the south and the north of the country. Hamas still holds as hostages over 130 Israelis who were kidnapped from their homes and from an open-air party, including children, elderly people, and young women and men. Over two hundred thousand Israelis have been forced to leave their homes due to direct threats from Hamas and Hezbollah, and there is a general loss of a sense of security as Israel faces the biggest threat to its existence since the creation of the State seventy-five years ago. In the Gaza Strip, there is massive destruction, tens of thousands of persons killed and injured, over a million and a half internally displaced persons who have left their homes in combat areas and a dire humanitarian situation.1

The Office of the Prosecutor (OTP) of the International Criminal Court (ICC) has declared that within the current investigation of the situation in “Palestine,” opened in March 2021, potential crimes carried out within the current armed conflict will be examined.2 Some have suggested that this investigation should also cover allegations of genocide. Claims that Israel is committing genocide against the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip have also been raised in the International Court of Justice (ICJ) by South Africa in the case it brought against Israel under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide of 1948 (Genocide Convention). A decision on the merits of the case is likely to take several years, but the Court did issue a number of provisional measures.

In its decision of January 26, 2024 to grant certain provisional measures the ICJ emphasized that:

The Court is not called upon, for the purposes of its decision on the request for the indication of provisional measures, to establish the existence of breaches of obligations under the Genocide Convention, but to determine whether the circumstances require the indication of provisional measures for the protection of rights under that instrument. As already noted, the Court cannot at this stage make definitive findings of fact […], and the right of each Party to submit arguments in respect of the merits remains unaffected by the Court’s decision on the request for the indication of provisional measures.3

In other words, the Court did not make any determination on the actual claims made by South Africa that Israel is in breach of its obligations under the Genocide Convention. This will only be determined at the stage of the examination of the merits of the case.4

In this comment, I examine the validity of accusations of genocide being committed in the context of the Israeli–Hamas conflict. I begin with a description of the factual reality, and then explain the legal components of the crime of genocide. I then examine whether the components of this crime exist in the current conflict. I focus on the conduct of Israel and only briefly address the actions of Hamas. I add some policy considerations and end with a short summary.

Argument

The Factual Background

Following World War I, the Gaza Strip was part of the British Mandate of Palestine until the dissolution of this Mandate in May 1948. The Gaza Strip was then controlled by Egypt until 1967 under a military government. In the course of the war of June 1967, the Gaza Strip came under the control of Israel that established therein a military administration. In 1994, the areas populated by Palestinians in the Gaza Strip were transferred to the jurisdiction of the Palestinian Authority, established under the Oslo Accords concluded between Israel and the PLO.5 This was meant to be a temporary step on the way to a final resolution of the conflict. Unfortunately, attempts to finalize a permanent status agreement failed. One of the main spoilers was Hamas, which intensified its terrorist campaign whenever chances of progress in the peace negotiations seemed more tangible. Any compromise which accepted Israel’s right to exist ran counter to Hamas’s basic tenets.6

In 2005, Israel implemented the Disengagement Plan, withdrew its remaining forces from the Gaza Strip, dismantled the settlements that existed in this area, and relinquished control over Gaza to the Palestinian Authority.7 According to Israeli public statements, the disengagement was aimed to reduce friction with the Palestinian population and improve the Palestinian economy and living conditions.8 Unfortunately, the political and security situation in the Gaza Strip continued to deteriorate. In January 2006, the Hamas organization won the elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council. In June 2007, Hamas took over the Gaza Strip in a violent coup, involving the assault upon and murder of dozens of Fatah officials. Following this coup, Hamas gained control over all the government apparatus in Gaza. Once in control, Hamas intensified its attacks against Israel which led Israel to impose certain limitations on the transfer of goods and on the passage of people between Israel and the Gaza Strip. The border between Gaza and Egypt remained outside Israel’s control, while Israel naturally retained control over the crossings between Israel and Gaza.9

Since the takeover of the Gaza Strip by Hamas, several rounds of military attacks and counterattacks occurred over the years, but Hamas retained its control over the area. It has managed to receive hundreds of millions in international aid, overt and covert injections of cash from Iran and other ideological partners, as well as cryptocurrency, taxes, extortion, and smuggling, according to current and former U.S. officials and regional experts.10 A significant part of this wealth was invested in a buildup of its military capabilities in preparation for its war against Israel.

The current war between Israel and Hamas began with an unprovoked attack led by Hamas against Israel.11 A concise description of this attack was given by Dr. Tal Becker, the legal advisor of Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) in his statement before the ICJ:

On Saturday October 7th, a Jewish religious holiday, thousands of Hamas and other militants breached Israeli sovereign territory by sea, land and air, invading over 20 Israeli communities, bases and the site of a music festival. What proceeded, under the cover of thousands of rockets fired indiscriminately into Israel, was the wholesale massacre, mutilation, rape and abduction of as many citizens as the terrorists could find before Israel’s forces repelled them. Openly displaying elation, they tortured children in front of parents, and parents in front of children, burned people, including infants, alive, and systematically raped and mutilated scores of women, men and children. All told, some 1,200 people were butchered that day, more than 5,500 maimed, and some 240 hostages abducted, including infants, entire families, persons with disabilities and Holocaust survivors, some of whom have since been executed; many of whom have been tortured, sexually abused and starved in captivity.12

The attack by Hamas was the bloodiest in Israel’s history.13 In comparative terms, it is the worst terror attack against a State in recent history.14 As President Biden invoked in his reaction to the attack, it is as if 40,000 to 50,000 Americans had died on 9/11.15 Hamas has officially declared that it will strike Israel “again and again” until it destroys Israel.16

In response to the widespread attack by Hamas, Israel responded by aerial attacks in the Gaza Strip, followed by a ground incursion which began on October 26th. Israel based its forcible response against Hamas on its right to defend its citizens and to secure the release of the hostages. This right was acknowledged by States across the world.17 Israel has also come under attack by Iranian proxies, including Hezbollah from the north and the Houthis from Yemen, with a declared intention to support the military campaign of Hamas.

Due to the continuous threat posed by Hamas, over 155,000 residents of the area in Israel adjacent to the Gaza Strip were compelled to leave their houses. An additional 60,000 Israelis have left their homes close to the northern border between Israel and Lebanon due to attacks by the Hezbollah, leading to more than 215,000 internally displaced Israeli citizens within the borders of Israel.18

The fighting in the Gaza Strip has been going on for four months. Even though Israel has applied extensive force, Hamas still retains its ability to fight the Israeli forces, to fire rockets and mortars towards Israel, and to demonstrate its control over parts of the area.19 To date, 225 Israel Defense Forces (IDF) soldiers have been killed in the military operations inside the Gaza Strip (this does not include the soldiers killed on October 7th inside Israel).20 Hamas has apparently lost thousands of its fighting forces, although the exact number is unknown.21

The Legal Framework

Genocide is considered the most serious crime under international law, often described as the “crime of crimes.”22 It portrays the most heinous of atrocities against humanity, the intentional attempt to annihilate a people. The term “Genocide” was coined by Raphael Lemkin, a polish Jew, whose work to codify the crime of genocide was motivated by his personal experience—the efforts of the Nazis and their collaborators to exterminate the Jewish people.23

Genocide was codified as an independent crime in the Genocide Convention. The definition of the crime of genocide as contained in Article II of the Genocide Convention was adopted by Article 6 of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court (Rome Statute) which defines genocide as follows:

[A]ny of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such:

  1. (a) Killing members of the group;

  2. (b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;

  3. (c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;

  4. (d) Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;

  5. (e) Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.

The definition of genocide comprises two elements: a physical element of “acts” and a mental element of “intent.” The acts must be deliberate acts.24 In addition, the definition requires the establishment of specific and special intent—dolus specialis—to destroy, “in whole or in part the group as such.”25 Hence, in order for genocide to be established, the intent—required for each of the individual acts listed in the definition—must be accompanied by a special intent to destroy the protected group.26

This specific intent is an essential characteristic of genocide, which distinguishes it from other serious crimes, such as persecution or other ordinary crimes against humanity, and of “other reasons or motives the perpetrator may have. Great care must be taken in finding in the facts a sufficiently clear manifestation of that intent.”27 Accordingly, widespread acts of killing or causing other serious harm do not constitute genocide in the absence of such specific and special intent, although they may certainly amount to other serious international crimes, such as war crimes or crimes against humanity.28

The existence of a plan or policy, while not required by the ad hoc tribunals, can be an important factor in inferring genocidal intent. Special intent can also be deduced from circumstantial evidence, including the words and deeds of the perpetrators. Relevant facts and circumstances can include:

[T]he general context, the perpetration of other culpable acts systematically directed against the same group, the scale of atrocities committed, the systematic targeting of victims on account of their membership in a particular group, or the repetition of destructive and discriminatory acts.29

When inferring genocidal intent from a pattern of conduct, it is necessary that this inference be the only reasonable one to draw.30

It is worth noting that the ICC Elements of Crimes, as opposed to the ad hoc tribunals and the Genocide Convention, require also that each of the five enumerated acts in the definition “took place in the context of a manifest pattern of similar conduct directed against that group or was conduct that could itself effect such destruction.”31 In the Bashir arrest warrant decision, the Pre-Trial Chamber stressed that this contextual element “is only triggered when the threat against the existence of the targeted group, or part thereof, becomes concrete and real, as opposed to just being latent or hypothetical.”32

The ICJ made clear in Yugoslavia v. Belgium that the Genocide Convention was not designed to address the brutal impact of intensive hostilities on the civilian population, even when the use of force raises “very serious issues of international law” and involves “enormous suffering” and “continuing loss of life.”33

This was also clarified in the discussions of the drafters of the Genocide Convention:

The infliction of losses, even heavy losses, on the civilian population in the course of operations of war, does not as a rule constitute genocide. In modern war belligerents normally destroy factories, means of communication, public buildings, etc. and the civilian population inevitably suffers more or less severe losses. It would of course be desirable to limit such losses. Various measures might be taken to achieve this end, but this question belongs to the field of the regulation of the conditions of war and not to that of genocide.34

To assess whether the actions by the parties to the ongoing armed conflict between Israel and Hamas have been engaged in acts that might amount to genocide we must examine both the acts and the intent. One must bear in mind that to conclude that a crime of genocide has taken place this must be proven beyond a reasonable doubt.

Applying the Law to the Facts

To be considered genocide, acts must fall into at least one of the five categories listed in the definition of the crime and committed with a specific intent to destroy a particular group as such. These components must be examined in tandem. I examine each of the acts included in the definition and evaluate whether there is ground to conclude that they are taking place within the conflict in the Gaza Strip. Categories (a) and (b) are examined together, followed by an examination of categories (c) and (d). Category (e) is irrelevant to the case.

(a) Killing members of the group;
(b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;

It is claimed that the high number of Palestinian casualties in the Gaza Strip, especially of children and women, who have been killed, injured, or lost family members, proves that Israel has committed an act of genocide under these two categories.

Killing in sub-paragraph (a) means actions that are intended to cause death, although not necessarily planned in advance.35 “Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group” in sub-paragraph (b) refers to harm that must constitute “a grave and long-term disadvantage to a person’s ability to lead a normal and constructive life.”36 Although the harm does not need to be permanent or irreversible, it must exceed mere temporary unhappiness, embarrassment, or humiliation.37

Both categories refer to cases in which the killing, or causing serious bodily or mental harm, is intentional.38 As stressed by the ICJ:

[I]f […] the attacks were exclusively directed at military targets, and that the civilian casualties were not caused deliberately, one cannot consider those attacks, inasmuch as they caused civilian deaths, as falling within the scope of Article II(a) of the Genocide Convention.39

A similar idea was expressed by several states in their official positions on the case between Russia and Ukraine:

The occurrence of civilian casualties during the course of armed conflict is not evidence of genocidal action or genocidal intent, if it is not designed to destroy a group or part of a group.40

In other words, if death or harm are caused unintentionally and are a collateral consequence of an action that has a legitimate military purpose, then these acts will not fall into the definition of genocide.

The question then is whether the high number of casualties in the Gaza Strip indicates that Israel is deliberately killing, or physically or mentally harming, innocent Palestinian civilians with an intent to bring about the destruction of the Palestinians as a group.

According to Hamas figures there are over 27,000 Palestinian casualties in the Gaza Strip. This figure should be treated with caution, as Hamas is hardly a reliable source.41 There are many examples of disinformation, including fake footage of casualties.42

When evaluating the number of casualties, it is important to acknowledge that many thousands of casualties are in fact militants of Hamas and other terrorist organizations.43 In addition, there are civilians who are taking direct part in hostilities, for example by directing terrorists out of tunnels towards IDF soldiers, thus becoming lawful targets under the Laws of Armed Conflict, also known as international humanitarian law (IHL).

Furthermore, civilian deaths are also directly caused by Hamas. There have been reported cases of Hamas purposefully firing towards civilians who were trying to evacuate areas following warning of impending attacks.44 In addition, civilians have been killed as a result of booby traps in houses and alleyways placed by Hamas or from the estimated 1900 rockets misfired by Hamas and other terrorist organizations that landed inside Gaza.45

One telling example is the blast at the Al Ahli Hospital on October 17th. Hamas immediately claimed that the IDF attacked the hospital and killed 500 civilians; headlines around the world rushed to repeat this claim and violent demonstrations erupted. The IDF later proved, and United States intelligence and other national intelligence agencies independently confirmed, that the blast was the result of a failed rocket launch from within Gaza. Interestingly, once this was revealed, the number of claimed casualties from the attack dropped to less than 100.46

Nevertheless, undoubtedly many casualties in the Gaza Strip are the direct result of IDF military operations. The question, for the purpose of the current analysis, is whether it is reasonable to believe that these civilians were intentionally targeted, with an intent to destroy them as a group, or whether there is an alternative reasonable explanation.

Israel has declared time and again that it does not intentionally target civilians, but rather is aiming its attacks and military operation towards lawful military targets, which include militants of Hamas and other terrorist organizations and military infrastructure. It claims that any civilian casualties are a regrettable yet unavoidable result of such attacks.47 In order to assess this explanation, the operational reality of the armed conflict taking place in the Gaza Strip must be understood.

The Gaza Strip has been under Hamas control for the past seventeen years. During these years, Hamas has developed immense military capabilities. These were clearly evident from the high level of sophistication of the October 7th attack. Furthermore, the IDF forces operating in the Gaza Strip since then have uncovered the staggering extent of the military infrastructure Hamas has devised. Hamas has smuggled countless weapons into Gaza and has turned large swathes of the civilian infrastructure into a sophisticated terrorist stronghold. The main feature of this stronghold is a massive warren of underground tunnels, several hundred kilometers in length, throughout the Strip, with thousands of access points and terrorist hubs located in homes, mosques, United Nations facilities, schools, and hospitals.48

Since October 7th, over 11,000 rockets and mortars have been fired towards Israel.49 While Israel’s aerial defenses (Iron Dome) have intercepted many of these, many others have hit residential areas, resulting in death and injury, and causing extensive damage to homes, hospitals, public buildings, and agriculture areas. These rockets and mortars are fired from within civilian buildings, including from places adjacent to sensitive sites like hospitals and U.N. facilities.50 In addition, IDF soldiers operating in the Gaza Strip are constantly being attacked by terrorists ascending from underground tunnels and appearing from civilian buildings. This is not a one-sided operation conducted by a strong military against a weak group of resistance fighters. This is a full-scale war against a sophisticated enemy, deeply entrenched in the combat area which is placed within the civilian infrastructure that is under its control.

Additionally, the tactics of Hamas make it difficult to distinguish between its terrorist operatives and civilians. The terrorist operatives do not wear uniforms and they fight amidst civilians. Hamas is widely estimated to have over 30,000 terrorist operatives fighting on its behalf and is known to bring minors no older than 15 or 16 into its ranks.51 In addition, as mentioned, civilians are often directly involved in assisting Hamas terrorist activities. Furthermore, Hamas has an established practice of using civilians as human shields, including by actively hiding behind civilians.52

All of these facts indicate that the operational environment makes it immensely difficult to fight Hamas terrorists and destroy its military capabilities without causing incidental harm to civilians.

In addition, Israel has presented extensive measures it has taken to minimize harm to civilians from its attacks. According to Israeli official data, the IDF has dropped millions of leaflets over areas of expected attacks with instructions to evacuate and how to do so, broadcast countless messages over radio and through social media warning civilians to distance themselves from Hamas operations, and made over 70,000 individual phone calls, warning of impending attacks.53 Moreover, as presented by the IDF, the air force has routinely aborted attacks when the presence of civilians is detected.54

The significant efforts and resources Israel is investing in minimizing harm to civilians are inconsistent with the claim that it is deliberately targeting civilians. Whether Israel is applying sufficient care to spare civilian lives and whether the attacks meet the principle of proportionality, namely that the expected collateral harm to civilians from the attack is not excessive to the military advantage anticipated from it, are different questions that refer to the adherence to the rules of IHL.

Furthermore, it is worth noting that in cases dealing with genocide, courts have stressed that even when mass killings have been committed, the mere fact that more members of a targeted group could have been killed, but were not, may indicate a lack of the dolus specialis required to prove genocidal intent.55 This makes it even more evident that Israel is far from fulfilling this condition by its conduct in the Gaza Strip. Israel has the means to cause far more damage in the Gaza Strip from the air, if it wished to do so. Instead, it is conducting a complicated combined aerial and ground operation, placing its forces in harm’s way, and enabling Hamas to retain its strongholds. This does not reflect an intention to wipe out the Palestinians in Gaza, not even remotely.

All of the above analysis leads to a clear conclusion that Israel cannot be viewed as engaged in the actions listed in categories (a) and (b) of the definition with a genocidal intention to destroy the Palestinian people.

(c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part

This category covers “methods of destruction that do not immediately kill the members of the group, but ultimately seek their physical destruction.”56 The ICC Elements of Crimes define the term “conditions of life” to encompass, but not necessarily be restricted to, “deliberate deprivation of resources indispensable for survival, such as food or medical services, or systematic expulsion from homes.”57 This category differs from the previous two, as it does not mandate a specific outcome but instead necessitates that the conditions are “calculated” to bring about the intended result.

The claim that Israel is inflicting on the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip “conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part” rests on three main factual circumstances:

  1. the high level of destruction of property stemming from Israel’s military operation in the Gaza Strip;

  2. the calls to large parts of the civilian population to evacuate certain areas, described as forced displacement; and

  3. the dire humanitarian situation, claimed to be the result of depriving access to humanitarian relief.

To fit the definition of genocide an action must be carried out with a deliberate intention to inflict conditions of life calculated to bring about the physical destruction of the group. Therefore, one must examine whether the way Israel is operating indicates such a deliberate intention.

The High Level of Destruction

As already explained, Hamas applies a strategy of using civilian objects and protected sites for military purposes. Houses, schools, mosques, hospitals, United Nations facilities, and shelters are all abused for military purposes by Hamas, including use as rocket launching sites. Hundreds of kilometers of tunnels have been dug by Hamas under populated areas in Gaza. Under the rules of IHL, objects used for military purposes are legitimate targets. This means that the fact that there is widespread damage to buildings and infrastructure in the Gaza Strip due to IDF operations does not necessarily mean that unlawful attacks under IHL have taken place, even when the attacks are directed at seemingly civilian structures.

It is also important to note that much of the damage is compounded by the way Hamas operates. Thousands of buildings were destroyed because they were booby-trapped by Hamas. In addition, targeting tunnels used by Hamas often causes many structures above to collapse. Damage was also caused by over hundreds of indiscriminate terrorist rockets that misfired and landed in Gaza itself.58

Many hospitals in the Gaza Strip have been severely damaged, which impacts the access of Palestinians to medical treatment. Israel has explained that due to the systematic military use of hospitals by Hamas, which is a grave violation of IHL, they have become inevitably engulfed in the fighting. To minimize this risk, it contends, the IDF has reached out to hospitals and offered assistance in relocating patients and staff to safer areas, and has taken much effort to minimize damage and disruption.59 Despite these attempts, damage and harm have occurred to hospitals situated in the vicinity of hostilities. Given the overwhelming evidence of Hamas’s military use of these facilities, the fact that they have been damaged during hostilities cannot serve as proof of an intention to deprive Palestinians of health care, but rather should be considered a direct result of being situated in the heart of an active war zone.

To conclude, harm caused to lawful military objectives, and harm caused as a result of Hamas’ actions of using civilian infrastructure for its military purposes, cannot lead to a conclusion that such damage is caused with a deliberate intention to inflict on the Palestinians conditions of life to bring about their physical destruction. This is so even if one believes that some of the harm could have been avoided. Consequently, it does not fall into category (c) in the definition of genocide.

The Calls to Evacuate Certain Areas

During the military campaign, Israel has called civilians to evacuate certain areas of intensive hostilities. Approximately 1.7 million Palestinian left their homes from the northern part of Gaza to the south. Some had to move several times, as the fighting reached the areas they had moved into.60 The claim is made that this amounts to an unlawful measure of forced displacement. Israel denies this allegation.

Israel contends that this was a measure aimed at protecting civilians from impending attacks. According to Israel, the IDF urged civilians in the north part of the Strip to evacuate to southern Gaza for over three weeks before it started its ground operation. This was done despite the fact that it meant losing the element of surprise and creating operational challenges by providing Hamas with advance knowledge of where and when the IDF would be operating. Israel explains that the IDF maintains a special unit (the Civilian Harm Mitigation Unit) that is tasked with providing advance notice of areas in which the IDF intends to intensify its activities, co-ordinate travel routes for civilians, and secure these routes. The IDF has also enacted localized pauses in its operations to allow civilians to move. It does this even though Hamas does not agree to do the same and has even attacked IDF forces securing humanitarian corridors.61

Evacuation of civilians is recognized under IHL as one of the measures that may be implemented to protect civilians from the effects of ongoing hostilities. Indeed, such evacuation may even amount to a duty that the party to the conflict has toward civilians. While temporary evacuation undoubtedly involves hardship and suffering, it is preferable to remaining in areas of intensive hostilities, all the more so when Hamas makes a concerted effort to use those civilians as human shields.

The explanation given by Israel to the rationale of calling upon civilians to leave the combat zones finds a strong foundation under IHL and is reasonable given the operational reality in the Gaza Strip.62 This does not undermine the fact that the civilians in Gaza are indeed suffering as a result of their uprooting from their houses. However, the mere existence of such hardship cannot substantiate a conclusion that this suffering was the intentional result of this measure. It is in fact a tragic outcome of living in a war zone.

While the notion is unsubstantiated, even if we assume that the actions were intended for ethnic cleansing of the area, such actions, by themselves, would not constitute genocide. This was clearly stated by the ICJ:

Neither the intent, as a matter of policy, to render an area ‘ethnically homogeneous,’ nor the operations that may be carried out to implement such policy, can as such be designated as genocide: the intent that characterizes genocide is ‘to destroy, in whole or in part’ a particular group, and deportation or displacement of the members of a group, even if effected by force, is not necessarily equivalent to destruction of that group, nor is such destruction an automatic consequence of the displacement.63

Similarly, the ICTY ruled that even cases of actual expulsion of a group or part of a group do not necessarily suffice to be considered genocide.64

Admittedly, there are cases in which acts described as ethnic cleansing could amount to genocide, namely when they are carried out with a specific intent to bring about the destruction of the group, as distinct from its removal from the region.65 However, even if one does not accept Israel’s explanation that the evacuation of the Palestinians from the northern part of Gaza was intended to protect them from the effects of the hostilities, it is still baseless to argue that this action indicates that the intention was to bring about their destruction. The efforts made to enable a safe evacuation actually prove the opposite.

Therefore, it seems untenable to conclude that the evacuations of civilians in the context of the current war can be viewed as carried out with a deliberate intention to bring about the physical destruction of the Palestinian group, as required to fit into category (c) of the definition of genocide.

The Humanitarian Situation

The ongoing intense armed conflict has created a dire humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip. Unfortunately, this is one of the most common outcomes of a war conducted in a densely populated urban area.

IHL places certain obligations on parties to a conflict to enable the introduction of humanitarian relief to enemy territory. The analysis of the extent of this obligation goes beyond the scope of this comment, but is also unnecessary, since Israel has declared that it is committed to helping international organizations, and States involved in aid efforts, to alleviate the humanitarian crisis beyond what the law requires. Israeli officials have explained that Israel maintains a dedicated military unit, called COGAT, responsible for routine co-ordination with international organizations in Gaza with respect to various humanitarian aspects.

Israel has repeatedly declared publicly that there is no limit on the amount of food, water, shelter, or medical supplies that can be brought into Gaza. It has also stated that it continues to supply its own water to Gaza by two pipelines and has repaired water infrastructure that was damaged by the fighting, including by Hamas fire. Israel has also declared that it is constantly working to reinforce and strengthen medical services in Gaza, including by establishing field hospitals and floating hospitals, coordinating airdrops of aid, and enabling the entry of new ambulances into Gaza.66

Hamas, on the other hand, has not only failed to fulfill its obligations under international law towards the civilian population under its control in Gaza, but has been stealing and diverting humanitarian aid, including fuel and medical equipment, intended for civilian needs.67 Therefore, Hamas is actively contributing to the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip.

IHL permits placing conditions on the introduction of humanitarian consignments to enemy territory to make sure that they are not diverted from reaching the civilians they are intended for and ending up in the hands of the enemy forces. It is evident that Hamas commandeers consignments into Gaza and controls their distribution, ensuring adequate supply to its terrorists and their continuous military effort. This is based also on reports arriving from Gazan residents themselves.68 Despite this reality, and the fact that this enables Hamas to continue its war against Israel, Israel has continued to enable the introduction of such supplies.

The introduction of fuel is a telling example. Hamas has time and again hoarded fuel, including during the current conflict, which it uses for military purposes, to sustain ventilation in its expansive underground tunnel network, and for its continued attacks against Israel. Nevertheless, and despite the military cost to IDF operations, Israel has enabled fuel to enter Gaza, in coordination with the United Nations, to service essential infrastructure, such as sewage treatment, desalination plants, water pumps, and hospitals.69

This is not to say that that the humanitarian situation in Gaza isn’t dire. However, to portray the situation as proof of a deliberate effort to bring about the destruction of the Palestinian people in Gaza, amounting to genocide, is detached from reality.

In this regard it is worth noting the judgements regarding the siege of Sarajevo. The ICTY, followed by the ICJ, determined that “food and fuel convoys had been obstructed or attacked by Bosnian Serb and Bosnian Croat forces and sometimes also by governmental forces” and that “blockade of humanitarian aid ha[d] been used as an important tool in the siege.” Regarding other towns under siege, it was noted:

[T]hat the enclave was being shelled and had been denied convoys of humanitarian aid for two months […] although food was being air-dropped, it was insufficient […] the town had been subject to a military offensive by Bosnian Serb forces, during which civilian objects including the hospital had been targeted and the water supply had been cut […] humanitarian convoys were harassed, including by the detention of UNPROFOR personnel and the theft of equipment.

Despite these harsh circumstances, the Court did not find sufficient evidence that the alleged acts were committed with the specific intent to destroy the protected group in whole or in part.70

Taking into account all that has been done by Israel to mitigate the dire humanitarian situation, it seems unfounded to claim that Israel is actively causing this crisis with a deliberate intention to bring about the physical destruction of the Palestinian people in Gaza. Therefore, there is no indication that the humanitarian crisis entails that Israel’s actions fall into category (c).

(d) Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group

This category, inspired by the Nazis’ practice of forced sterilization before and during the Second World War,71 includes measures such as “sexual mutilation, enforced sterilization, forced birth control, forced separation of males and females, and prohibition of marriages.”72

There are no claims that Israel is taking any active measures to prevent births of Palestinian women. The claim, as represented by South Africa in its submission to the ICJ, is that blocking the delivery of life-saving aids and medical kits for delivering babies, shows Israel’s intention to prevent births of Palestinian women.73 Beyond the lack of any factual basis for this claim, it stretches the meaning of this category far beyond its clear meaning, that has nothing to do with having to give birth in a complex environment stemming from an ongoing armed conflict.

Interim Conclusion

To sum up this part, Israel is facing a complex operational reality created by Hamas’ strategic use of civilians and civilian objects to shield its military activities. This leads to loss of lives, destruction of property, and uprooting of people from war zones. It also creates a dire humanitarian situation. Since there are persuasive explanations to these outcomes within the framework of IHL, there is no basis to conclude that they are indicative of an intent to destroy the Palestinian people as a group. That would clearly not a reasonable conclusion and is most definitely not the only reasonable one.

Furthermore, Israel’s actions of making an effort to spare the civilian population and minimize harm to them, and the facilitation of humanitarian assistance, demonstrate the precise opposite of any possible genocidal intent towards the Palestinians to destroy all or part of the group as such.

This point was very eloquently put by Dr. Galit Raguan, speaking on behalf of Israel at the ICJ:

When a population is ruled by a terrorist organization that cares more about wiping out its neighbour than about protecting its own civilians, there are acute challenges in protecting the civilian population. Those challenges are exacerbated by the dynamic and evolving nature of intense hostilities in an urban area, where the enemy exploits hospitals, shelters, and critical infrastructure. Would Israel work continuously with international organizations and States, even reaching out to them on its own initiative, to find solutions to these challenges if it were seeking to destroy the population?

Israel’s efforts to mitigate the ravages of this war on civilians are the very opposite of intent to destroy them. Under these circumstances, far from being the only inference that could reasonably be drawn from Israel’s pattern of conduct, intent to commit genocide is not even a plausible inference.74

Intent Based on Statements

In its case before the ICJ, South Africa attempts to base its allegation of genocidal intent also on certain comments made by some Israeli politicians and public figures. Three particular statements were mentioned by the ICJ in its interim decision.75

One reference was to a statement made by President Isaac Herzog, shortly after the October 7th attack, that the rhetoric that civilians in Gaza were unaware or uninvolved in Hamas’s terrorist activities is not true. President Herzog subsequently made his views clear in several later remarks and statements regarding his utter pain and sorrow for any innocent casualty on the Palestinian side. In the same speech, the President explicitly acknowledged that there are many innocent Palestinians who disagree with Hamas’s actions and extremist agenda (this second part of the quote was omitted by South Africa in its presentation). President Herzog also responded to the ICJ Order, expressing his disappointment that his words had been “twisted […], using very, very partial and fragmented quotes, with the intention of supporting an unfounded legal contention.”76 It is difficult to see how the President’s words can be viewed as calling for genocide. It is also worth noting that the President has a ceremonial role in Israel and is not part of the executive branch responsible for making policy decisions.

The ICJ also referred to a statement made by then Minister of Energy and Infrastructure Israel Katz: “they will not receive a drop of water or a single battery until they leave the world.” While some have suggested this referred to the civilian population at large, the statement can easily be understood as referring to putting direct pressure on Hamas. Again, this is not a statement calling for genocide. Furthermore, the Minister of Energy and Infrastructure has no authority over the Israeli military and is not even a member of the War Cabinet. And, finally, Israel did not in fact implement a policy of withholding water from Gaza.

The ICJ seems to have attached special importance to statements made by the Minister of Defense, that Israel would impose a complete siege on Gaza, that he has released all restraints as “we are fighting human animals” and that “Gaza won’t return to what it was before.”77 While it is understandable given the Minister of Defense’s position and influence over the conduct of the operation, the statements were made in the immediate aftermath of the October 7th attack, while the scope and nature of the horrific attack were being revealed. The reference to “human animals” can easily be understood as referring to those who committed the unspeakable cruel acts on October 7th, such as beheadings, mutilations, and burning children alive. The removal of restrictions seems to allude to more freedom of action towards them.

Notably, the orders issued to IDF forces clearly contained restrictions on the use of force despite this statement of the minister. Furthermore, Israel did not impose a siege on Gaza.78 In other words, these statements, brought as evidence of a genocidal intent, not only did not include genocidal language towards all the Palestinian people as such, but also did not reflect an actual policy.

South Africa also attempted to induce genocidal intent from statements by the Israeli Prime Minister saying: “Remember what Amalek did to you.”79 Amalek is a biblical reference to a nemesis of the Israelites. However, it’s mention by the Prime Minister was linked to his referring to Hamas and he also mentioned at the same speech the need to act morally and avoid harming those who are uninvolved.80

It is crucial to note, as highlighted by the ICTY and the appeals chamber of the IRMCT, that even highly inflammatory public speeches advocating for “disappearance,” “annihilation,” “vanishing,” “elimination,” and “extinction” must be evaluated within the “full context in which they were delivered and not in isolation.”81

A careful review of the official and binding policy decisions made by the relevant authorities in Israel since the outbreak of the war clearly reveal that such decisions lack any genocidal intent. The contrary is true: they are indicative of the commitment of Israeli relevant authorities to mitigate civilian harm and alleviate civilian suffering in Gaza. The Prime Minister has clearly and publicly stated that: “Israel is fighting Hamas terrorists, not the civilian population.”82 The relevant factual basis allowing for an inference of intent to commit genocide must stem from the organs which are capable of having an effect on the military operations. These organs have repeatedly explained that the purpose of the military operation is to target Hamas, not the Palestinians in Gaza.83

This point is crucial, as it underscores that there is no plan or policy aimed at destroying the group. Instead, there exists a contrary policy focused on minimizing harm to Palestinian civilians and preserving their lives.

The lack of genocidal intent on the part of Israel is also evident from the fact that Israel has made clear that it would immediately cease hostilities if Hamas were to abandon its goal of destruction, release the hostages, and lay down its arms.

It is unfortunate that certain Israeli officials and public figures have used inappropriate and degrading language, as noted by the group of Special Rapporteurs and the CERD Committee. Cases that might amount to incitement will have to be investigated by the competent Israeli authorities. If statements amount to incitement to commit genocide, they clearly lie outside the realm of protected speech and must be investigated.84 In this regard one must differentiate between hate speech in general and direct and public incitement to commit genocide.85

In its application to the ICJ, South Africa claimed that the genocidal intent to destroy Palestinians is plainly understood by soldiers on the ground. Beyond the fact, that as explained, the military orders are clear in prohibiting any breach of IHL, let alone genocide, this accusation is also completely detached from the social reality in Israel. Up to a day before the October 7th attack, Israel was embroiled in a heated public debate with widespread protests against attempts of the current government to limit judicial scrutiny. The spearhead of those protesting any attempt to curtail the democratic nature of the State were the reservists, and mainly the IDF reserve pilots, who explained that they would not report to their reserve duty if there was concern that they would be given orders that do not conform with legal and moral standards. These pilots have been in continuous active duty in the Gaza Strip since October 7th. The idea that they would fulfill orders to carry out a genocide of the Palestinian people is totally inconceivable.

To conclude this part, the attempt to deduce an intent to commit genocide from sporadic statements made at the most devastating time of Israel’s history is baseless. This is all the more so when such statements contradict the actual official orders given to the soldiers operating in the Gaza Strip, and when Israel has made it clear that it would end its military campaign upon the surrender of Hamas.

The Genocide Committed by Hamas

If there are any accusations of genocide to be made in the current conflict, they should be directed toward Hamas. Hamas has been pursuing a relentless campaign of terrorism against Israeli civilians for more than three decades, openly declaring its ultimate goal of the destruction of the State of Israel. On October 7th, Hamas acted upon those intentions, conducting the largest massacre of Jews in a single day since the Holocaust, in a rampage of murder, torture, rape, mutilation, and other atrocities, all of which are explicitly included in the ICC Elements of Crimes.86 Documents left behind by Hamas terrorists in southern Israel reveal that they were ordered to kill as many civilians as possible and take many others as captives.87 1200 people were murdered and thousands were physically wounded. Thousands more are suffering severe psychological harm from witnessing the brutality of the attacks. 253 people were taken hostage, from the age of 9 months to over 80 years. To date, over 130 hostages kidnapped from Israel are still being held in Gaza, their whereabouts and fate unknown.

In stark contrast to the lack of any proof of genocidal intent from Israel towards the Palestinian people, Hamas has publicly declared its objective to annihilate the State of Israel in its 1988 charter.88 This aim is consistently reiterated by its leaders, for example stating that their goal is the “cleansing of Palestine of the filth of the Jews.”89 In another statement made following the attack, senior Hamas member Ghazi Hamad gleefully stated that the group would repeat the October 7th massacre “again and again” until Israel was “annihilated,” openly admitting the group’s genocidal intentions.90

The openly declared agenda of Hamas regarding Israel’s annihilation, the explicit statements by its leaders, and the actions executed on October 7th together meet the definition of genocide. Thus, if anyone should be investigated over allegations of genocide at the ICC, it is Hamas.

Ramifications of the Misuse of Genocide Accusations

As explained, genocide is a unique crime ordained to refer to the most extreme circumstances of an attempt to wipe out an entire people.

Armed conflict, even when fully justified and conducted lawfully, is brutal and costs lives. It is regulated by the rules and principles of IHL. The prohibition on genocide seeks to prevent and punish the physical destruction of a group as such. It is not meant to ban armed conflict altogether and it is not meant to cover breaches of the laws of war.

To put it another way, if claims of genocide were to become the common currency of armed conflict, whenever and wherever that occurred, the essence of this crime would be diluted and lost. If everything is genocide, then nothing is genocide.91

The case brought by South Africa against Israel is a blatant attempt to misuse the crime of genocide. The order issued by the ICJ reflects the very low threshold that the Court has adopted in providing provisional measures. However, one may hope that the OTP of the ICC will apply more reasonable and appropriate standards in making the determination of what potential crimes to investigate.

Furthermore, we must be cautious of attempts to use the crime of genocide to curtail the possibility of states to defend themselves by manipulations of the law. This is especially the case in the context of armed conflicts against terrorist groups and other parties that do not respect the law. Such parties adopt strategies of complete disregard of the rules of law in their conduct, while utilizing the adherence of the other side to the law as a means to prevent it from attaining its legitimate military aims.

Hamas is a perfect example. It totally disregards the rules, directs attacks against civilians, holds hostages, fires indiscriminate rockets towards civilians, uses civilians as human shields, and abuses hospitals, mosques, schools, and other protected civilian objects as bases for its military operations. This does not prevent it from raising the law as a barrier to Israel’s military operation against it. This is a win-win strategy. Either Israel refrains from attacking Hamas military capabilities to spare the lives of civilians that Hamas is using as shields or, if it does attack and civilians get killed and injured, Israel is accused of carrying out war crimes, or even worse, of conducting a genocide. Hamas is victorious either way—it either wins on the physical battlefield, or it wins in the international battlefield aimed to delegitimize Israel and deny it the right to defend itself. This should not be accepted.

We can see that this is not theoretical—the protesters around the world are chanting “stop Israel’s genocide in Gaza.” This is clearly an orchestrated campaign of raising a baseless accusation and then using it to put pressure on allies of Israel not to support it in its battle against the enemies that are attacking it. Without such support, these enemies could succeed in achieving their goal of the destruction of Israel.

Ultimately, entertaining an accusation of genocide against Israel in its war against Hamas will not strengthen the commitment to prevent and punish genocide, but weaken it. It will turn an instrument adopted by the international community to prevent horrors of the kind that shocked the conscience of humanity during the Holocaust into a weapon in the hands of terrorist groups who have no regard for humanity or for the law. This will have ramifications for all States seeking to defend themselves against those who demonstrate total disdain for life and for the law. It will reward, indeed encourage, the terrorists who hide behind civilians, at the expense of the States seeking to defend against them. Doing so would also signal to terrorist organizations that they can commit war crimes, crimes against humanity, and even genocide, and then exploit the international legal system to obtain protection.

Conclusion

In his separate opinion in the ICJ case, Judge Barak recounts his experience as a five-year-old boy hiding from the Nazis and writes:

Genocide is more than just a word for me; it represents calculated destruction and human behaviour at its very worst. It is the gravest possible accusation and is deeply intertwined with my personal life experience.92

Hamas and its allies precipitated egregious crimes on October 7th and continue to pose a tremendous threat to Israel. Since that day, Israel has been involved in the most difficult war it has faced since the 1973 war, and, some maintain, since its war of independence. The armed conflict in the Gaza Strip is still ongoing, with Hamas still entrenched in its underground fortress attacking IDF soldiers operating on the ground above, and still firing indiscriminate rockets towards Israeli towns and villages.

The deeds of Hamas, accompanied by its clear statements of intent to bring about the destruction of Israel while calling for the murder of Jews, fulfill the definition of genocide.

The military campaign of Hamas is accompanied with a public campaign of instigating widespread protests around the world calling for Israel’s demise. These are coupled with a wave of rampant antisemitism, including violence and threats of violence against Jews. This clearly exposes the link between the denial of Israel’s right to exist and the denial of the Jewish people’s right to exist. This is the rhetoric of genocide.

Even though the attack by Hamas was a flagrant breach of any norm or moral code, and despite its continuous total disregard of international law, clearly Israel is not released of its obligations to uphold the law as it defends its citizens and territory. And even if Hamas’s actions amount to genocide against the Israeli people, this of course does not justify acts of genocide (or other violations of international law) by Israel against the Palestinian people. To judge whether there is any merit to the allegation that genocide is being or could potentially be committed by Israel, one must understand the operational reality Israel is facing in the Gaza Strip.

Israel has clearly stated that it is in a war of defense against Hamas, not against the Palestinian people. Its actions and official statements clearly indicate that there is no basis to accuse it of attempting to commit a genocide of the Palestinian people in Gaza. Furthermore, there is an easy way to end the hardship in Gaza. Hamas can abandon its goal of destruction of the State of Israel, release the hostages, and lay down its arms. In such a case, the hostilities and suffering would end.

The claims of genocide made against Israel are intended to limit its ability to defend itself, and, consequently, Hamas will be free to maintain its destructive hold over the Gaza Strip, perpetuating the conflict until it reaches its ultimate goal of the destruction of the State of Israel. This also means that no peaceful resolution of the conflict will ever be achievable.

As Dr. Becker, speaking before the ICJ, put it:

We live at a time when words are cheap. In an age of social media and identity politics, the temptation to reach for the most outrageous term, to vilify and demonize, has become for many irresistible.93

But if law is to retain its validity and relevance, words should still matter, and truth should still matter, otherwise all is politics.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    See Swords of Iron: An Overview, Inst. for Nat’l Sec. Stud., available online (last visited Feb. 10, 2024).

    (For data on the Hamas attack and the following conflict).

  2. 2.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement from Cairo on the Situation in the State of Palestine and Israel (Oct. 30, 2023), available online, video.

  3. 3.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Order, ¶ 62 (Jan. 26, 2024) [hereinafter ICJ Decision], available online.

  4. 4.

    See this emphasis in the declarations of Judges Bhandari and Nolte:

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Concurrence Declaration of Judge Dalveer Bhandari, ¶¶ 6–9 (Jan. 26, 2024), available online; Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Concurrence Declaration of Judge Georg Nolte, ¶ 5 (Jan. 26, 2024), available online;

    Two Judges (Sebutinde and Barak) were even more definite that the case did not fall into the ambit of the Genocide Convention:

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Dissenting Opinion of Judge Julia Sebutinde (Jan. 26, 2024) [hereinafter Sebutinde Dissent], available online; Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Separate opinion of Judge ad hoc Aharon Barak, Concurring in Part and Dissenting in Part (Jan. 26, 2024) [hereinafter Barak Separate Opinion], available online.

  5. 5.

    The Declaration of Principles on Interim Self-Government Arrangements was signed on September 13, 1993, setting a framework for a phased settlement of the Israeli–Palestinian dispute. Within this framework the parties signed on May 4, 1994, the Agreement on the Gaza Strip and Jericho Area. In accordance with this agreement, the IDF withdrew from most of the Gaza Strip, except for the Israeli settlements and main access routes thereto and the military-installations area along the southern border of the Strip with Egypt. On September 28, 1995, the parties signed the Israeli–Palestinian Interim Agreement on the West Bank and Gaza Strip which incorporated and superseded the Gaza-Jericho Agreement.

  6. 6.

    Doctrine of Hamas, Wilson Center (Oct. 20, 2023), available online.

  7. 7.

    See Roy Schöndorf & Eran Shamir-Borer, The (In)applicability of the Law of Occupation to the Gaza Strip, 43 Tel Aviv U. L. Rev. 403 (2020), abstract available online.

    (By ceasing to exert effective control over the Gaza Strip, Israel maintains that this area ceased to be occupied territory);

    Pnina Sharvit Baruch, Is the Gaza Strip Occupied by Israel? in Israel’s Rights as a Nation-State in International Diplomacy 131 (Alan Baker ed., 2011), available online.

  8. 8.

    The Disengagement Plan—General Outline, MFA (Apr. 18, 2004), available online.

  9. 9.

    Almost 20,000 Gazans passed into Israel daily for work through the main crossing point, the Erez Crossing. It was attacked on October 7th by Hamas, which murdered and kidnapped some of the staff coordinating the assistance to Gaza and caused significant damage.

  10. 10.

    Dan De Luce & Lisa Cavazuti, Gaza Is Plagued by Poverty, but Hamas Has No Shortage of Cash. Where Does It Come From?, NBC News, Oct. 25, 2023, available online.

  11. 11.

    ICJ Decision, supra note 3, ¶ 13.

  12. 12.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ CR 2024/2, Verbatim Record, Israel’s Oral Argument, Statement of Tal Becker at 14 ¶ 12 (Jan. 12, 2024) [hereinafter Israel’s Oral Argument], available online;

    Examples of the horrors were also documented in a number of detailed independent reports published by foreign media:

    Patrick Kingsley, Aaron Boxerman, Natan Odenheimer, Ronen Bergman & Marco Hernandez, The Day Hamas Came, N.Y. Times, Dec. 22, 2023, paywall; Jeffrey Gettleman, Anat Schwartz & Adam Sella, “Screams Without Words”: How Hamas Weaponized Sexual Violence on Oct. 7, N.Y. Times, Dec. 28, 2023, updated Jan. 25, 2024, paywall; Sune Engel Rasmussen & Shoshanna Solomon, Israeli Military Shows Footage From Oct. 7 Attacks, Some Taken From Militants’ Body Cams, Wall St. J., Oct. 23, 2023, paywall.

  13. 13.

    Hamas’s Attack Was the Bloodiest in Israel’s History, The Economist (Oct. 12, 2023), paywall.

  14. 14.

    Daniel Byman, Riley McCabe, Alexander Palmer, Catrina Doxsee, Mackenzie Holtz & Delaney Duff, Hamas’s October 7 Attack: Visualizing the Data, CSIS (Dec. 19, 2023), available online.

  15. 15.

    Peter Nicholas, Biden Faces Competing Pressures in Responding to the Attacks on Israel, NBC News, Oct. 9, 2023, available online.

  16. 16.

    Dan Abrams, Hamas Senior Official: We Will Strike Israel “Again and Again”: An Interview With a Hamas Senior on Dan Abrams Live, NewsNation on YouTube (Nov. 1, 2023), video.

  17. 17.

    See, e.g., Joint Statement on Israel, The White House (Oct. 9, 2023), available online.

  18. 18.

    Swords of Iron: An Overview, supra note 1.

  19. 19.

    Jason Burke, Hamas Regroups in Northern Gaza to Prepare New Offensive, The Guardian, Jan. 30, 2024, available online.

  20. 20.

    IDF’s Dead and Wounded Soldiers in the War, IDF, available online (Heb.) (last visited Feb. 10, 2024).

  21. 21.

    Nancy A. Youssef, Jared Malsin & Carrie Keller-Lynn, Hamas Toll Thus Far Falls Short of Israel’s War Aims, U.S. Says, Wall St. J., Jan. 21, 2024, paywall.

  22. 22.

    William A. Schabas, Genocide in International Law: The Crime of Crimes (2nd ed. Apr. 13, 2009), paywall.

  23. 23.

    See Claus Kreß, The Crime of Genocide Under International Law, 6 Int’l Crim. L. Rev. 461, 466 (2006), available online.

  24. 24.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (Bosnia and Herzegovina v. Serbia and Montenegro), 2007 ICJ 43, Judgment, ¶ 186 (Feb. 26, 2007) [hereinafter Bosnia v. Serbia], available online.

  25. 25.

    Id. ¶ 277.

  26. 26.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (Croatia v. Serbia), 2015 ICJ 3, Judgment, ¶ 132 (Feb. 3, 2015) [hereinafter Croatia v. Serbia], available online; Kreß, supra note 23, at 497

    (emphasizing the dimension of “a collective genocidal goal” to destroy the group as the central feature of this unique crime).

  27. 27.

    Bosnia v. Serbia, supra note 24, ¶ 189.

  28. 28.

    Id. ¶ 277.

  29. 29.

    The Prosecutor v. Aloys Simba, ICTR-01-76-T, Judgement and Sentence, ¶ 413 (Dec. 13, 2005), available online, archived.

  30. 30.

    Bosnia v. Serbia, supra note 24, ¶ 373; Croatia v. Serbia, supra note 26, ¶ 148.

  31. 31.

    Prosecutor v. Vujadin Popović, Ljubiša Beara, Drago Nikolić, Ljubomir Borovčanin, Radivoje Miletić, Milan Gvero, and Vinko Pandurević, IT-05-88-T, Judgement, ¶ 829 (ICTY TC II, Jun. 10, 2010), available online.

  32. 32.

    The Prosecutor v. Omar Hassan Ahmad Al Bashir, ICC-02/05-01/09, Decision on the Prosecution’s Application for a Warrant of Arrest against Omar Hassan Ahmad Al Bashir (ICC PTC I, Mar. 4, 2009), available online; The Prosecutor v. Omar Hassan Ahmad Al Bashir, ICC-02/05-01/09, Second Decision on the Prosecution’s Application for a Warrant of Arrest, ¶ 124 (ICC PTC I, Jul. 12, 2010), available online.

  33. 33.

    Case Concerning Legality of Use of Force (Yugoslavia v. Belgium), Provisional Measures, 1999 ICJ 124, Order, 737–38 ¶¶ 16–17, 138 ¶ 40 (Jun. 2, 1999), available online.

  34. 34.

    Barak Separate Opinion, supra note 4, ¶ 27 quoting U.N. Economic and Social Council, Draft Convention on the Crime of Genocide, Section II: Comments Article by Article, E/447, 23 (Jun. 17, 1947), download.

  35. 35.

    Prosecutor v. Milomir Stakić, ICTY-IT-97-24-T, Judgement, ¶ 515 (ICTY TC II, Jul. 31, 2003) [hereinafter Stakić Trial Judgement], available online; Croatia v. Serbia, supra note 26, ¶ 474.

  36. 36.

    Prosecutor v. Radislav Krstić, ICTY-IT-98-33-T, Judgement, ¶ 513 (ICTY TC, Aug. 2, 2001), available online.

  37. 37.

    Prosecutor v. Zdravko Tolimir, ICTY-IT-05-88/2-T, Judgement, ¶¶ 737, 738 (ICTY TC II, Dec. 12, 2012) [hereinafter Tolimir Trial Judgement], available online, archived.

  38. 38.

    Bosnia v. Serbia, supra note 24, ¶ 186; Stakić Trial Judgement, supra note 35, ¶ 515; Croatia v. Serbia, supra note 26, ¶ 474.

  39. 39.

    Croatia v. Serbia, supra note 26, ¶ 474.

  40. 40.

    Allegations of Genocide Under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (Ukraine v. Russian Federation), ICJ, Declaration of Intervention of Denmark (Sep. 16, 2022), available online.

  41. 41.

    ICJ Decision, supra note 3, ¶ 46

    (“figures relating to the Gaza Strip cannot be independently verified”).

    See also Barak Separate Opinion, supra note 4, ¶ 36.

  42. 42.

    Chris Mueller, Video of Gaza “Casualties” Predates Conflict Between Israel and Hamas: Fact Check, USA Today, Nov. 15, 2023, available online.

  43. 43.

    Up to 9,000 Hamas Fighters Killed or Captured, IDF Says, NBC News, Jan. 5, 2024, available online.

  44. 44.

    IDF: Gaza Resident Says Hamas Preventing Evacuations; Thousands Return North, Times of Israel, Oct. 26, 2023, available online.

  45. 45.

    Israel–Hamas Conflict 2023: Humanitarian Efforts, MFA (Dec. 16, 2023) [hereinafter Humanitarian Efforts], available online.

  46. 46.

    David Leonhardt, Revisiting the Gaza Hospital Explosion: We Look at the Evidence for Who Is Responsible, N.Y. Times, Nov. 3, 2023, paywall.

  47. 47.

    Hamas-Israel Conflict 2023: Frequently Asked Questions, MFA (Dec. 6, 2023), available online.

  48. 48.

    See Adolfo Arranz, Jonathan Saul, Stephen Farrell, Simon Scarr & Clare Trainor, Inside the Tunnels of Gaza, Reuters, Dec. 31, 2023, available online.

  49. 49.

    Swords of Iron: An Overview, supra note 1.

  50. 50.

    Pamela Falk, Israel Says These Photos Show How Hamas Places Weapons in and Near U.N. Facilities in Gaza, Including Schools, CBS News, Nov. 8, 2023, available online; Hamas Caught Firing Rockets From Next to UN Facilities, Schools—IDF, The Jerusalem Post, Oct. 22, 2023, available online.

  51. 51.

    Alex Winston, IDF Proof: Hamas, PIJ Use Young Children for Gaza Terror Activities, Incitement, The Jerusalem Post, Jan. 3, 2024, available online; What to Know About Hamas’ Military Capabilities, Axios, Oct. 21, 2023, available online.

  52. 52.

    Natalie Ecanow, FDD, Hamas Officials Admit Its Strategy Is to Use Palestinian Civilians as Human Shields (Nov. 1, 2023), available online; NATO StratCom, Hamas’ Use of Human Shields in Gaza (2014), available online.

  53. 53.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Galit Raguan at 45 ¶ 45; Swords of Iron: An Overview, supra note 1.

  54. 54.

    Israel Defense Forces (@IDF), X (Dec. 18, 2023, 4:14 PM), available online; Gaza War: “We Abort Our Operations When We See an Unexpected Civilian Presence,” Says IDF, The Economic Times on YouTube (Dec. 19, 2023), video.

  55. 55.

    Prosecutor v. Radovan Karadžić, MICT-13-55-A, Judgement, ¶ 727 (MICT Appeals Chamber, Mar. 20, 2019) [hereinafter Karadžić Appeal], available online.

    see also Prosecutor v. Milomir Stakić, ICTY-IT-97-24-A, Judgement, ¶ 42 (ICTY AC, Mar. 22, 2006), available online.

  56. 56.

    Tolimir Trial Judgement, supra note 37, ¶ 740.

  57. 57.

    International Criminal Court, Elements of Crimes, ICC-ASP/1/3, Adopted and Entry into Force 9 September 2002, updated at Kampala, 31 May–11 June 2010 (Jun. 11, 2011) [hereinafter Elements of Crimes], available online, archived.

  58. 58.

    Emanuel Fabian, IDF Finds Tunnels, Booby-Trapped Homes Hidden Among High-Rise Buildings in Central Gaza Neighborhood, Times of Israel, Jan. 5, 2024, available online; Maayan Jaffe-Hoffman, IDF: One in Five Gaza Rockets Misfires, Kills Palestinians, The Jerusalem Post, Oct. 21, 2023, available online; Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Hamas Unwittingly Admits Gaza Rockets Are Prone to Misfire (Oct. 19, 2023), available online; 550 Failed Launches Fell Inside the Gaza Strip, IDF (Oct. 21, 2023), available online; Humanitarian Efforts, supra note 45.

  59. 59.

    Interactive Compilation of Hamas Abuse of Hospitals, IDF (Dec. 20, 2023), available online; IDF Enables Evacuees From Shifa Hospital To Leave Safely, Contrary to False Media Reports, The Media Line, Nov. 18, 2023, available online; Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Galit Raguan at 43 ¶ 30.

  60. 60.

    Hostilities in the Gaza Strip and Israel—Reported Impact, OCHA (Updated Feb. 4, 2024), available online (last visited Feb. 10, 2024).

  61. 61.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Galit Raguan at 45 ¶ 43; Jacob Magid, Israel Formalizes Daily Humanitarian Pauses in Gaza, in First Since War’s Outbreak, Times of Israel, Nov. 9, 2023, available online.

  62. 62.

    Netanyahu: Israel Will Not Permanently Occupy Gaza, Globes, Jan. 11, 2024, available online.

    (The Prime Minister of Israel declared that Israel has no intention to permanently occupy Gaza).

  63. 63.

    Bosnia v. Serbia, supra note 24, ¶ 190.

  64. 64.

    Stakić Trial Judgement, supra note 35, ¶ 519.

  65. 65.

    Bosnia v. Serbia, supra note 24, ¶ 190.

  66. 66.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Galit Raguan at 46–47, 50–52.

  67. 67.

    Einav Halabi, IDF Releases Video of Hamas Stealing Aid From Gazans, Ynet News, Dec. 9, 2023, available online.

  68. 68.

    Elderly Gazan Woman Accuses Hamas of Stealing Aid in Rare Criticism, The Telegraph on YouTube, Dec. 9, 2023, video.

  69. 69.

    Anna Schecter, Hamas Is Hoarding Vast Amounts of Fuel as Gaza Hospitals Run Low, U.S. Officials Say, NBC News, Nov. 1, 2023, available online; Israel’s Humanitarian Efforts, COGAT, available online (last visited Feb. 10, 2024).

  70. 70.

    Bosnia v. Serbia, supra note 24, ¶¶ 320–328, 345–354

    (coming to a similar conclusion regarding the inhumane living conditions in detention camps, which included depriving detainees of adequate supplies and subjecting them to mental and physical violence. Again, the Court concluded that it was not found that those acts were accompanied by specific intent (dolus specialis) to destroy the protected group, in whole or in part).

  71. 71.

    Robert Cryer, Darryl Robinson & Sergey Vasiliev, An Introduction to International Criminal Law and Procedure 217 (Oct. 2, 2019), paywall.

  72. 72.

    Tolimir Trial Judgement, supra note 37, ¶ 740.

  73. 73.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ CR 2024/1, Verbatim Record, South Africa’s Oral Argument, Statement of Adila Hassim ¶¶ 34, 35 (Jan. 11, 2024) [hereinafter South Africa’s Oral Argument], available online.

  74. 74.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Galit Raguan at 48–49 ¶¶ 76, 77; Sebutinde Dissent, supra note 4, ¶ 21.

  75. 75.

    ICJ Decision, supra note 3, ¶ 52.

  76. 76.

    Press Release, President Herzog Addresses ICJ Ruling, MFA (Jan. 28, 2024), available online; Barak Separate Opinion, supra note 4, ¶ 36

    (“The declarations made by the President of Israel and the Minister of Defence of Israel are not a sufficient factual basis for inferring a plausible intent of genocide. Both authorities have issued several statements clarifying that Israel’s intent is the destruction of Hamas, not the Palestinians in Gaza.”).

  77. 77.

    South Africa’s Oral Argument, supra note 73, Statement of Tembeka Ngcukaitobi at 34 ¶ 14.

  78. 78.

    Geoffrey S. Corn & Sean Watts, Israel–Hamas 2023 Symposium-Siege Law and Military Necessity, Articles of War (Oct. 13, 2023), available online.

    (Furthermore, siege is not an unlawful mode of action and is allowed by IHL towards enemy forces).

  79. 79.

    South Africa’s Oral Argument, supra note 73, Statement of Tembeka Ngcukaitobi at 33 ¶ 12.

  80. 80.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Malcolm Shaw at 35 ¶ 50.

  81. 81.

    Karadžić Appeal, supra note 55, ¶ 742.

  82. 82.

    Benjamin Netanyahu, Setting the Record Straight, The Jerusalem Post, Dec. 22, 2023, available online.

  83. 83.

    See, e.g., “Our war is against Hamas—not against the people of Gaza”—IDF Spokesperson, i24News on YouTube (Dec. 4, 2023), video.

  84. 84.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Gilad Noam at 73 ¶ 16.

    (Noam asserts that the Attorney General of Israel has informed that investigations will be conducted against those suspected of inciting genocide);

    Yoav Etiel, Israeli Man Charged for Inciting Terror, Rape, Genocide of Palestinians, The Jerusalem Post, Dec. 19, 2023, available online

    (charging an Israeli man for inciting terror, rape, and genocide against Muslims amidst the ongoing war).

  85. 85.

    Ferdinand Nahimana, Jean-Bosco Barayagwiza, Hassan Ngeze v. The Prosecutor, ICTR-99-52-A, Judgement, ¶ 692 (ICTR AC, Nov. 28, 2007), available online.

  86. 86.

    Elements of Crimes, supra note 57, at Art. 6

    (explicitly including within the definition of genocide “acts of torture, rape, sexual violence, or inhuman or degrading treatment”).

  87. 87.

    In Coded Doc, Hamas Instructed Terrorists to Kill Civilians, Take Captives—Report, Times of Israel, Oct. 15, 2023, available online.

  88. 88.

    This aim is still evident in 2017. See The Islamic Resistance Movement “Hamas,” A Document of General Principles & Policies (May 2017), available online.

    (“The establishment of ‘Israel’ is entirely illegal and contravenes the inalienable rights of the Palestinian people and goes against their will and the will of the Ummah; it is also in violation of human rights that are guaranteed by international conventions, foremost among them is the right to self-determination. There shall be no recognition of the legitimacy of the Zionist entity. Whatever has befallen the land of Palestine in terms of occupation, settlement building, Judaization or changes to its features or falsification of facts is illegitimate.”).

    For an analysis, see Doctrine of Hamas, supra note 6.

  89. 89.

    Senior Hamas Official Fathi Hammad: We Will Cleanse Palestine of the Filth of the Jews, Heal the Nation of the Jewish Cancer; Netanyahu, Lieberman, We Are Coming to Chop Off Your Heads!, MEMRI TV, Jul. 12, 2018, available online.

  90. 90.

    Memri (@MEMRIReports), X (Nov. 1, 2023, 12:28 PM), available online.

  91. 91.

    Statement in Response to South Africa’s ICJ Application Accusing Israel of Genocide, IAJLJ (Jan. 8, 2024), available online; On the need not to expand the crime of genocide, see Kreß, supra note 23, at 500.

  92. 92.

    Barak Separate Opinion, supra note 4, ¶ 6.

  93. 93.

    Israel’s Oral Argument, supra note 12, Statement of Tal Becker at 13 ¶ 7.

  94. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Pnina Sharvit Baruch, Misusing the Crime of Genocide in the Israel–Hamas Conflict, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Baruch.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Bob Avatar Image Yonah Jeremy Bob Author, Journalist, and Accredited U.S. and Israeli Lawyer The Jerusalem Post

Jurisdictional, Substantive Legal and Policy Dilemmas of the International Criminal Court Seeking to Intervene in the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict Generally, and the Current War

Given that Hamas does not care especially much about defending specific above land territory, the only way to defeat Hamas is to seek out its leaders and forces wherever they may be, usually in tunnels. Israeli forces generally can only gain access to these tunnels by penetrating civilian locations which Hamas uses to conceal its underground terror infrastructure.

These civilian locations have also been used to conceal Israeli hostages, and finding those hostages is another goal of the IDF.

When your opponent in an armed conflict is publicly committed to your genocide, which Hamas unapologetically is when it comes to Israel, analyzing the relationship between military advantage and civilian casualties becomes infinitely more complex.

Summary

The Israeli–Palestinian conflict was one of the hardest on the planet to resolve and decipher long before October 7, 2023. But since Hamas’ invasion of southern Israel and Israel’s counter-invasion of Gaza, the difficulties in managing the laws of armed conflict issues raised by the situation have reached new highs.

This comment first addresses some of the larger jurisdictional issues the International Criminal Court will need to resolve if it wades further into the Israeli–Palestinian conflict. Next it addresses specific complex legal issues which serve as case study paradigms for the unusual complexities involved. Finally, it moves on to some of the practical policy and operational dilemmas raised by the situation, such as deterrence and reconciliation.

Jurisdictional Issues

This writer believes that the split 2–1 decision by the International Criminal Court’s Pre-Trial Tribunal1 in February 2021 recognizing Palestine as a state which could grant jurisdiction over alleged war crimes against Israel, which is not a party to the Rome Statute, was in error.

Israel correctly, with support from a wide number of democratic countries, argued that Palestine is not yet a state for the purposes of the Rome Statute, that issues between Israel and the Palestinians should be resolved through diplomatic negotiations, not in a court room and that, cumulatively, these arguments prevent the ICC from intervening, given that it generally needs a referral by a state to have jurisdiction (and the U.N. Security Council has not made a referral).

However, given that the issue has been decided, this comment focuses on some of the other unprecedentedly difficult issues the ICC is likely to encounter.

I also sidestep an analysis of the question of whether the conflict is international or non-international based on the premise that, practically speaking, the impact on the ICC’s decisions will be identical.2

The most important jurisdictional issue I focus on is complementarity, the principle that the ICC cannot intervene3 in a given country if that country has properly investigated and prosecuted war crimes allegations against its own citizens.

This raises the issue about whether Israel’s legal system is up the ICC’s standards—and if it is not4—whether other Western-style legal systems might also not be. This is an issue of great concern to military lawyers in the U.S. and some European countries as they could “be next” in the ICC’s legal crosshairs.

This comment explores some of the disparate views about some of the cutting edge issues which Israel has had to confront in the current war with Hamas in Gaza for a glimpse into the broader question about the validity of its targeting policy and probes of any alleged war crimes by its soldiers or commanders.

How valid (or not) its targeting policy and probes of its soldiers are could be crucial in analyzing complementarity generally and could even impact how the ICC treats specific gray area cases.

My comment sidesteps the question of Israeli settlement policy. This is despite the fact that some observers have said that Israel, at a legal level, may have more problems using complementarity as a defense in that area given that its government views the settlements as legal. Rather, it may need to rely on other kinds of legal arguments, such as the need under U.N. Resolution 242, the Oslo Accords, and other later resolutions to resolve the settlements issue in negotiations with the Palestinians.5

While a critical issue in its own right, the focus of the world and this Forum at this time, is the current war in Gaza.

Argument

Expansive “Military Advantage”

A major question is how Israel, and others judging Israel’s actions, should evaluate “military advantage” in the conflict as a general matter.6

Israel’s goal is not just to deter Hamas, as it was in the numerous conflicts the sides fought over the last sixteen years, but to topple Hamas in Gaza, such that it is no longer able to function as an organization which can fight on a national scale, nor control the territory of Gaza.

This goal influences Israel’s definition of its military advantage on a variety of targeting issues and is important in confronting critics of Israel who discount Hamas as a threat, noting Israel’s military superiority.

Despite Israel’s military superiority, on October 7, Hamas managed to conquer 22 Israeli villages, to kill 1200 Israelis, mostly civilians, to take around 240 hostages, and even to conquer the IDF’s forward headquarters.

Through three months of fighting, Hamas has managed to fire rockets on Israel’s home front virtually every day, including three thousand rockets in four hours on October 7, and hundreds per day in the early weeks of the war, with a recent barrage on central Israel (not just closer southern Israel areas) even at the moment when the new year 2024 opened on January 1.

What all of this proves is that, despite Israeli general superiority, Hamas was throughout the war, and continues to be, capable of posing an asymmetric threat to Israel, including Israel’s civilian population.

Hamas has also said that it is committed to repeat additional October 7-style massacres against Israel in the future if it is not prevented from doing so.

This all relates back to why Israel’s goal is to topple Hamas and how that impacts a military advantage analysis.

Given that Hamas does not care especially much about defending specific above land territory,7 the only way to defeat Hamas is to seek out its leaders and forces wherever they may be, usually in tunnels. Israeli forces generally can only gain access to these tunnels by penetrating civilian locations which Hamas uses to conceal its underground terror infrastructure.8

These civilian locations have also been used to conceal Israeli hostages, and finding those hostages is another goal of the IDF.9

When your opponent in an armed conflict is publicly committed to your genocide, which Hamas unapologetically is when it comes to Israel, analyzing the relationship between military advantage and civilian casualties becomes infinitely more complex.

Of course, proportionality as a matter of law is analyzed with respect to each specific attack, but each individual calculation of how much risk could be taken regarding collateral harm to civilians will be subtly impacted by how important each individual target, often in Gaza each individual tunnel shaft or rocket launching platform, are to the broader war effort.10

American generals who have advised Israel on its tactics during this Gaza war are fond of making reference to their experiences fighting asymmetric adversaries in Iraq and Afghanistan.11

While thankful for the advice, Israeli generals frequently point out that when their U.S. counterparts were deciding whether they could delay an attack, they did not need to worry about rockets being fired on New York or Washington DC, as a possible cost for delaying the attack, which Israelis have had to worry about.12

This is not to say that any attack can be justified regardless of the civilian collateral damage—that would obviously be a disastrous rule.

It is to say that critics of Israel for being “too aggressive” should not so easily dismiss the significance of striking a large volume of Hamas rocket crews, locations where rockets are stored, and tunnel shafts.

The Hospitals Dilemmas

Another issue, which could seem like a classic and simple one but has excruciating new twists, is whether the IDF’s military tactics in handling Gaza hospitals has been legal.

The starting point is that the IDF has produced voluminous evidence of Hamas’ systematic use of more than half-a-dozen Gaza hospitals for military operations.13

There is also specific evidence that Hamas used Shifa and Rantisi hospitals for concealing kidnapped hostages, including at least one baby.14

So how should a western army handle defeating a foe who systematically uses a hospital for coordinating a large area of its forces’ attacks as well as serving as a significant location for weapons storage, but does not shoot rockets nor is it caught launching other attacks directly from the medical center?

Although medical centers have special protections under the laws of war, their status can still change.15 The question then again becomes one of proportionality.

Regarding Shifa Hospital, the Israeli military only engaged and killed five Hamas fighters, all nearby, but outside the hospital buildings.

Despite concerns, not a single shot was fired inside the hospital and not a single patient was actively harmed during the Israeli army’s takeover.16

At the same time, there are allegations that dozens of patients died in the days leading up to the Israeli takeover, due to the military surrounding the hospital, and putting it effectively under siege.17

So what if the Israel’s forces only “take over” a facility, but do not actually “attack” it in the sense of firing on it? Top Israeli legal officials, who granted have taken a side, have expressed skepticism that such a case, minus an Israeli attack and with Hamas’ abuse of the facility for military means, could lead to a criminal inquiry.

In other words, Israel would argue that the very fact that its military chose not to attack Shifa Hospital in an active way negates criminality. If accepted, this would mean that indirectly caused deaths from the general negative impact on the hospital’s functionality of Israel having surrounded it in the days before taking over, but without attacking per se, would not be criminal.18

At the level of disrupting its functionality, Hamas, not Israel, could be blamed legally for using it as a military command center and weapons depot. This would leave Israel clearly justified in taking it over, especially if the military did not actively fire on the facility or anyone within.

The Tunnels Dilemmas

Yet another highly problematic legal dilemma involves the multiple Israeli attacks which allegedly mistakenly led to killing large numbers of civilians, in one case around eighty, due to unforeseen secondary effects of concealed Hamas tunnels or Hamas explosives under civilian locations.19

Put differently, how far does a Western army need to go in being accurate in its calculations of what collateral harm to civilians will occur if it strikes a target with a tunnel below it which could collapse the entire block of houses, which might also have tunnels below them?

Israel itself is probing multiple such large-scale incidents from the current war.20 If past is prologue, the probes will find that mistakes were made and lessons should be learned, but no one will be charged (though a number of individual Israeli soldiers have been imprisoned for unlawfully killing individual Palestinians).21

Should the ICC accept such conclusions?

In one incident, Israel has said that the purpose of the operation was to kill a senior Hamas official22 and it appears that the military had factored in a small number of civilian casualties from the one location he was inhabiting.

However, the civilian residence which Israel struck led to collapsing the tunnel below it, which in turn collapsed a range of nearby structures.

An Israeli official has said that the critical question is proportionality in terms of what the army could have reasonably been expected to know before the operation, not what the result turned out to be using information it did not know in real time.23

From a military advantage perspective, once again, since Israel’s goal is to take control of Gaza from Hamas, the value of eliminating Hamas tunnels is far higher than ever before. Eliminating tunnels is also important to Israel for ongoing force protection during maneuvering, given that likely a majority of Israeli soldier casualties to date have been from ambushes from Hamas tunnels.

The expected harm to civilians is notoriously hard to guess, but Israeli officials have admitted to learning lessons from a disastrous May 2021 Gaza conflict incident. In that incident, Israel killed large numbers of civilians by accident due to the unexpected collapse of a tunnel under a residence causing the whole block of residences to collapse.24

But even after learning lessons, the height, length, and width of the tunnel may be different than what intelligence estimates, an Israeli official explained. How solid or rickety a tunnel is and what materials it is made from may also be different than a military’s best estimates.

In addition, in some instances, Hamas hides explosives around a tunnel to try to trap and kill Israeli forces, and striking a tunnel can cause additional unexpected explosions and more residences nearby to collapse.25

Can the Israeli military be held accountable for this?

Emotional responses, especially when seeing a Palestinian death toll which will probably top 25,000 (currently Israel would argue that at least 9000 of 24,000 Palestinian dead were fighters,26 but that still leaves a large percentage of civilian deaths), would demand that Israel be held to a higher standard of what it should know about tunnels or potential tunnels around civilian residences.

Such a high standard is not present under existing law. Maybe someday the laws of war will or should be amended to raise some of these standards to a higher point than what they are at now.

But those who would want to raise such standards will need to answer the partially legal, partially humanitarian question of, will making it harder for Western armies to defend themselves from asymmetric adversaries save lives or ultimately lead to more death?

Practical Operative and Policy Issues

From these general and specific legal questions, this comment moves on to some practical legal questions regarding the utility of the ICC as regards the Israeli–Palestinian conflict and the current war.

I would submit that the ICC has close to a zero chance of deterring Hamas, or Hezbollah, or the Houthis from Yemen, or Iranian militias in Syria, from attacking Israel, soldiers, or civilians.

The underlying principles of Hamas’ method of warfare is to abuse the bedrock principles of the laws of war by firing rockets indiscriminately at Israeli civilians, and mounting these and other attacks and its defense almost exclusively from Palestinian civilian areas.27

If the laws of war bar using an individual “human shield” for force protection, Hamas has made much of Gaza into one giant systematic human shield.28

Critics of Israel argue that Hamas has little choice if it wants to try to compete militarily against Israel’s vaunted air force.

Whether this point is true or not, whether blame for the current war and past wars is more on the Israeli or Palestinian side for failing to arrive at a peace deal (although Israel offered serious peace deals to the Palestinian Authority both in 2000 and 2008) is inapposite.

The laws of war assume there is an ongoing conflict and their purpose is to regulate it regardless of who started the altercation.

The legality of Israel or Hamas’ actions and probes is based on the laws of jus in bello, the conduct of war, not jus ad bellum, the justness or fairness of the war as a strategic matter.

Hamas is bound by the current laws of war like any other party to a conflict. But it has made it eminently clear that such laws are meaningless to it, other than to the extent they can be used to restrain Israel.

There is a vast difference in this area between Hamas and Israel.

Israel is more deterred than Hamas by the ICC because it is a democracy and it strongly cares about how it is viewed by its Western allies.

There have even been cases where Israel showed specific restraint out of concern for the impact before the ICC, albeit these were often cases where Israeli security was not as desperately threatened.29

But deterrence has its limits.

As long as Israel has support for its interpretations of the laws of war from like-minded countries like the U.S., it is unlikely to refrain from taking actions, in gray areas of interpretation where it has disagreements with the ICC, it believes are necessary to prevent another October 7 massacre.

Moving to accountability, Hamas might be held accountable given that Israel has succeeded in arresting thousands of Hamas forces.

However, Israel is not a party to the Rome Statute and would not become one simply to extradite members of Hamas, when it can imprison them itself.

An interesting scenario might arise if Israel took a cue from the Ntaganda case from the Democratic Republic of the Congo. There, Bosco Ntaganda was flown by the U.S. from Rwanda to the Netherlands where he could be arrested and extradited to the Court, though the U.S. itself is not a party to the Rome Statute.30

Could the same be done with Hamas officials?

Israeli officials are unlikely to be “held accountable” in general since the ICC does not have the power generally to arrest Israelis.

There could still be a random case where an Israeli official risks traveling to a country with weaker diplomatic relations with Israel, which is willing to risk extraditing that Israeli.

There are also some interesting questions about whether the ICC could promote reconciliation between Israelis and Palestinians if it was willing to allow Israelis to avoid prosecutions in exchange for some reconciliation moves.

But such moves are highly speculative at a time when the ICC has not decided to prosecute Israelis, nor has it shown a readiness to mix its legal moves with diplomatic progress within the Israeli–Palestinian conflict.

The dilemmas raised in this comment do not necessarily have clear answers. But it is critical to assess them given the massive impact they will have both on the Israeli–Palestinian conflict and Western militaries across the globe for years to come.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    When judicial rulings at the ICC are made about legal issues prior to a full trial with witnesses, they are rendered by panels referred to as pre-trial tribunals.

  2. 2.

    Michael N. Schmitt, Israel–Hamas 2023 Symposium: The Legal Protection of Hospitals During Armed Conflict, Articles of War (Dec. 29, 2023), available online.

  3. 3.

    Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Adopted by the United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court, Jul. 17, 1998, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.183/9 [hereinafter Rome Statute], Art. 17, available online

    (referring to this question as one of whether cases are admissible before the ICC).

  4. 4.

    In fact, the complementarity test concerns, first and foremost, the specific allegations of an alleged war crime: such as whether the same conduct by the same person has been properly investigated. It would generally be insufficient to use complementarity as a defense simply because that the system as a whole meets international standards. However, given that the war is still ongoing and that none of Israel’s investigations have concluded yet, it is not yet possible to do a definitive analysis of a specific case. I do try to extrapolate from some paradigm case studies to reach a better understanding for how to view Israel’s legal system.

  5. 5.

    Dennis Ross, Why the ICC Prosecutor Is Wrong on Oslo, Wash. Inst. (Jun. 16, 2020), available online.

  6. 6.

    Jean-Marie Henckaerts & Louise Doswald-Beck Eds., ICRC, Customary International Humanitarian Law I, R.8 (2006), available online, citing Protocol Additional to the Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949, and Relating to the Protection of Victims of International Armed Conflicts, 1125 U.N.T.S. 3 (Jun. 8, 1977) [hereinafter Additional Protocol I], available online, archived.

    (defining “military advantage” in the context of what is a legal military objective, which is something, which by its total or partial destruction, capture or neutralization, makes an effective contribution to military action).

  7. 7.

    Daphné Richemond-Barak, Israel Faces a Vicious Underground Battle Against Hamas, Fin. Times, Oct. 15, 2023, paywall; John Spencer, Underground Nightmare: Hamas Tunnels and the Wicked Problem Facing the IDF, Modern War Inst. (Oct. 17, 2023), available online; Zoran Kusevac, Analysis: Has the Approach to Tunnel Warfare Changed For Israel and Hamas?, Al Jazeera, Dec. 11, 2023, available online.

  8. 8.

    Natsha Bertrand, Israel Begins Flooding Gaza Tunnels With Seawater “On a Limited Basis,” US Official Says, CNN, Dec. 12, 2023, available online; Spencer, supra note 7.

  9. 9.

    IDF Claims Video Shows Hostages in Al-Shifa Hospital, CNN, Nov. 19, 2023, video; Israel–Hamas War: Israel Says Video Shows Hamas Tunnel Under Besieged Hospital, N.Y. Times, Nov. 19, 2023, updated Dec. 21, 2023, paywall.

  10. 10.

    John J. Merriam & Michael N. Schmitt, Israeli Targeting: A Legal Appraisal, 68 NWC R. (2015), available online.

  11. 11.

    Barak Ravid, Scoop: Marine Corps 3-star General Advising Israeli Military on Gaza Ground Operation, Axios, Oct. 23, 2023, available online.

  12. 12.

    Mohammed Tawfeeq, Amir Tal, Peter Rudden, Garrett Hutchins & Elizabeth Joseph, Hamas Launches Rockets Against Israel Moments Into New Year, CNN, Dec. 31, 2023, available online; Author’s off-record interviews with top Israeli defense officials.

  13. 13.

    Nic Robertson, Rebecca Wright, John Torigoe & David Shortell, Israel Shows Alleged Hamas “Armory” Under Children’s Hospital in Gaza. Local Health Officials Dismiss the Claims, CNN, Nov. 14, 2023, available online; Schmitt, supra note 2.

  14. 14.

    Robertson et al., supra note 13; Schmitt, supra note 2; Peter Beaumont, What Is a Human Shield and How Has Hamas Been Accused of Using Them?, The Guardian, Oct. 31, 2023, available online.

  15. 15.

    Geneva Convention Relative to the Protection of Civilian Persons in Time of War, 75 U.N.T.S. 287, Art. 19 (adopted Aug. 12, 1949, entered into force Oct. 12, 1950) [hereinafter Fourth Geneva Convention], available online; Additional Protocol I, supra note 6.

  16. 16.

    “Floor by Floor Searches”: Eyewitnesses Describe Israeli Raid on Gaza’s Al-Shifa Hospital, Haaretz & Reuters, Nov. 15, 2023, paywall.

  17. 17.

    Concern for Gaza Civilians Soars as Medical Services Collapse, CNN, Nov. 14, 2023, video.

  18. 18.

    Yonah Jeremy Bob, IDF Lawyer to “Post”: We Comply With Int’l Law Because of Duty to Democracy: Senior IDF Military Lawyer Details Legal Weight of Attacks With Heavy Civilian Casualties, The Jerusalem Post, Dec. 26, 2023, available online.

  19. 19.

    Helen Regan, Abeer Salman, Zeena Saifi, Amir Tal & Mohammed Tawfeeq, Airstrikes Blast UN Shelters, Official Says, as Israel Announces Complete Encirclement of Gaza City, CNN, Nov. 2, 2023, available online; Bob, supra note 18.

  20. 20.

    IDF Says It Is Investigating Central Gaza Strike as Hamas Health Authorities Revise Toll to 68, Times of Israel, Dec. 25, 2023, available online.

  21. 21.

    Gili Cohen, Hebron Shooter Elor Azaria Sentenced to 1.5 Years for Shooting Wounded Palestinian Attacker, Haaretz, Feb. 21, 2017, available online; Isabel Kershner, Israeli Who Shot Palestinian Teenager Is Sentenced to 9 Months in Prison, N.Y. Times, Apr. 25, 2018, paywall.

  22. 22.

    Nidal Al-Mughrabi & Dan Williams, Israel Says New Strike on Gaza Refugee Camp Kills Second Hamas Leader, First Evacuees Reach Egypt, Reuters, Nov. 1, 2023, available online.

  23. 23.

    Bob, supra note 18.

  24. 24.

    Bel Trew, Israeli Airstrikes Wiped Out the Family of Gaza’s Leading Doctor. Only His Teenage Son Survived, The Independent, May 24, 2021, available online.

  25. 25.

    Bob, supra note 18.

  26. 26.

    Emmanuel Fabian, IDF Says It Has Killed More Than 9,000 Hamas Operatives in Gaza Since Start of War, Times of Israel, Jan. 14, 2024, available online.

  27. 27.

    Schmitt, supra note 2.

  28. 28.

    Jason Willick, Opinion, We Can’t Ignore the Truth That Hamas Uses Human Shields, Wash. Post, Nov. 14, 2023, paywall; Beaumont, supra note 14; NATO StratCom Hamas’ Use of Human Shields in Gaza (2014), available online.

  29. 29.

    Tovah Lazaroff, Khan al-Ahmar Can Be Razed if Israeli Government Wants to Do So—High Court, The Jerusalem Post, May 7, 2023, available online.

  30. 30.

    Bosco Ntaganda: Wanted Congolese in US Mission in Rwanda, BBC News, Mar. 18, 2013, available online; Bosco Ntaganda in the ICC’s Custody, Relief Web, Mar. 22, 2013, available online.

  31. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Yonah Jeremy Bob, Jurisdictional, Substantive Legal and Policy Dilemmas of the International Criminal Court Seeking to Intervene in the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict Generally, and the Current War, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Bob.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Corn Avatar Image Geoffrey S. Corn, B.A, J.D., LLM. Lieutenant Colonel, U.S. Army (Retired) George R. Killam, Jr. Chair of Criminal Law and Director of the Center for Military Law and Policy Texas Tech University School of Law

Israel, Gaza, and the International Criminal Court

From the inception of this conflict, there seems to have been a determined effort in the international information and political domain to identify IDF war crimes. This seems to reflect an instinct to “balance” the condemnation for the undeniable war crimes committed by Hamas operatives on October 7th. This has resulted in intense scrutiny of nearly every aspect of IDF operations: cutting off resources to Hamas was almost immediately condemned as illegal starvation tactics; encouraging civilians to evacuate areas of hostilities was condemned as illegal forced displacement; combat operations around or under hospitals used by Hamas for cover was condemned as unlawful attacks on hospitals; and almost all collateral damage and incidental injury to civilians resulting from attacks on military objectives was almost automatically condemned as “too much” with almost no credible assessment of the controlling rules related to the conduct of hostilities.

Argument

I. Introduction1

In 1940, U.S Attorney General Robert Jackson—a future Supreme Court Justice and Chief Prosecutor for the Nuremberg Tribunal—gave an oft-quoted speech to all the U.S. Attorneys in the nation.2 The topic was the role of the prosecutor. In one of the most important lines of that speech, Jackson emphasized the danger of prosecutorial power, noting that:

If the prosecutor is obliged to choose his cases, it follows that he can choose his defendants. Therein is the most dangerous power of the prosecutor: that he will pick people that he thinks he should get, rather than pick cases that need to be prosecuted.3

Jackson’s admonition is central to the future credibility of the International Criminal Court (ICC), how the Court responds to the armed conflict between Israel and Hamas, and how the Court’s approach to this conflict will impact respect for international humanitarian law (IHL). Few conflicts in modern memory have evoked anything close to the international reaction to this conflict, the majority of which has been highly critical of Israel and Israel Defense Forces (IDF) operations.4 Indeed, at the time of writing this comment, the International Court of Justice is considering the South African request for provision measures against Israel based on the accusation that Israel is engaged in genocide, an accusation vehemently denied by Israel and labelled meritless by other nations.5 But no matter the outcome of this litigation, the mere fact that Israel—the nation born out of the horror of genocide against the Jewish people—must defend itself against this allegation, demonstrates the extent of hostility towards Israel this conflict has generated.

While this legal action has dominated public interest, many other states have invoked their prerogative to request investigation into potential violations of the ICC’s Rome Statute.6 This is probably unsurprising considering the public reaction to the conflict. However, how the Court, and especially the Office of the Prosecutor (OTP), respond to these requests and/or independently pursue criminal actions resulting from this conflict will present a test for the legitimacy of the tribunal.

Identifying the line between credible criminal accusations pursuant to the Rome Statute and prosecutorial decisions driven by often distorted public narratives about the conflict will be challenging, but essential to the Court’s future credibility. Ultimately, the OTP must avoid the temptation to allow public sentiment to dictate credible assessments of facts and circumstances related to potential violations, which in this context will be no easy task. Indeed, Jackson noted how such pressures may produce improper influences on credible prosecutorial decisions:

In times of fear or hysteria, political, racial, religious, social, and economic groups, often from the best of motives, cry for the scalps of individuals or groups because they do not like their views.7

In relation to this conflict, the voices of condemnation have been crying for the scalps of Israeli government and military leaders from the very inception of combat operations directed against Hamas.8 Again, Jackson warned of the risk of a prosecutor who selects the target for the exercise of his or her power instead of the crime:

It is in this realm—in which the prosecutor picks some person whom he dislikes or desires to embarrass, or selects some group of unpopular persons and then looks for an offense, that the greatest danger of abuse of prosecuting power lies. It is here that law enforcement becomes personal, and the real crime becomes that of being unpopular with the predominant or governing group, being attached to the wrong political views, or being personally obnoxious to or in the way of the prosecutor himself.9

Jackson’s observations are relevant to how the ICC deals with the situation in Gaza and how it navigates the inherent challenge to its legitimacy and efficacy created by this conflict. At the core of all these challenges is the most fundamental question: what role can the Court play in enhancing not only respect for, but also understanding of IHL? In truth, only the Court can answer this question, because only the Court can decide what cases (if any) to pursue and how it interprets the law that will dictate the outcome of these cases. Ultimately, how the Court navigates several complex issues will inform the answer to this question. These issues are addressed in turn.

Argument Continued

II. Equality of Application, Not Equality of Condemnation

A foundational principle of IHL is equality of application: that all parties to an armed conflict are bound by the same legal obligations.10 This principle applies to both international and non-international armed conflicts, and is reflected in the ICC’s jurisdiction as established by the Rome Statute.11 While there are some rules that apply differently depending on the status of parties—for example the immunity provided by combatant (or privileged belligerent) status12—there is no disparate application of law based on whether a party to the conflict is fighting on behalf of a state or a non-state organized armed group (OAG).

This is an important aspect of how the Court will address the Israeli/Hamas conflict. Because the Court’s treaty-based jurisdiction applies to all the activities associated with this conflict,13 the Court must approach the exercise of this jurisdiction with recognition that each side is subject to the same international criminal proscriptions within the Court’s subject-matter jurisdiction. But there is a fundamental difference between equality of application and equality of condemnation.14 Neither the jurisdiction of the Court, nor the underlying rules of IHL, require that members of all parties to an armed conflict be subject to criminal condemnation.15

Nonetheless, from the inception of this conflict, there seems to have been a determined effort in the international information and political domain to identify IDF war crimes.16 This seems to reflect an instinct to “balance” the condemnation for the undeniable war crimes committed by Hamas operatives on October 7th. This has resulted in intense scrutiny of nearly every aspect of IDF operations: cutting off resources to Hamas was almost immediately condemned as illegal starvation tactics;17 encouraging civilians to evacuate areas of hostilities was condemned as illegal forced displacement;18 combat operations around or under hospitals used by Hamas for cover was condemned as unlawful attacks on hospitals;19 and almost all collateral damage and incidental injury to civilians resulting from attacks on military objectives was almost automatically condemned as “too much”20 with almost no credible assessment of the controlling rules related to the conduct of hostilities.

This tendency to demand equality of condemnation will almost certainly translate into pressure on the Court—and especially the OTP—to “balance” any effort to prosecute Hamas operatives with prosecution of Israelis. The Court must resist this temptation. Where facts support such prosecutorial efforts with an accordant finding that Israel has failed in its primary obligation21 to investigate and sanction credible incidents of criminal activity, prosecution would be justified. But validating the public expectation that if one “side” faces prosecution fairness demands “equality of condemnation” is inconsistent with the legitimate exercise of the Court’s jurisdiction. Legitimacy demands the courage to reject this false assumption.

III. Complementarity and Disparity

Closely related to the danger of equality of condemnation is how the principle of complementarity22 must influence both the OTP and, if a case is presented, the pre-trial chamber. Complementarity is a foundational principle for the exercise of ICC jurisdiction;23 the principle that recognizes the primacy of national authorities to investigate and, where necessary, pursue accountability for violations of international law committed by their nationals.24 But complementarity has also been a focal point of legitimacy from the inception of the efforts to create the ICC.25 How should the Court assess the adequacy of national measures? What qualifies as a sufficient or adequate national response to suspected violations of the Rome Statute? Would the Court be capable of avoiding the temptation to assert a primary role in the accountability equation by manipulating the complementarity assessment?

These questions will be central to any effort by the Court to subject Israelis to its jurisdiction. What makes this especially complicated is that complementarity should prove no obstacle to pursuing charges against members of Hamas and other non-state OAGs engaged in this conflict. This is because there is no credible likelihood that these OAGs will make any effort to investigate and sanction even the most blatant war crimes committed by their operatives. Indeed, the facts available to date indicate that leaders throughout these organizations are complicit in these war crimes, to include the ongoing war crime of hostage taking.26 Thus, the very leaders who would be responsible for pursuing accountability efforts are themselves criminally responsible for the crimes that would need to be investigated.27

The ICC Prosecutor has, laudably, already indicated his recognition of Israel’s mechanisms for imposing accountability on its own personnel for war crimes.28 What is unknown, however, is the standard by which he and the Court will assess the efficacy of Israeli accountability efforts. Of course, those efforts will certainly be more credible than those of Hamas for the reasons noted above. But Hamas indifference—if not encouragement—of impunity is also certainly not a standard against which to judge other systems. How will the Court address cases involving Israeli investigations leading to no disciplinary or criminal action, either based on a finding of no misconduct or on insufficiency of evidence? How will the Court deal with Israeli decisions to impose disciplinary measures that may not align with the external perception of the gravity of the misconduct?29

There are no easy answers to these questions. What is certain is that the Court must assess each allegation on its individual merits and avoid allowing public sentiment to influence its assessment of Israeli disciplinary and criminal investigations and proceedings. Nor should the Court assume that decisions not to pursue disciplinary or criminal action following a preliminary investigation are inherently suspect. In short, the line between disagreeing with the disposition of an investigation and endorsing impunity may be blurry, but it is one that the Court must be vigilant to respect.

IV. Avoiding the Effects-based Condemnation Trap

No aspect of this conflict has generated greater demand for accountability than the death and destruction to civilians and civilian property resulting from the conduct of hostilities.30 These combat effects are even central to the allegation Israel is engaged in genocide in Gaza.31 It is therefore almost inevitable that the OTP will be compelled to consider if prosecution is warranted as in relation to conduct of hostilities actions.

Almost all the crimes within the Court’s jurisdiction related to the conduct of hostilities require proof of an intent to attack civilians or civilian objects or knowledge that an attack on a military objective will result in clearly excessive incidental injury or collateral damage.32 As a result, proof of that subjective mental state vis-à-vis a commander or other attack decision-maker presents obvious evidentiary challenges.33 One of the most significant of these is how to allocate evidentiary value to attack effects.34 How the Court deals with this challenge will impact not only the potential liability of defendants, but also the broader understanding of IHL “targeting” law.

It is beyond debate that both IHL and international criminal law rules regulating attacks are focused on the attack decision, not the attack outcome.35 This is reflected in the actus reus of crimes within the Court’s jurisdiction.36 Defendants are responsible for “ordering” or “launching” or “conducting” attacks with a criminal mental state, irrespective of whether that criminal mens rea results in harm to civilians or civilian property.37 In short, ICC conduct of hostilities crimes, like the underlying IHL regulation, are conduct and not result based.

Because of this, attack effects may be relevant to assessing culpability, but they are less likely to be dispositive.38 This is especially true when the effects are inflicted in areas where it was reasonable to assess the presence of a valid military objective. In such situations, relying exclusively, or even primarily, on effects negates the relevance of other military operational considerations, especially in relation to allegations of indiscriminate attacks.39 Furthermore, individual criminal responsibility for launching an illegal attack must be assessed on a case-by-case basis, and cannot be based on merely aggregating civilian casualty numbers from a broader operation. Again, while the overall impact of the operation may be probative to support an inference of what may be considered organizational indifference to the law, which in turn could support an inference of individual violation, it is invalid to assume that each attack was unlawful based on aggregate effects of combat.

Alternatively, the failure to inflict civilian casualties or destruction of civilian property is not dispositive on whether an attack was unlawful.40 Where the evidence indicates the decision to launch the attack was actuated by the requisite criminal intent or knowledge, the failure to produce the illicit result should in no way negate a finding of culpability. Thus, the Court may—and probably should—be confronted with allegations of criminal attack decision made by Hamas operatives for the countless attacks that demonstrated no pretense of targeting military objectives in Israel, even though most of those attacks failed to produce their criminal result.41

This culpability focus indicates why assessing cases to pursue will be so complex for the Court. The extensive destruction and loss of civilian life in Gaza will generate pressure to focus prosecutorial attention on members of the IDF. However, the operational context of these attack effects, especially the pervasive commingling of Hamas military personnel and assets amongst the civilian population,42 substantially reduces the probative value of these effects. In contrast, the apparent lack of any Hamas effort to target military objectives with its approximately 10,000 missile attacks43 provides compelling evidence of unlawful attack decisions, even though very few produced harmful effects.

Will the OTP and the Court be capable of a credible allocation of probative value to attack effects or the lack thereof? The perception of prosecuting Hamas operatives for the attacks they launched without pursuing cases against IDF personnel for attack decisions would arguably generate substantial criticism for the Court, no matter how legally justified. Will the Court be capable of risking the criticism such an approach to conduct of hostilities crimes would generate? And if not, how will relying primarily on attack effects impact the interpretation of IHL itself?

This issue also raises another complicated evidentiary question: what should be the effect of an inability to access information relevant to assessing the legality of attack decisions?44 It is almost inconceivable the Court could gain access to records of the deliberative process behind Hamas attacks. And if the OTP were to pursue cases against IDF personnel, it is also unlikely Israel would provide the type of cooperation that will enable access to IDF records related to their attacks. This creates a very real prospect of over-reliance on attack effects to offset the lack of access to these deliberative processes.

It may be tempting to endorse such an evidentiary approach when the inability to gather more probative evidence is stymied by officials of the suspect or defendant’s state or organization. But such an approach would not only undermine the presumption of innocence, it would impose a sanction on the individual for the actions of the state or organization.

This all points to what may be the most difficult question the Court will confront: is it able to accept the inherent uncertainty of war? Many aspects of IDF operations in Gaza may generate suspicion of illegality, but will simply not be amenable to the evidentiary assessment necessary to transform that suspicion into a reasonable basis45 to pursue prosecution. In contrast, the litany of Hamas actions that already provide prima facie evidence of criminality is substantial,46 with no plausible expectation of a complementarity obstacle. The credible exercise of prosecutorial discretion demands a willingness to acknowledge that the absence of evidence may not indicate innocence, but may prevent prosecution. This reality will be especially significant in relation to assessing attack legality in this conflict. Ultimately, it must be the elements of offenses within the Court’s jurisdiction and the availability of evidence related to those elements that dictates whether suspicion of violation is transformed into criminal prosecution.

V. Conclusion

There is little doubt that the ICC can contribute to accountability for war crimes committed in this conflict. Ideally, such accountability efforts will contribute to the positive development of IHL and future respect for the law. But the ICC will have to navigate a morass of complex issues, most notably the extent of its own jurisdiction and the inherent challenge of identifying and amassing the proof necessary to satisfy the demanding burdens associated with conduct of hostilities crimes.

How the Court approaches this conflict and the exercise of its jurisdiction will likely be a defining moment for its legitimacy. It must not allow public perceptions based on incomplete understandings of both the nature of the conflict and the legal principles and burdens related to accountability push it in any direction other than fidelity to the law. Only time will tell if it is capable of meeting this challenge.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    A special note of thanks to my research assistant, Cody Clayton, Texas Tech University School of Law Class of 2025.

  2. 2.

    Robert H. Jackson, Attorney General of the U.S., The Federal Prosecutor (address at Conference of United States Attorneys, Washington, D.C., Apr. 1, 1940), available online, archived.

  3. 3.

    Id.

  4. 4.

    Dominic Penna, MP Warns BBC Coverage of Israel–Gaza War Puts British Jews at Risk With Negative Stereotypes, The Telegraph, Jan. 10, 2024, available online; see also Ivana Kottasová & Adi Koplewitz, The World Is Turning Against Israel’s War in Gaza—and Many Israelis Don’t Understand Why, CNN, Nov. 7, 2023, available online; see also Press Release, G.A., GA/PAL/1455, Bureau of General Assembly’s Palestinian Rights Committee Condemns Killing and Wounding of Civilians in Gaza, Calls for Immediate Ceasefire (Oct. 17, 2023) [hereinafter Calls for Immediate Ceasefire], available online; see also Press Release, G.A., GA/PAL/1457, Bureau of General Assembly Palestinian Rights Committee Welcomes Security Council Resolution 2712 (2023) Demanding Compliance with International Law in Gaza (Nov. 16, 2023), available online; see also Lauren Sforza, These 8 Countries Have Pulled Ambassadors From Israel Amid Hamas War, The Hill, Nov. 6, 2023, available online.

  5. 5.

    Gabriele Steinhauser, South Africans Rally Around Government’s Genocide Allegations Against Israel, Wall St. J., Jan. 13, 2024, paywall.

  6. 6.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement on the Situation in the State of Palestine: Receipt of a Referral From Five States Parties (Nov. 17, 2023), available online; see generally, Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Adopted by the United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court, Jul. 17, 1998, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.183/9, as amended [hereinafter Rome Statute], available online.

  7. 7.

    See Jackson, supra note 2.

  8. 8.

    See Calls for Immediate Ceasefire, supra note 4

    (calling for cease-fire within 10 days of the October 7th attacks);

    see also U.N. Charter, Art. 51, available online.

    (“Nothing in the present Charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective self-defence if an armed attack occurs against a Member of the United Nations, until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security. Measures taken by Members in the exercise of this right of self-defence shall be immediately reported to the Security Council and shall not in any way affect the authority and responsibility of the Security Council under the present Charter to take at any time such action as it deems necessary in order to maintain or restore international peace and security.”).

  9. 9.

    See Jackson, supra note 2.

  10. 10.

    Adam Roberts, The Equal Application of the Laws of War: A Principle Under Pressure, 90 Int’l Rev. Red Cross 931 (Dec. 2008), available online

    (“irrespective of the question of how the war began or the relative justice of the causes involved.”).

  11. 11.

    See Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Art. 4.

  12. 12.

    Jean-Marie Henckaerts & Louise Doswald-Beck Eds., ICRC, Customary International Humanitarian Law I, 106 (2006), available online; see also Protocol Additional to the Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949, and Relating to the Protection of Victims of International Armed Conflicts, 1125 U.N.T.S. 3, Art. 44(3) (Jun. 8, 1977) [hereinafter Additional Protocol I], available online, archived.

  13. 13.

    See Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Art. 4.

  14. 14.

    Geoffrey S. Corn, The Fallacy of Equality of Condemnation, JINSA (Oct. 20, 2023), available online.

  15. 15.

    Id.

  16. 16.

    Nafisa Eltahir, U.N. Rights Chief Says War Crimes Committed on Both Sides of Israel–Hamas Conflict, Reuters, Nov. 8, 2023, available online; see also William M. Arkin, Israel’s War on Hamas: How Many Palestinian Deaths Is Too Many?, Newsweek, Dec. 13, 2023, available online.

  17. 17.

    Mallory Moench, How Experts Believe Starvation Is Being Utilized in Gaza, Time Magazine, Jan. 6, 2024, available online.

  18. 18.

    Raf Sanchez & Chantal Da Silva, Israel Calls It a Humanitarian Corridor, but for Fleeing Palestinians, It’s Forced Displacement, NBC News, Nov. 15, 2023, available online.

  19. 19.

    Julian E. Barnes, Hamas Used Gaza Hospital as a Command Center, U.S. Intelligence Says, N.Y. Times, Jan. 2, 2024, paywall; see also Ethan Bronner & Simon Marks, Israel Faces Mounting Global Pressure Over Gaza Hospital Attacks, Bloomberg News, Nov. 14, 2023, available online.

  20. 20.

    Jennifer Hansler, Blinken Denounces Civilian Toll in Gaza, Says “Far Too Many Palestinians Have Been Killed”, CNN, Nov. 10, 2023, available online; see also Natasha Turak, U.S. Issues Strongest Criticism of Israel Yet as Civilian Deaths in Gaza Surge, CNBC, Dec. 8, 2023, available online.

  21. 21.

    See Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Art. 17.

  22. 22.

    M. Christopher Jenks & Geoffrey S. Corn, Siren Song: The Implications of the Goldstone Report on International Humanitarian Law, 7 Publicist (Mar. 13, 2011), available online, archived.

  23. 23.

    See Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Art. 17.

  24. 24.

    Id.

  25. 25.

    See Jenks & Corn, supra note 22.

  26. 26.

    Anna Schecter, Hamas “Abduction Manual” Shows That Hostage-Taking Was a Central Aim of Attack, NBC News, Oct. 23, 2023, available online.

  27. 27.

    See Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Art. 28.

  28. 28.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement from Cairo on the Situation in the State of Palestine and Israel (Oct. 30, 2023), available online, video.

  29. 29.

    Israel Defense Forces, Editorial, Israel’s Investigation of Alleged Violations of the Law of Armed Conflict (Jun. 22, 2022), available online.

  30. 30.

    Press Release, ICRC, Israel and the Occupied Territories: Suffering for Civilians Continues as Hostilities Resume (Dec. 2, 2023), available online.

  31. 31.

    Mike Corder & Raf Casert, South Africa Tells Top U.N. Court Israel Is Committing Genocide in Gaza as Landmark Case Begins, AP, Jan. 11, 2024, available online.

  32. 32.

    See Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Arts. 8(2)(b), 30.

  33. 33.

    See Geoffrey S. Corn, The Conduct of Hostilities, Attack Effects, and Criminal Accountability, Israel L. Rev. (forthcoming), earlier version (Nov. 6, 2023), paywall.

  34. 34.

    Id.

  35. 35.

    Id.

  36. 36.

    See generally International Criminal Court, Elements of Crimes, ICC-ASP/1/3, Adopted and Entry into Force 9 September 2002, updated at Kampala, 31 May–11 June 2010 (Jun. 11, 2011) [hereinafter Elements of Crimes], available online, archived.

  37. 37.

    Id. Art. 8(2)(b)(i-ii).

  38. 38.

    Additional Protocol I, supra note 12, at Art. 51(5)(b)

    (on the proportionality considerations inherent to the attack decision-making process).

  39. 39.

    Id.

  40. 40.

    Elements of Crimes, supra note 36, at Art. 8(2)(b)(i-ii)

    (Effects-based language is absent from the elements constituting both the war crime of attacking civilians and that of attacking civilian objects).

  41. 41.

    Hamas Rocket Fire a War Crime, Human Rights Watch Says, BBC News, Aug. 12, 2021, available online

    (on the history of Hamas conducting indiscriminate attacks even prior to October 7th).

  42. 42.

    Carrie Keller-Lynn & David Luhnow, Intelligence Reveals Details of U.N. Agency Staff’s Links to Oct. 7 Attack, Wall St. J., Jan. 29, 2024, paywall; see also Michael N. Schmitt, Israel–Hamas 2023 Symposium: What Is and Is Not Human Shielding?, Articles of War (Nov. 3, 2023), available online.

  43. 43.

    Press Release, IDF, Largest Deployment of Aerial Defense Batteries Ever; Aerial Defense Array Intercepts Thousands of Rockets (Nov. 9, 2023), available online.

  44. 44.

    Corn, supra note 33.

  45. 45.

    Rome Statute, supra note 6, at Arts. 15, 53.

  46. 46.

    Arthur van Coller, Israel–Hamas 2024 Symposium: Qassam Rockets, Weapon Reviews, and Collective Terror as a Targeting Strategy, Articles of War (Jan. 17, 2024), available online.

  47. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Geoffrey S. Corn, Israel, Gaza, and the International Criminal Court, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Corn.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Cox Avatar Image John Michael Cox, Ph.D. Associate Professor of Global Studies and History; Director, Center for Holocaust, Genocide & Human Rights Studies University of North Carolina Charlotte

It Is Every Individual's Obligation to Confront the Current Siege in Gaza

As a scholar of genocide—and one who takes the term genocide extremely seriously and does not bandy it about or exploit it—I have concluded that this war not only has genocidal proportions and potential, as I and many of my colleagues determined in the first weeks of the war. Is a genocide unfolding right before our eyes, eight decades after the world declared “Never Again!” following the Holocaust? Seventy-five years, almost to the precise date, after the Convention to Prevent and Punish the Crime of Genocide? Yes, it is.

Argument

I. Introduction

In a 29-page ruling delivered on January 26, the International Court of Justice ruled that Israel must “immediately implement measures to limit harm to Palestinians in Gaza.”1 (Although the Court’s order is binding upon ICJ members, which includes Israel, the ICJ has no power of enforcement.)

The ICJ ordered Israel to:

  • Prevent acts prohibited by the 1948 U.N. Genocide Convention, including killing Palestinians, causing them serious bodily or mental harm, and “deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.”

  • Prevent and punish statements that constitute incitement to genocide against Palestinians in Gaza.

  • Ensure the provision of basic services and humanitarian aid “to address the adverse conditions of life” in Gaza.

  • Preserve evidence related to allegations of genocidal acts.

  • Report back to the court within one month on its compliance with the orders.2

On that same day (January 26) a four-hour session was in the Northern District of California to consider a suit brought by the Center for Constitutional Rights against the Biden Administration for complicity in genocide.3 Five days later, Judge Jeffrey S. White “deliver[ed] a historic rebuke of Israel and the United States for its flouting of the Genocide Convention,” writing:

Both the uncontroverted testimony of the Plaintiffs and the expert opinion proffered at the hearing on these motions as well as statements made by various officers of the Israeli government indicate that the ongoing military siege in Gaza is intended to eradicate a whole people and therefore plausibly falls within the international prohibition against genocide.4

The Court recognized the substantial role of the United States in furthering the genocide and noted that “as the ICJ has found, it is plausible that Israel’s conduct amounts to genocide” and, therefore, the “Court implores Defendants to examine the results of their unflagging support of the military siege against the Palestinians in Gaza.” The Court added: “It is every individual’s obligation to confront the current siege in Gaza.”5

My comment focuses on the persuasive charges of genocide that have been leveled against Israel for the war it launched on Gaza four months ago. The January 26, 2024 decision of the ICJ and the subsequent decision of California’s Northern District have made it possible that the ICC could indeed deter crimes in the region, facilitate a reduction of violence, and provide accountability, although I am not overly optimistic about any of those outcomes. The rule of law is still held hostage to power dynamics and relations in the world, and Israel, as well as the United States, are unlikely to be held accountable for their crimes in the short term.

Argument Continued

II. Collective Punishment and Worse

Israel’s goal is to destroy the Palestinians of Gaza. And those of us watching around the world are derelict in our responsibility to prevent them from doing so.6

On October 7 of last year, Hamas conducted a devastating, grisly atrocity against Israeli citizens—and others, such as migrant workers from Thailand and elsewhere. Invading kibbutzim and other sites, including a large music festival, in southern Israel just across the Gaza border, Hamas murdered approximately 1140 people. Hamas fighters also engaged in many acts of gratuitous and grotesque cruelties, including against their rape victims.7

History did not begin, however, on October 7. To be completely clear: There is nothing that would justify such horrific atrocities, and such acts do not constitute “resistance.” Yet the historical context should not be overlooked, as it has been in public discourse and in most mainstream news media coverage in the United States, Europe, and Israel. One simple fact is that October 7 would not have transpired if Israel had not illegally occupied the West Bank and Gaza for the past fifty-seven years. In that case, there would be no Hamas, and no October 7.

Within a few hours of the early-morning Hamas attack, Israel launched a war that in the U.S. news media is usually called the Israel–Hamas War; but that, in reality, is the War on Gaza —a wildly disproportionate response that, to date, has killed at least 30,000 Palestinians, most of them women and children. Thousands more have suffered life-changing injuries; at least 12,000 children have had one or more limbs amputated. Approximately 5% of Gaza’s population has been killed or injured since October 7. Five percent of the population of the U.S. would be 16.6 million. During this time, Israel has also killed several hundred West Bank Palestinians and arrested thousands more. This is all in a futile quest to destroy Hamas, which cannot be done by such methods.8

The prohibition against collective punishments is stated in the Hague Regulations and the Third and Fourth Geneva Conventions. The prohibition is recognized in Additional Protocols I and II as a fundamental guarantee for all civilians and persons hors de combat.9 Over the years, Israel has blithely ignored such laws and codes, routinely employing collective punishment on small and large scales.

III. Genocide?

As a scholar of genocide—and one who takes the term genocide extremely seriously and does not bandy it about or exploit it—I have concluded that this war not only has genocidal proportions and potential, as I and many of my colleagues determined in the first weeks of the war. Is a genocide unfolding right before our eyes, eight decades after the world declared “Never Again!” following the Holocaust? Seventy-five years, almost to the precise date, after the Convention to Prevent and Punish the Crime of Genocide? Yes, it is.

(I have also come to the conclusion that the term “genocide” is not always helpful and can obscure rather than clarify, stirring emotions rather than deep thought.10 Israel’s War on Gaza is indeed genocidal yet characterizations such as “crimes against humanity” and “ethnic cleansing” also apply, and should be powerful enough to inspire opposition and action. With that caveat, I will argue that this war does indeed constitute yet another 21st-century genocide, along with those against the Uyghur people, the Rohingya, the Yazidis, and the Darfuris and other populations within Sudan and South Sudan.)

According to Article II of the Genocide Convention, genocide is:

[A]ny of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnic, racial or religious group, as such:

  1. Killing members of the group;

  2. Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;

  3. Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;

  4. Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;

  5. Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.11

This definition is simultaneously too broad and too narrow, but, at any rate, it is apparent that Israel is in violation of a, b, c, and d. While acknowledging that the 1948 definition, though imperfect, is the only definition with the force of international law, many of us genocide scholars have formulated our own.

My definition:

Genocide is the concerted, coordinated effort to destroy any human group or collectivity as it is defined by the perpetrator.

Groups that have suffered genocidal violence have usually been identified by “race” or “ethnicity,” nationality, religion, political identity, or by social class or membership (or perceived membership) in other social groupings, such as those defined by sexual orientation or gender identity. It is essential, therefore, to avoid creating a restrictive list of potential victim groups.

Genocide differs from other mass crimes against humanity and atrocities by its ambition. Genocide aims to not only eliminate individual members of the targeted group but to destroy the group’s ability to maintain its social and cultural cohesion and, thus, its existence as a group.

The perpetrators’ genocidal intent can be uncovered by examining policies, actions, and outcomes, as well as the guiding ideology. Perpetrators very rarely provide explicit statements of genocidal intent.12

IV. Genocidal Fantasies, Expressions, and Actions

In the annals of genocide history, perpetrators have rarely spoken in such revealing and self-damning fashions as Israeli leaders have indulged in over the last four months. Only a handful of parallels come to mind, such as an infamous speech delivered by the German general, Lieutenant General Lothar von Trotha, at the beginning of the Herero and Nama genocide:

The Herero nation must now leave the country. If it refuses, I shall compel it to do so with the [cannon]. Any Herero found inside the German frontier, with or without a gun or cattle, will be executed. I shall spare neither women nor children. I shall give the order to drive them away and fire on them.13

Another rare admission of genocidal intent was vocalized in a speech by California governor Peter Hardeman Burnett in 1851 in the midst of what historians have labeled the “California Genocide” of 1846–1873, when settlers, militias, and U.S. forces committed many dozens of massacres of Indigenous peoples:

That a war of extermination will continue to be waged between the races until the Indian race becomes extinct must be expected.14

On October 11 of last year, Prime Minister Netanyahu assembled a “war cabinet” composed of himself and four others, including two “observers.” Netanyahu had returned to power ten months earlier, at the head of the most right-wing and extremist government in Israel’s history. In the past four months, each of these cabinet members, and many other high-ranking Israeli government and military officials, have expressed in explicit and often blood-curdling language their desire to destroy Palestinian society and culture within Gaza (while intensifying the fifty-seven year drive to colonize the West Bank and make life untenable for its Palestinian inhabitants).

Following is a small sampling. A few hundred more such declarations are collected by a database maintained by Law for Palestine.15

Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant, October 9, 2023:

We will end things inside Gaza. […] I have removed all restraints, [you’re allowed to] attack everything, kill those who fight us, whether there is one terrorist or there are hundreds of terrorists, [ordering to attack] through the air, land, with tanks, with bulldozers, by all means, there are no compromises. Gaza will not return to what it was.16

On the same day, he also announced:

I have ordered a complete siege on the Gaza Strip. There will be no electricity, no food, no fuel, everything is closed […] We are fighting human animals and we are acting accordingly.17

President Isaac Herzog, October 13, 2023:

It’s an entire nation out there that is responsible. This rhetoric about civilians not aware, not involved, it’s absolutely not true. They could’ve risen up, they could have fought against that evil regime.18

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, October 7:

Gaza is the city of evil. We will turn all the places in which Hamas deploys and hides into ruins. I am telling the people of Gaza—get out of there now. We will act everywhere and with full power.19

The Minister of Education, Yoav Kisch, two days later:

This [attack] is not enough, there should be more, there should be no limits to the response, I said it a million times, until we see hundreds of thousands fleeing Gaza, we, the IDF has not achieved its mission, this is a phase that should happen, I am saying this cause these are instructions that were said to the IDF […] I also do not want [the IDF] to get inside [Gaza] before crushing everything, I’d rather the falling of fifty buildings than one more casualty to our forces.20

Deputy Speaker of the Knesset Nissim Vaturi, October 10:

Erase Gaza. Nothing else will satisfy us. […] Do not leave a child there; expel all the ones who will remain so that they will not have a resurrection.

Vaturi has also tweeted, in November 2023, “Burn Gaza now.” “I stand behind my words,” he later said.

It is better to burn down buildings rather than have soldiers harmed. There are no innocents there.21

He also called for the displacement of more than 95% of Gaza’s population:

One hundred thousand remain. [Gaza’s population is 2.2 to 2.3 million]. I have no mercy for those who are still there. We need to eliminate them.22

Vaturi reiterated, in a January 9 radio interview, “It is better to burn down buildings rather than have soldiers harmed. There are no innocents there.” He added that after the forced displacement of innocent civilians, “one hundred thousand remain. I have no mercy for those who are still there. We need to eliminate them.”23

Founder and leader of Zehut (right-wing party) Moshe Feiglin, October 17:

If the goal of this operation is not destruction, occupation, deportation and settlement, we have done nothing.24

Later that day, he added:

Gaza should be razed and Israel’s rule should be restored to the place. This is our country.25

These statements are matched with genocidal actions. As historian and genocide expert Raz Segal wrote last November—before things actually grew much worse:

Palestinians in Gaza are facing a ‘slow death’ of hunger and thirst, surviving on two pieces of bread and three liters of water a day per person—as much as 97 liters less than the minimum suggestion of the World Health Organization. The lack of clean water and the severe overcrowding in the southern part of Gaza—where hundreds of thousands of Palestinians from the northern part have fled—have markedly increased the risk of outbreak of infectious diseases. The lack of fuel and medical supplies, coupled with Israeli bombings of hospitals and the Israeli army operation inside Shifa Hospital, has turned hospitals into sites of mass death. And all along, Israel continues bombing the southern part of Gaza. No place in Gaza is safe from Israel’s assault, which is, in the language of Article II(c) of the U.N. Genocide Convention, ‘deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part.’26

V. Legal Brief for Defense for Children International—Palestine et al. v. Biden et al.

On November 13, the Center for Constitutional Rights filed a lawsuit against President Biden, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III for complicity with genocide.27 The lawsuit was filed in federal court in San Francisco on behalf of Palestinian individuals and organizations.28 It requests that the defendants stop “providing further arms, money, and diplomatic support to Israel on grounds that there is an unfolding genocide by the State of Israel against the civilian population of Gaza and the U.S. officials have a legal duty to prevent, and not further, this most serious of crimes,” according to the center.29

I will quote at some length the statement released by me and two other historians who specialize in genocide studies: Barry Trachtenberg, Holocaust expert and Rubin Presidential Chair of Jewish History at Wake Forest University, and Victoria Sanford, Guatemala specialist and Director of the Center for Human Rights and Peace Studies at Lehman College. Our statement was entered into the trial record for Defense for Children International—Palestine et al. v. Biden et al., which was heard on January 3130 (and see the endnote for other scholars’ statements31).

  1. Even if the available evidence so far (November 13) would only point to the “possibility of genocide” because of the “gravity of the current situation”—as 880 scholars of international law, conflict studies, and Holocaust and Genocide Studies wrote in a statement on October 1532—that would still place our conclusions within the normative framework of the Convention, which requires Contracting Parties to act to “prevent genocide before it happens or to stop it.”33

    Legal and Historical Elements of the Crime of Genocide in Israel’s Attack on Gaza

  2. The assessment of genocide against Palestinians in Israel’s attack on Gaza after October 7 rests primarily on two key elements:

    1. Clear expressions of the special intent (dolus specialis) to commit genocide by state leaders and senior army officers, that is, those with command authority. Past historical precedents reveal that intent is often articulated through explicitly dehumanizing and demonizing language. We see the same kind of language in this case, specifically the description of Palestinians in Gaza as “human animals.”

    2. The nature of the Israeli attack, specifically the levels of destruction and killings through carpet bombings on one of the most densely populated areas in the world that at the same time is put under “total siege”—which deprives the civilian population of food, water, fuel, and medical supplies—are measures that, when combined with explicit intent, are “deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part” (Genocide Convention Article II(c)).

    […]

    Israel’s Genocidal Intent

  3. Perpetrators of genocide rarely express their intentions as directly as Israeli state leaders and senior army officers have done after October 7.

  4. On October 9, Israel Defense Minister Yoav Gallant proclaimed: “We are imposing a complete siege on Gaza. No electricity, no food, no water, no fuel. Everything is closed. We are fighting human animals, and we will act accordingly.”

  5. Israeli President Isaac Herzog repeated Israel’s intention to commit genocide against the civilian population of 2.2 million—half of whom are children and youth under the age of 18—when he asserted, on October 13, that “it’s an entire nation out there [in Gaza] that is responsible. It’s not true this rhetoric about civilians not being aware, not involved. It’s absolutely not true.”

  6. Other Israeli state leaders and senior army officers preferred incendiary language different than what Gallant chose, focusing more on defining Palestinians as Nazis who act strictly out of antisemitic motives. Former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennett expressed this in an interview on 12 October: “We’re fighting Nazis.”

  7. Finally, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, promised to turn Gaza “into rubble,” and on October 29 declared a religious war as Israeli forces began their ground invasion into the Gaza Strip, and he invoked the biblical story of the total destruction of Amalek by the Israelites. Netanyahu referred to this story again in a special letter on November 3 to the soldiers and officers in the Israeli army.

  8. Each of the statements quoted in this section by people with command authority on its own would be cause for great alarm; taken together, they demonstrate clear “intent to destroy” Palestinians in Gaza “as such.”

    Israel’s Genocidal Actions

  9. Some of the key facts so far about Israel’s attack on Gaza include:

    • Gaza is one of the most densely populated areas in the world. Since October 9, Israel has dropped more than 20,000 tons of explosives on Gaza, which are at least 1.5 times more explosives than the atomic bomb that the United States dropped on Hiroshima at the end of World War II. Israel has so far (November 13) killed over 11,000 Palestinians, wounding more than 30,000.

    • Among the Palestinians that Israel has so far (November 13) killed in Gaza include more than 4,100 children and youths—more than the annual number of children killed across the world’s conflict zones since 2019.

    • Human Rights Watch has confirmed the use of white phosphorous bombs in Israel’s attack on Gaza. White phosphorous sets fire to bodies and buildings, creating flames that are not extinguishable on contact with water.

    • Israel has destroyed or damaged more than half of all the housing in the Gaza Strip, also seriously damaging more than 220 schools and 12 hospitals, as well as dozens of mosques and several churches. This confirms what Israeli army spokesperson Daniel Hagari said on October 10: “Gaza will eventually turn into a city of tents. There will be no buildings,” adding “the emphasis is on damage and not on accuracy.”

U.S. government lawyers were reduced to making an embarrassingly thin argument—that the suit was unfortunately “challenging US foreign policy toward Israel”—while studiously sidestepping the substantive human-rights issues raised in the suit. Watching the hearing online, I detected Judge White’s growing sympathy for the plaintiffs’ case, and his increasing exasperation with the government’s tactics was evident. He concluded in a rather extraordinary fashion, telling the plaintiffs, “You have been seen, you have been heard.”34

VI. Human Rights Watch Report

In mid-December, Human Rights Watch released a devastating report, Israel: Starvation Used as Weapon of War in Gaza.35 Below are some excerpts (and again, matters have only intensified and the Palestinians’ suffering has only increased over the intervening weeks):

  • The Israeli government is using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare in the Gaza Strip, which is a war crime.

  • Israeli officials have made public statements expressing their aim to deprive civilians in Gaza of food, water, and fuel—statements reflected in Israeli forces’ military operations.

Also from the report:

International humanitarian law, or the laws of war, prohibits the starvation of civilians as a method of warfare. The Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court provides that intentionally starving civilians by “depriving them of objects indispensable to their survival, including willfully impeding relief supplies” is a war crime.

In addition, Israel’s continuing blockade of Gaza, as well as its more than 16-year closure, amounts to collective punishment of the civilian population, a war crime. As the occupying power in Gaza under the Fourth Geneva Convention, Israel has the duty to ensure that the civilian population gets food and medical supplies.

U.N. experts said on November 16 that the significant damage “threatens to make the continuation of Palestinian life in Gaza impossible.” Notably, Israeli forces’ bombing of Gaza’s last operational wheat mill on November 15 ensures that locally produced flour will be unavailable in Gaza for the foreseeable future. […] Additionally, the U.N. Office for Project Services said that the decimation of road networks had made it more difficult for humanitarian organizations to deliver aid to those who need it.

“Bakeries and grain mills have been destroyed, agriculture, water and sanitation facilities,” Scott Paul, a senior humanitarian policy adviser for Oxfam America, told the Associated Press on November 23.

Israel’s military operations in Gaza have also had a devastating impact on Gaza’s agricultural sector. The sustained bombardment, coupled with fuel and water shortages, alongside the displacement of more than 1.6 million people to southern Gaza, has made farming nearly impossible, according to Oxfam. In a report from November 28, OCHA said that livestock in the north are facing starvation due to the shortage of fodder and water, and that crops are increasingly abandoned and damaged due to lack of fuel to pump irrigation water. […] On November 28, the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics said that Gaza is suffering from at least a US$1.6 million daily loss in farm production.

Satellite imagery reviewed by Human Rights Watch indicates that since the start of the Israeli military’s ground offensive on October 27, agricultural land, including orchards, greenhouses, and farmland in northern Gaza, has been razed, apparently by Israeli forces.36

VII. Conclusions: Can the ICC “deter crimes in the region, facilitate a reduction of violence,” and/or “provide accountability for criminality in the conflict”?

The ruling by the ICJ of January 26, 202437 and the ruling in California’s Northern District a few days later38 provide hope that international justice can ameliorate the Palestinians’ suffering (although neither court has the power or means of enforcing their rulings). But like its chief sponsor, the U.S. government, and other powerful nations such as Russia, Israel has continuously demonstrated its ability to ignore international law without consequences. Each of the ICJ’s demands, five of which I highlighted at the top of this comment, would indeed “deter crimes” and “facilitate a reduction of violence,” as well as ensure some degree of accountability … if they could be enforced.

Can the ICC “advance post-conflict reconciliation between Israelis and the Palestinian people”? I am not hopeful that it could, or that any legal processes could foster genuine reconciliation and understanding among the peoples of Israel and Palestine. International law, and the so-called international community—whatever that is exactly—have utterly failed the Palestinians for the last three-quarters of a century, and, given current power relations in the world, it is difficult to imagine how that will change.

Yet there are other initiatives that do give me hope, and that can point a way forward. I do not wish to be over-optimistic or naïve but allow me to point to some hopeful trends of past years.

There have always been many people in Israel and the Palestinian territories who are working toward a just solution. One example is Parents Circle—Families Forum, consisting of Palestinian and Israelis who have lost family members in the conflict.39 “Our most important ongoing work on the ground is conducting dialogue meetings in schools,” explained Robi Damelin, whose son was killed while serving for the IDF in the Occupied Territories. These “dialogue meetings […] allow us to reach more than 25,000 students every year. We speak to 16– and 17-year-old Palestinian and Israeli students who, for the most part, have not met” their counterparts. The group aims to “open the eyes” of the young people “to the humanity and narrative of the other side.”40

The history of Jewish–Arab and Jewish–Muslim relation teaches us that there is nothing inevitable about these disputes. For more than 1300 years, since the dawn of Islam in the early seventh century, Muslims and Jews lived together in much greater harmony and peace than Jews enjoyed in Christian Europe. With the famed Israeli conductor Daniel Barenboim, Edward Said (1932–2003) started the West-Eastern Divan Orchestra, which brings together Palestinian and Israeli children. Said wrote in 1997:

We must [try to understand] our histories together, in order for there to be a common future. And that future must include Arabs and Jews together, free of any exclusionary, denial-based schemes for shutting out one side by the other, either theoretically or politically. That is the real challenge. The rest is much easier.41

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Order (Jan. 26, 2024) [hereinafter ICJ Order], available online, video.

  2. 2.

    Id.

  3. 3.

    Defense for Children International—Palestine v. Biden, CCR, available online (last visited Feb. 17, 2024).

  4. 4.

    Defense for Children International—Palestine et al. v. Joseph R. Biden, Jr., Anthony J. Blinken, Lloyd James Austin III, 3:23-cv-05829, Order Granting Motion to Dismiss and Denying Motion for Preliminary Injunction, 4 (N.D. Cal., Jan. 31, 2024) [hereinafter N.D. Cal. Order], available online.

  5. 5.

    Press Release, CCR, U.S. Court Concludes Israel’s Assault on Gaza is Plausible Case of Genocide (Jan. 31, 2024), available online.

  6. 6.

    Raz Segal, A Textbook Case of Genocide, Jewish Currents (Oct. 13, 2023), available online.

  7. 7.

    Jeffrey Gettleman, Anat Schwartz & Adam Sella, “Screams Without Words”: How Hamas Weaponized Sexual Violence on Oct. 7, N.Y. Times, Dec. 28, 2023, updated Jan. 25, 2024, available online.

  8. 8.

    See Medhi Hasan & Dina Sayedahmed, Blowback: How Israel Went from Helping Create Hamas to Bombing It, The Intercept, Feb. 19, 2018, available online

    (noting that Israel helped create Hamas in the 1980s, as a counter-balance to the secular nationalist Fatah and the PLO).

  9. 9.

    Rule 103. Collective Punishments, Int’l Humanitarian L. Databases, available online (last visited Feb. 10, 2024).

  10. 10.

    See A. Dirk Moses, The Problems of Genocide: Permanent Security and the Language of Transgression, at Introduction (2021), paywall, doi.

  11. 11.

    Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, Art. II, Dec. 9, 1948, S. Exec. Doc. O, 81-1 (1949), 78 U.N.T.S. 277 [hereinafter Genocide Convention], available online.

  12. 12.

    John Cox, To Kill a People: Genocide in the Twentieth Century (2016), paywall.

    (Article XIV of the Genocide Convention states that the definition should be revisited after ten years; after seventy-five years, this has still not happened).

  13. 13.

    The Herero and Namaqua Genocide, The Holocaust Explained, available online (last visited Feb. 17, 2024).

  14. 14.

    California’s First Elected Governor Promotes Genocide, Investing in Native Communities, available online (last visited Feb. 17, 2024).

  15. 15.

    Law for Palestine Releases Database with 500+ Instances of Israeli Incitement to Genocide—Continuously Updated, L4P (Jan. 4, 2024), available online.

  16. 16.

    Emanuel Fabian & Jacob Magid, Gallant: Israel Moving to Full Offense, Gaza Will Never Go Back to What It Once Was, Times of Israel, Oct. 10, 2023, available online.

  17. 17.

    “We are fighting human animals” said Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, No Comment TV on YouTube (Oct. 9, 2023), video.

  18. 18.

    Sprinter (@Sprinter99800), Israeli President Says There Are No Innocent Citizens in the Gaza Strip, X (Oct. 13, 2023, 10:31 PM), video.

  19. 19.

    Daniel Boffey & Sam Jones, Israel’s Darkest Day: The 24 Hours That Shook the Country, The Guardian, Oct. 13, 2023, available online.

  20. 20.

    Yoav Kisch, Zionism Observer, available online (last visited Feb. 16, 2024).

  21. 21.

    Ahead of Hague Hearing, Likud MK Doubles Down on Call to “Burn Gaza”, Times of Israel, Jan. 10, 2024, available online.

  22. 22.

    Id.

  23. 23.

    Id.

  24. 24.

    Yehuda Shaul (@YehudaShaul), X (Oct. 17, 2023, 8:27 AM), available online.

  25. 25.

    Yehuda Shaul (@YehudaShaul), X (Oct. 12, 2023, 6:16 AM), available online.

  26. 26.

    Raz Segal, Opinion, Gaza’s Health System Has Collapsed, Multiplying the War’s Toll on Children, L.A. Times, Nov. 13, 2023, paywall (citations omitted).

  27. 27.

    Defense for Children International—Palestine v. Biden, supra note 3.

  28. 28.

    Chris McGreal, US Rights Group Sues Biden for Alleged “Failure to Prevent Genocide” in Gaza, The Guardian, Nov. 13, 2023, available online.

  29. 29.

    Press Release, CCR, Palestinians Sue Biden for Failure to Prevent Genocide, Seek Emergency Order to Stop Military and Diplomatic Support for Israeli Government’s Assault on Gaza (Nov. 13, 2023), available online.

  30. 30.

    Press Release, Center for Constitutional Rights, In Gaza Genocide Case, Palestinians Seek Immediate Court Order to Stop Biden from Arming and Funding Israeli Government, Cite His Legal Duty to Prevent, Not Further, Genocide (Nov. 16, 2023), available online.

  31. 31.

    Other statements from academics and genocide experts include Raz Segal, Statement of Scholars in Holocaust and Genocide Studies on Mass Violence in Israel and Palestine since 7 October, Contending Modernities (Dec. 9, 2023), available online; A. Dirk Moses, More than Genocide: The Law Occludes the Abhorrent Violence Perpetrated by States in the Name of Self-Defense, Boston Rev. (Nov. 14, 2023), available online; Raz Segal, Opinion, Here’s What the Mass Violence in Gaza Looks Like to a Scholar of Genocide, L.A. Times, Nov. 19, 2023, paywall; Segal, supra note 6; Martin Shaw, Inescapably Genocidal, J. Genocide Res. (Jan. 3, 2024), available online, doi.

  32. 32.

    Public Statement: Scholars Warn of Potential Genocide in Gaza, TWAILR (Oct. 17, 2023), available online.

    (“On 15 October 2023, over 800 scholars and practitioners of international law, conflict studies and genocide studies signed a public statement warning of the possibility of genocide being perpetrated by Israeli forces against Palestinians in the Gaza Strip. Signatories include prominent Holocaust and genocide studies scholars, as well as many international law and TWAIL scholars.”).

  33. 33.

    Genocide Convention, supra note 11, at Art. I.

  34. 34.

    Defense for Children International-Palestine v. Biden, U.S. Courts, video (last visited Feb. 17, 2024)

    (containing official video from the hearing).

  35. 35.

    Human Rights Watch, Israel: Starvation Used as a Weapon of War in Gaza (Dec. 18, 2023), available online.

  36. 36.

    Id.

  37. 37.

    ICJ Order, supra note 1.

  38. 38.

    N.D. Cal. Order, supra note 4.

  39. 39.

    Home Page, PCFF, available online (last visited Feb. 17, 2024).

  40. 40.

    Robi Damelin, Israeli and Palestinian Victims Break Cycle of Violence (Mar. 3, 2011).

  41. 41.

    Edward W. Said, The End of the Peace Process: Oslo and After 209 (May 8, 2001), paywall.

    (It is impossible to overstate the admiration that many thousands of us still hold for Dr. Said, twenty years after his premature death from cancer in September 2003. We miss him every day, especially now).

  42. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    John Michael Cox, It Is Every Individual's Obligation to Confront the Current Siege in Gaza, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Cox.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Evenson Avatar Image Elizabeth Evenson International Justice Director Human Rights Watch

Impartial International Justice Mechanisms—Together with International Support—Needed for Accountability for Crimes in Israel–Palestine Conflict

Impunity fuels abuses and hollows out the ability of the law to deter atrocities on its own. As such, there is now more than ever a need for strong support for impartial and independent justice processes to bring accountability for serious crimes by all sides. This means support for international justice institutions, like the ICC; the UN’s Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and Israel; the International Court of Justice (ICJ); and prosecutions through national courts under the principle of universal jurisdiction.

The ICC is a court of last resort, meaning it can only intervene when national courts are unwilling or unable to prosecute the very serious crimes listed in the Court’s founding statute. Human Rights Watch research shows that Israeli and Palestinian authorities have failed to credibly investigate and prosecute alleged serious crimes, highlighting the importance of an ICC investigation to fill the accountability gap. Since 2016, Human Rights Watch has urged the ICC to pursue a formal Palestine investigation. In our analysis, the grave nature of many of the violations and the pervasive climate of impunity for those crimes made an ICC investigation necessary.

Argument

The International Criminal Court, as part of a broader system of justice pathways, has an essential role to play in delivering accountability for the serious international crimes committed by all parties in Israel and Palestine. Whether it will be able to do so depends largely on the will of the international community to support impartial and independent justice.

On October 29, 2023, the International Criminal Court (ICC) prosecutor, Karim A. A. Khan, delivered a statement from the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt.1 Earlier that month, on October 7, Hamas and other Palestinian armed groups breached the fences separating Gaza and Israel, killed an estimated 1200 people, most of them civilians, and took more than 230 people hostage.2 There is no justification for the war crimes3 the groups committed.

Israel then launched an aerial campaign in Gaza, unprecedented in intensity,4 and cut off essential services, including water and electricity, to Gaza’s population. Israeli authorities blocked the entry of all but a trickle of fuel and critical humanitarian aid.5 They have collectively punished6 Gaza’s civilian population and used starvation as a method of warfare,7 war crimes that have no justification.

Khan’s statement—echoing comments he had made to the media since October 7—confirmed that alleged crimes by all parties to the hostilities fall within the scope of the investigation his office has been conducting into the situation of the State of Palestine since 2021. The prosecutor’s presence at the border crossing was a potent visual reminder of the ICC’s essential, independent, and impartial role8 in upholding the rules-based international order.

A core principle of international law is that atrocities by one party do not justify atrocities by another party. Regrettably, parties are committing serious international crimes9 within the Court’s jurisdiction in many of today’s crises, including Israel–Palestine,10 Darfur,11 and Ukraine,12 all situations where the Court has investigations underway.

Amid heavy Israeli bombardment since October 7 and the subsequent ground invasion, more than 27,000 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza,13 according to the Gaza Health Ministry, and more than 100 people kidnapped from southern Israel are still held as hostages.

The prospect of justice should be a deterrent to those who would commit war crimes. This, after all, was a key commitment made in the drafting of the Rome Statute, the ICC’s founding treaty, the Preamble of which asserts a “determin[ation] to put an end to impunity for the perpetrators of [grave] crimes and thus to contribute to the prevention of such crimes.”14 But the truth is that the appalling loss of civilian lives is the result of past and ongoing crimes15 and other unlawful actions for which virtually no one has yet been held to account.

For more than sixteen years,16 Israel has imposed an unlawful closure17 on the people in Gaza,18 including a generalized travel ban on all of Gaza’s population, with few exceptions, and sweeping restrictions on the movement of goods. About seventy percent of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents are either refugees who were expelled from or fled their homes in what is now Israel in 1948 or their descendants. They have been denied for decades their right to return to those areas.19 Before the current hostilities, eighty percent of Gaza residents relied on humanitarian aid. Nearly half of those living in Gaza are children.

For over half a century,20 Israeli authorities have maintained a military occupation over Palestinians in the West Bank (including East Jerusalem) and Gaza. And there is an emerging consensus within the human rights community21—including some of the most prominent Israeli human rights groups—that Israeli officials are committing the crime against humanity of apartheid,22 as well as the crime against humanity of persecution, against Palestinians.

While the current hostilities are unprecedented in scale,23 many of the abuses we are witnessing have been committed with impunity for years, including during prior rounds of fighting. During the last major escalation, in May 2021, Human Rights Watch concluded that Israeli forces and Palestinian armed groups had committed war crimes,24 and some of these patterns are repeating with greater intensity in the current hostilities.

Argument Continued

Impunity fuels abuses and hollows out the ability of the law to deter atrocities on its own. As such, there is now more than ever a need for strong support for impartial and independent justice processes to bring accountability for serious crimes by all sides. This means support for international justice institutions, like the ICC;25 the UN’s Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Occupied Palestinian Territory,26 including East Jerusalem, and Israel; the International Court of Justice (ICJ);27 and prosecutions through national courts under the principle of universal jurisdiction.28

The ICC is a court of last resort, meaning it can only intervene when national courts are unwilling or unable to prosecute the very serious crimes listed in the Court’s founding statute. Human Rights Watch research shows that Israeli and Palestinian authorities have failed to credibly investigate and prosecute alleged serious crimes,29 highlighting the importance of an ICC investigation to fill the accountability gap. Since 2016, Human Rights Watch has urged the ICC to pursue a formal Palestine investigation. In our analysis, the grave nature of many of the violations and the pervasive climate of impunity for those crimes made an ICC investigation necessary.

Though Israel is not an ICC member, the Court is empowered to prosecute individuals for serious crimes committed in or from Palestinian territory, as well as crimes committed by Palestinian nationals, including members of armed groups like Hamas. Palestine joined the Court in 2015 and gave the Court a mandate over serious crimes dating back to 2014. Since the onset of the most recent hostilities, there have been two separate referrals of the situation by ICC member countries to the ICC prosecutor for investigation.

The ICC is not the only pathway to justice. On October 10, 2023, the UN’s Independent International Commission of Inquiry stated that there was “clear evidence” of war crimes in Israel and Gaza and that it would be sharing information with relevant judicial authorities, including the ICC.30 The U.N. inquiry was established by the Human Rights Council in Geneva.

Governments can also support other credible pathways to accountability for abuses in Israel and Palestine through the principle of universal jurisdiction. In recent years, the national courts and prosecuting authorities of an increasing number of countries, largely in EU member states, have pursued criminal cases under this principle involving war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide committed abroad. This means that state judicial or prosecutorial officials can start investigations even though the crimes were committed elsewhere and regardless of the nationality of the perpetrators or victims.

Cases in European courts have involved crimes committed in Syria,31 Rwanda, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Afghanistan, Iraq, Liberia,32 and Gambia,33 among others. Universal jurisdiction cases are an increasingly important part of international efforts to hold those responsible for atrocities accountable, provide justice to victims who have nowhere else to turn, deter future crimes, and help ensure that countries do not become safe havens for human rights abusers.

Our research shows that effective and impartial justice for serious crimes through universal jurisdiction is achievable where there is the right combination of appropriate laws, adequate resources, institutional commitment, and political will.34

The International Court of Justice is also examining Israel’s conduct in Gaza.35 In December, South Africa filed a case before the ICJ alleging that Israel is violating the 1948 Genocide Convention. The case before the ICJ is not a criminal case against individual alleged violators. Rather, the case is “state-to-state” litigation between U.N. member states governed by legal provisions in the U.N. Charter, the ICJ Statute, and the Genocide Convention.

While the case may take many years to reach a final ruling, on January 26, 2024, ICJ judges issued a decision imposing “provisional measures,” or binding orders, that include requiring Israel to prevent genocide against Palestinians in Gaza, enable the provision of basic services and humanitarian assistance, and prevent and punish incitement to commit genocide.36

We have called on governments to speak out in support of the ICJ proceedings and to publicly commit to support compliance with the Court’s decision.37

The ICJ case and the ICC investigation are likely to influence one another. Indeed, South Africa’s ICJ application references the ICC process numerous times. Each court may apply the findings of the other in its reasoning as their proceedings progress.

There is also a separate related proceeding underway before the ICJ. In December 2022, the U.N. General Assembly requested an advisory opinion from the ICJ on the legal consequences of Israel’s prolonged occupation of the West Bank and Gaza.38 The General Assembly first asked the ICJ for an advisory opinion related to the Occupied Palestinian Territory twenty years ago. In 2004, the ICJ’s advisory opinion found that the route of Israel’s separation barrier violated international law and that it should be dismantled.39 The December 2022 request is wider in scope. The ICJ will convene public hearings on the request starting on February 19, 2024.40

These multiple pathways hold out promise to break cycles of impunity that are a root cause of the suffering in Gaza, the West Bank, and Israel.

But international law depends on political will for its enforcement. This is particularly true for the ICC, which sits outside the U.N. system and does not have its own police force. Across all ICC situations, a lack of cooperation can stymy progress, from unexecuted arrest warrants all the way to obstruction of Court investigations. It is crucial for governments to press Israeli and Palestinian authorities to cooperate with the U.N. inquiry and the ICC, as they carry out their investigations.

Many ICC member countries have remained silent, however, on the importance of pursuing accountability and impartial justice for both Israeli and Palestinian victims of serious crimes. This stands in stark contrast to the responses of these same governments to war crimes in Ukraine. This has led to perceptions41 of double standards,42 putting the ICC’s legitimacy at risk—not because the two situations are necessarily comparable (no two conflicts are), but because many states shouted their support for principles of justice for one, but seemed to forget them for the other.

These double standards have also been at issue in responses to the ICJ case on Gaza. Several states have supported equivalent justice processes before the ICC and the ICJ with regard to charges of genocide in Myanmar but have not spoken up in support of processes addressing the Israel and Palestine situation or highlighted the binding nature of the Court’s orders and the need for compliance. Some have even challenged the legitimacy of the case brought by South Africa to the ICJ. Governments in the Global South and other observers are increasingly calling this out.

We believe that ICC member countries should use every opportunity to publicly speak about the critical role of the Court across all situations on its docket, including in the context of these hostilities. ICC member countries also need to step up43 their financial, political, and practical support so that the Court can effectively deliver on its global mandate with full independence. Chronic underfunding of the ICC by its member countries risks leaving the Court without the resources to meet its critical workload.

There was recent progress at the December 2023 meeting of ICC member countries.44 Rather than ignore the situation in Israel and Palestine, no fewer than nineteen states, by our count, spoke openly about the importance of the role of the ICC there during the high-level general debate opening the session. Responding implicitly to the concern about double standards that is anathema to the rule of law,45 forty-eight countries joined together in a statement during the session declaring that “all victims deserve equal access to justice.”46

The absence of accountability in Israel and Palestine would only fuel further abuses, leave victims and survivors without access to justice that is their right, and leave grievances unaddressed. The fact that the ICC and ICJ can play a role here is a step in the right direction, but in order to have impact, they need global support. Supporting legal processes before the ICC and the ICJ does not require taking a position on the underlying allegations. It entails entrusting impartial and independent processes with assessing the facts and determining responsibility and giving victims—all victims—their day in court.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement from Cairo on Situation in the State of Palestine and Israel (Oct. 30, 2023), available online, video.

  2. 2.

    Sari Bashi, HRW, Hamas-Led Attack in Southern Israel Kills Hundreds: All Parties to Conflict Must Abide by Laws of War (Oct. 10, 2023), available online.

  3. 3.

    Human Rights Watch, Hamas, Islamic Jihad: Holding Hostages is a War Crime: Free Civilians Held in Gaza; Treat All Humanely; Don’t Use as Human Shields (Oct. 19, 2023), available online.

  4. 4.

    Human Rights Watch, Israel/Palestine: Unprecedented Killings, Repression: Urgent Action Needed to Prevent Further Mass Atrocities (Jan. 11, 2024) [hereinafter Unprecedented Killings], available online.

  5. 5.

    Sari Bashi, HRW, Israel Still Blocking Aid to Civilians in Gaza: Collective Punishment of Palestinians is a War Crime (Oct. 23, 2023), available online.

  6. 6.

    Isaac Chotiner, The Humanitarian Catastrophe in Gaza, The New Yorker (Oct. 15, 2023), available online, archived.

  7. 7.

    Human Rights Watch, Israel: Starvation Used as Weapon of War in Gaza (Dec. 18, 2023), available online.

  8. 8.

    Balkees Jarrah, HRW, Countries Should Back ICC Investigation on Israel–Palestine: Important Opportunity to Speak Up for Justice (Oct. 25, 2023), available online.

  9. 9.

    Clive Baldwin, How Does International Humanitarian Law Apply in Israel and Gaza?, The New Arab (Oct. 27, 2023), available online, archived.

  10. 10.

    Israel/Palestine, HRW, available online (last visited Feb. 9, 2024).

  11. 11.

    Sudan, HRW, available online (last visited Feb. 9, 2024).

  12. 12.

    Ukraine, HRW, available online (last visited Feb. 9, 2024).

  13. 13.

    Hostilities in the Gaza Strip and Israel: Flash Update #112, OCHA (last updated Feb. 9, 2024), available online.

  14. 14.

    Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Adopted by the United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court, Jul. 17, 1998, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.183/9, as amended [hereinafter Rome Statute], Preamble, available online.

  15. 15.

    Balkees Jarrah, HRW, Gaza Hostilities Underscore ICC’s Role: Member Countries Should Extend Prosecutor Full Support (May 20, 2021), available online.

  16. 16.

    World Report: Israel and Palestine, HRW, available online (last visited Feb. 9, 2024).

  17. 17.

    Human Rights Watch, Israel: 50 Years of Occupation Abuses (Jun. 4, 2017), available online.

  18. 18.

    Paul Aufiero, Omar Shakir & Abier Almasri, HRW, Interview: For Palestinians in Gaza, Freedom is Priceless (Jun. 14, 2022), available online.

  19. 19.

    Sari Bashi, HRW, Gaza: Two Rights of Return (Jan. 27, 2024), available online.

  20. 20.

    Israel: 50 Years of Occupation Abuses, supra note 17.

  21. 21.

    Human Rights Watch, A Threshold Crossed: Israeli Authorities and the Crimes of Apartheid and Persecution (Apr. 27, 2021), available online.

  22. 22.

    Lama Fakih & Omar Shakir, Opinion, Does Israel’s Treatment of Palestinians Rise to the Level of Apartheid?, L.A. Times, Dec. 5, 2023, available online, archived.

  23. 23.

    Unprecedented Killings, supra note 4.

  24. 24.

    Human Rights Watch, Gaza: Apparent War Crimes During May Fighting (Jul. 27, 2021), available online.

  25. 25.

    Starvation Used as Weapon of War in Gaza, supra note 7.

  26. 26.

    Louis Charbonneau, How the UN Can Help End Israeli Apartheid and Persecution, FPIF (May 19, 2021), available online, archived.

  27. 27.

    Human Rights Watch, Gaza: World Court Orders Israel to Prevent Genocide (Jan. 26, 2024), available online.

  28. 28.

    Universal Jurisdiction, HRW, available online (last visited Feb. 9, 2024).

  29. 29.

    Human Rights Watch, Palestine: ICC Should Open Formal Probe (Jun. 5, 2016), available online.

  30. 30.

    Press Release, OHCHR, Commission of Inquiry Collecting Evidence of War Crimes Committed by All Sides in Israel and Occupied Palestinian Territories Since 7 October 2023 (Oct. 10, 2023), available online.

  31. 31.

    Human Rights Watch, One Year On: Documenting Koblenz (Jan. 12, 2023), available online.

  32. 32.

    Human Rights Watch, France’s Trial for Atrocities Committed in Liberia: Questions and Answers (Oct. 5, 2022), available online.

  33. 33.

    Human Rights Watch, Switzerland/Gambia: Jammeh-Era Crimes on Trial (Jan. 5, 2024), available online.

  34. 34.

    Universal Jurisdiction, supra note 28.

  35. 35.

    Human Rights Watch, World Court to Hear Genocide Case Against Israel: South Africa Seeks Urgent Measures to Halt Abuses in Gaza (Jan. 10, 2024), available online.

  36. 36.

    Gaza: World Court Orders Israel to Prevent Genocide, supra note 27.

  37. 37.

    Human Rights Watch (@hrw), X (Jan. 26, 2024 6:48 AM), available online.

  38. 38.

    Request to International Court of Justice from United Nations for Advisory Opinion Transmitted to the Court Pursuant to General Assembly Resolution 77/247 of 30 December 2022, I.C.J., Legal Consequences Arising From the Policies and Practices of Israel in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, Including East Jerusalem (Jan. 17, 2023), available online.

  39. 39.

    Legal Consequences of the Construction of a Wall in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, Advisory Opinion, 2004 I.C.J. 136 (Jul. 9, 2004), available online.

  40. 40.

    Press Release, I.C.J., Legal Consequences Arising From the Policies and Practices of Israel in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, Including East Jerusalem (Request for Advisory Opinion) (Oct. 23, 2023), available online.

  41. 41.

    Human Rights Watch, ICC: Combat Double Standards for Justice (Dec. 4, 2023), available online.

  42. 42.

    Maria Elena Vignoli, The Long—Yet Still Uneven—Arc of International Justice, Opinio Juris (Jan. 27, 2023), available online, archived.

  43. 43.

    Human Rights Watch, Statement for the General Debate of the International Criminal Court’s Twenty-Second Assembly of States Parties (Dec. 7, 2023), available online.

  44. 44.

    Human Rights Watch, Briefing Note for the Twenty-Second Session of the International Criminal Court Assembly of States Parties (Nov. 20, 2023), available online.

  45. 45.

    Elizbeth Evenson, Strengthening Global Justice: Renewed Commitment to Equal Access Should Mark ICC Anniversary Year, Jurist (Jul. 17, 2023), available online, archived.

  46. 46.

    Liz Evenson (@liz_evenson), X (Dec. 8, 2023 9:31 AM), available online

  47. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Elizabeth Evenson, Impartial International Justice Mechanisms—Together with International Support—Needed for Accountability for Crimes in Israel–Palestine Conflict, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Evenson.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Horovitz Avatar Image Dr. Sigall Horovitz Transitional Justice Advisor The Clinical Legal Education Center at Hebrew University of Jerusalem

The ICC’s Road to Peace Passes Through Complementarity: Possible Peace Enhancing Effects of the ICC in Israel/Palestine

I suggest that the ICC–peace relationship should not necessarily be regarded as a direct one. Just as we expect the ICC to attain its retributive goals by activating national justice systems, we should expect the same when it comes to the attainment of its restorative goals. In other words, international tribunals can promote peace and reconciliation through the same mechanism they employ to promote accountability: triggering domestic legal developments in their target countries (which they do even when they are negatively perceived by local populations). When justice is administered on the national level, it is more likely to be perceived by the local population as relevant and legitimate, and therefore has greater potential to yield the restorative effects described above, including humanizing victims and perpetrators, reducing feelings of revenge, and so on, eventually creating conditions conducive to peace and reconciliation. This is especially when domestic accountability procedures target both sides of the conflict, which may be the case in Israel.

Argument

In December 2023, the ICC Prosecutor paid his first ever visit to Israel and Palestine.1 During the visit, the Prosecutor stressed the gravity of the crimes committed in Israel on October 7th by Hamas members and affiliates, referring to them as “crimes which the ICC was established to address.” He also warned Israel that his office will be “required to act” if Israel fails to comply with international law requirements in Gaza and the West Bank. Moreover, the Prosecutor announced that his office will “intensify its efforts to advance” its ongoing investigation into the “Situation of Palestine.” The investigation into the Situation of Palestine was opened by the ICC Office of the Prosecutor (OTP) in March 2021, and covers alleged international crimes committed in the context of the Israeli–Palestine conflict since June 13, 2014. While there were little signs of progress with this investigation until recently, the current round of Israel–Hamas hostilities has compelled the ICC Prosecutor to shift gears. I can think of several reasons for this, besides the gravity of the crimes. First, the Hamas crimes of October 7th include sexual violence and crimes against children, two priority areas for the OTP. Furthermore, the perpetrators continue to hold over one hundred hostages abducted from Israel and taken to Gaza on October 7th, without revealing their whereabouts or medical condition. This could motivate the OTP to act fast in the hope of affecting the release of hostages or at least the release of information about them. In addition, the OTP is under pressure to act because of the high death toll and humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza caused by Israel’s extensive attacks combined with the pervasive use of human shields by Hamas. Finally, prompt action by the OTP could be aimed at scaling down the increasing violence by Jewish settlers against Palestinians in the West Bank and the inflammatory statements by Israeli politicians regarding Palestinians.

The question I address in this short comment is whether the ICC’s revamped investigation of Israel/Palestine could promote Israeli–Palestinian peace and reconciliation processes. The ICC goal of promoting peace is reflected in the Rome Statute, in particular in Article 13(b) which authorizes the ICC to exercise jurisdiction based on U.N. Security Council’s referrals under Chapter VII of the U.N. Charter, and in the Rome Statute Preamble where the States Parties recognize that international crimes “threaten the peace, security and well-being of the world.” In this vein, the OTP has noted in one of its early policy papers that “the ICC was created on the premise that justice is an essential component of a stable peace.”2 To situate the peace goal in the broader context of ICC goals, it is helpful to divide the goals into two categories: The first is retributive goals (establishing accountability, reducing impunity, condemning certain behaviour, punishing) and the second category is restorative goals (promoting peace, reconciliation, healing, rehabilitation). The tension between these two categories of goals is often articulated as the “peace versus justice debate.” However, transitional justice theories and practices have succeeded, over the last thirty years, in moving us away from this dichotomous thinking towards an understanding that post-conflict retributive and restorative goals are complementary and mutually reinforcing. Still, some argue that the two goal types cannot be attained by the same institution. Thus, the argument goes, an international criminal tribunal such as the ICC, which is geographically and culturally removed from its target societies, cannot be expected to impact delicate domestic processes such as peacebuilding and reconciliation.

There is less controversy regarding the ability of the ICC to attain its retributive goals. At the same time, it is accepted that the ICC’s attainment of its retributive goals depends on the cooperation of national justice systems in addressing atrocities, even in cases where the ICC intervenes. After all, the ICC can only try a small fraction of the perpetrators associated with each situation due to its limited resources and cumbersome procedures. Even if it addresses the highest-level perpetrators, the ICC cannot promote its retributive goals if most perpetrators evade justice. But many countries do not address their conflict-related atrocities due to political or practical challenges. In fact, the involvement of the ICC in a particular country is usually triggered by the inactivity of national courts. To overcome this problem, the ICC was designed to incentivize domestic atrocity-trials through its Complementarity Principle which is enshrined in the Rome Statute. According to this principle, a case will not be brought before the ICC if it has been or is being investigated or prosecuted by a state with jurisdiction over the case, unless the state in question is unwilling or unable to genuinely carry out the proceedings. This arrangement assumes that states wish to avoid being scrutinized by the ICC and will prevent cases from reaching the ICC by initiating their own investigations and trials, in accordance with the Complementary Principle. Other modern international criminal tribunals have also managed to encourage domestic justice systems to address atrocities. For example, both the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR) have incentivized domestic trials in their target countries through referring cases to national courts under their Completion Strategy.

Argument Continued

Research shows that the Complementary Principle and the Completion Strategy have encouraged countries targeted by international tribunals to initiate national atrocity-trials and improve their domestic laws, legal institutions, penalty norms, due process rights of defendants, and witness protections; and that these domestic legal developments have in turn helped to promote accountability for international crimes. For example, Diane Orentlicher found that the ICTY had generated positive impacts on the rule of law in Bosnia and Serbia, especially by strengthening judicial institutions and triggering domestic war crimes prosecutions.3 My own study on the domestic impacts of the ICTR and the Special Court for Sierra Leone4 reached similar conclusions with regards to legal developments in Rwanda and Sierra Leone. Furthermore, the DOMAC Project demonstrated that the ICC encouraged domestic legal developments in four country situations (DRC, Uganda, Sudan, and Colombia).5 In all the above countries, national legal developments that were triggered by international tribunals were considered helpful in promoting accountability and reducing impunity.

Similar developments can be seen in Israel. Despite not being a member of the ICC, Israel is profoundly influenced by the threat of an ICC investigation into its conduct and is therefore seeking to preempt ICC proceedings by periodically adjusting its legal norms, policies, and institutions, to be in a position to activate the Complementary Principle at the relevant time. The need to ensure that the Israeli Supreme Court is willing and able to prosecute allegations of international crimes, and thus protect Israelis from ICC proceedings, was extensively invoked last year by civil servants and activists who opposed the government’s proposed legal reforms that threatened to weaken the Supreme Court. Israel’s behaviour in the “shadow of the ICC” is not new. It has motivated government actions and Supreme Court decisions for over a decade (some of which are analyzed here)6 and encouraged the creation of an international criminal law department7 in the Israeli Attorney General’s Office following the 2009 Gaza war and the first attempt by the Palestinian Authority to confer jurisdiction to the ICC.8 In connection with current events, Haaretz reports that the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) is:

[I]nvestigating dozens of incidents in the current war with Hamas in the Gaza Strip that have raised suspicions that orders were disobeyed, in which commanders on the ground exceeded their authority or where it is suspected that the international laws of war were violated.9

The Haaretz report also mentions that “Senior IDF officials understand the need for the investigations even if it results in criminal proceedings against soldiers.”10

In addition, Israel is considering adopting new laws and procedures to ensure that it can prosecute over one hundred Hamas members and affiliates for their involvement in the October 7th massacre in a manner regarded internationally as legitimate.11 These suspects were captured by Israel following the massacre and are currently held in pre-trial detention. Israel’s military justice system is capable of handling the mass trials, but streamlined military proceedings are unlikely to enjoy international legitimacy. Israel is also discussing the applicable penalty norms, including whether to avoid charges that entail the death penalty. The desire to ensure that the Hamas trials are internationally legitimate may not be strictly speaking triggered by the Complementarity Principle, but is nonetheless inspired by ICC norms and practices which reflect established international standards for the administration of justice in cases of conflict-related crime. Both examples—the IDF investigations of Israel’s conduct in Gaza and the Israeli domestic Hamas trials—are evidence of the impact of the ICC on legal norms and policies in Israel. As in other cases, such national legal developments are helpful in attaining the ICC’s retributive goals including establishing accountability and reducing impunity and crime.

How does all this relate to prospects of peace and reconciliation in Israel/Palestine? Conflicting claims are made about the ability of international criminal tribunals to promote peace and reconciliation in their target countries. Proponents claim that international trials promote peace and reconciliation by dissipating calls for revenge, individualizing the guilt, delegitimizing radical leaders, establishing the truth, and dispensing justice. The trials could also bring opposing groups closer together because of their humanizing effect: victims of one group may become more human in the eyes of members of the other group when they testify about their fears and experiences, and perpetrators may attract empathy and reveal their humanity when taking the stand, especially if they take responsibility for their crimes and express remorse. However, others argue that international tribunals are irrelevant or even harmful to peacebuilding efforts in their target countries as they are held abroad and run by foreign judges and lawyers who do not understand the local dynamics. Some even argue that international tribunals have a polarizing impact and spark resentment in their target populations due to their perceived failure to address certain narratives and victimhood experiences. Furthermore, local leaders often delegitimize international tribunals, either because they fear being caught in their net or because the truth establish by the tribunals might not be convenient for politicians who want to promote other “truths” about the past. A case on point is the Rwandan government’s delegitimization campaign of the ICTR, which has caused many Rwandans to perceive the ICTR negatively and outright reject its messages without even trying to assess the tribunal on its merits. When facing such “hostile” political environments, any international tribunal, even with the best outreach program, will find it difficult to garner local support or even inform target populations about its work. This, in turn, may reduce the ability of international tribunals to directly affect peace and reconciliation in their target country.

I propose looking at this differently. In particular, I suggest that the ICC–peace relationship should not necessarily be regarded as a direct one. Just as we expect the ICC to attain its retributive goals by activating national justice systems, we should expect the same when it comes to the attainment of its restorative goals. In other words, international tribunals can promote peace and reconciliation through the same mechanism they employ to promote accountability: triggering domestic legal developments in their target countries (which they do even when they are negatively perceived by local populations). When justice is administered on the national level, it is more likely to be perceived by the local population as relevant and legitimate, and therefore has greater potential to yield the restorative effects described above, including humanizing victims and perpetrators, reducing feelings of revenge, and so on, eventually creating conditions conducive to peace and reconciliation. This is especially when domestic accountability procedures target both sides of the conflict, which may be the case in Israel.

As the ICC investigation advances (and the more vocal the ICC Prosecutor is about it), Israel will likely take further steps to activate complementarity, including trying Israelis for alleged international crimes in Gaza and the West Bank (moving beyond military investigations). This could generate empathy towards Gazan victims and create a shift in the way many Israeli Jews think about the Gazan population. In parallel, Israel will prosecute members of Hamas and other Palestinian armed groups in trials that are inspired by ICC norms, including in relation to sentencing and due process rights of defendants. Israel may even adopt the ICC’s approach towards victims. The ICC allows victims to play an active role in the proceedings, including through legal representation, and grants them certain forms of reparation. These advantages have likely motivated the October 7th victims and their relatives to express an interest in participating in ICC proceedings.12 By adopting a similar victim participation scheme, Israel could accord the October 7th victims (and their relatives) much needed recognition and reparations and help them heal. If new procedures will be adopted for purposes of the Hamas trials, the various organizations created to support the October 7th victims may seize the opportunity and advocate the inclusion of victim participation and reparation provisions. Empowered victims could become active in peacebuilding, following the example of Colombia and other post-conflict societies where victims played a major role in promoting peace and reconciliation processes. In any case, the above examples are meant to emphasize that we should consider the ICC impact on peace with such domestic developments in mind.

If the ICC investigation will focus on certain conduct which has been tolerated in Israel over the years; such as the use of inflammatory language regarding Palestinians, and Jewish settler violence towards Palestinians in the West Bank; Israel may judicially address these crimes in the context of applying complementarity. This could promote the understanding in Israel that these acts are illegitimate and criminal which, in turn, will ease tensions between Jews and Palestinians. The condemnation of such acts will be more affective if it comes from the domestic justice system rather than the ICC, especially due to the negative way in which the ICC is perceived in Israel following years of being delegitimized by Israeli politicians and media channels. This, again, underscores the need to assess the ICC–peace relationship while considering domestic justice processes triggered by the ICC.

Finally, the Complementarity Principle may open the door to alternative transitional justice (TJ) mechanisms in Israel/Palestine. For example, settler violence (or even the mere acts involved in maintaining settlements) in the West Bank could be addressed through TJ mechanisms in an effort to avoid ICC proceedings while also avoiding the further destabilization of the highly polarized Israeli society, and still establishing accountably, acknowledging Palestinian victims, and promoting reparations. In Colombia, for example, the ICC recognized that restorative TJ approaches can fulfil the requirements of complementarity. Establishing post-conflict accountability through TJ mechanisms, such as truth commissions and other restorative methods, has gained popularity in recent years as a way for achieving accountability and acknowledging harm while also rehabilitating perpetrators and promoting reconciliation between polarized groups. Such approaches have been applied in transitions from civil wars (e.g. Rwanda, Colombia, East Timor) and repressive regimes (e.g. South Africa, Argentina) where former rival groups sought to consolidate peace within one political system. But TJ approaches can also be relevant in post-conflict transitions involving two or more political systems. One example is the Germany–Israel reconciliation measures.

To conclude, the promotion of peace and reconciliation is among the ICC’s goals, but many are skeptical that this goal can be attained by the ICC. Some even argue that international tribunals tend to polarize their target societies. One of the problems in this regard is the assumption that there is a direct relationship between the outputs of an international tribunal (e.g. findings, prosecutorial policies) and the societies that are expected to reconcile, downplaying the intervening role of the domestic political environment in which the tribunal operates. At the same time, international tribunals may impact reconciliation indirectly, through their encouragement of national trials and other legal developments in their target countries (which, in turn, will promote peace and reconciliation). In two previous publications, I showed how domestic legal impacts of the ICTR have affected, or at least had the potential to affect, reconciliation in Rwanda.13 Drawing on those insights, I propose that instead of asking how the ICC can directly advance peace in Israel/Palestine, we ask how the ICC can promote peace through its domestic legal impacts. This perspective would hopefully encourage experts and scholars to design and monitor such domestic legal impacts while bearing in mind their potential to promote peace.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement: “We Must Show That the Law Is There, on the Front Lines, and That It Is Capable of Protecting All” (Dec. 3, 2023), available online.

  2. 2.

    Office of the Prosecutor, ICC, Policy Paper on the Interests of Justice (Sep. 2007), available online.

  3. 3.

    Diane F. Orentlicher, OSJI, Shrinking the Space for Denial: The Impact of the ICTY in Serbia (May 2008), available online; Diane F. Orentlicher, OSJI, That Someone Guilty Be Punished: The Impact of the ICTY in Bosnia (Jul. 2010), available online.

  4. 4.

    Sigall Horovitz, How International Courts Shape Domestic Justice: Lessons from Rwanda and Sierra Leone, 46 Israel L. Rev. 339 (Nov. 2013), paywall, doi.

  5. 5.

    DOMAC Reports, DOMAC, available online (last visited Feb. 12, 2024).

  6. 6.

    Yahli Shereshevsky, The Unintended Negative Effect of Positive Complementarity, 18 J. Int’l Crim. Just. 1017 (Sep. 2020), available online, doi, earlier version (Aug. 27, 2020) available online.

  7. 7.

    המחלקה למשפט בין-לאומי, Gov’t of Israel, available online (Heb.) (last visited Feb. 12, 2024).

  8. 8.

    Office of the Prosecutor, ICC, Situation in Palestine: Summary of Submissions on Whether the Declaration Lodged by the Palestinian National Authority Meets Statutory Requirements, ¶ 10 (May 3, 2010), available online.

  9. 9.

    Yaniv Kubovich, Israeli Army Investigating Dozens of Suspected Violations of International Law by Its Soldiers in Gaza, Haaretz, Feb. 6, 2024, paywall.

  10. 10.

    Id.

  11. 11.

    Jeremy Sharon, How Will Captured October 7 Terrorists Be Tried, and on What Charges?, Times of Israel, Nov. 23, 2023, available online.

  12. 12.

    Israeli Families Bring Genocide Complaint Against Hamas to ICC, Al Jazeera, Nov. 3, 2023, available online.

  13. 13.

    Sigall Horovitz, International Criminal Courts in Action: The ICTR’s Effect on Death Penalty and Reconciliation in Rwanda, 48 Geo. Wash. Int’l L. Rev. 505 (2016), available online; Sigall Horovitz, Rwanda’s Kabgayi Trial Between International Justice and National Reconciliation, in International Practices of Criminal Justice (Mikkel Christensen & Ron Levi eds., 2017), paywall.

  14. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Sigall Horovitz, The ICC’s Road to Peace Passes Through Complementarity: Possible Peace Enhancing Effects of the ICC in Israel/Palestine, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Horovitz.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Kuttab Avatar Image Jonathan Kuttab, Esq. Executive Director Friends of Sabeel, North America (FOSNA)

Seeking Justice and Peace: The Role of the International Criminal Court in Addressing War Crimes in Palestine

Israel has always projected the image of having professional and independent courts which are capable of dealing with violations by the government and its highest officers. A thorough analysis of its court decisions will show that, in matters that pertain to Palestinian rights and to issues of a highly political nature or the conduct of the Israeli army, the courts, despite their independence, not only fail to act as a restraint on the army or politicians violating the rights of Palestinians, but have been creative in providing legal justifications for army actions which violate international law. Since most of the decisions of the court are not available in English, and Hebrew is not commonly understood by non-Israeli international lawyers, a case will need to be made when the issue finally arrives at the door of the ICC that Israeli courts indeed are unwilling to objectively deal with such international crimes, but are more likely to justify and legitimize them.

Argument

The International Criminal Court1 has been on the radar of Palestinian human rights organizations for a long time. Well before the latest round of fighting that erupted on October 7 in Gaza, Palestinians have been complaining that Israeli actions in the occupied territories constituted clear crimes that fall squarely within the jurisdiction of the ICC. The crime of Apartheid, which is listed as one of the basis of jurisdiction of the ICC, collective punishment, Settlements whose very existence violates the Geneva Conventions, and other blatant war crimes and crimes against humanity fit clearly within the jurisdiction of the ICC and are suitable subjects for international adjudication. After October 7, the allegations of the crime of Genocide as defined in the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide also clearly fall within the scope of the ICC. There were several objections to this approach as the Palestinian National Authority initially had not formally accepted the jurisdiction of the ICC and was not recognized as a state by the ICC and by many other nations including Israel. Hamas, of course, also does not constitute a state nor does it purport to be one.

Palestinian human rights organizations, however, including Al-Haq, a human rights organization with which the author is associated, started years ago carefully and methodically documenting evidence against specific Israeli politicians and army commanders with a view to eventually bringing them to the ICC for investigation and trials. Palestinian civil society organizations also undertook a determined effort to lobby and persuade the Palestinian Authority first to join the ICC, and later to authorize the submission of a demand that the ICC investigate Israeli war crimes. The Rome Statute, which created the ICC, authorizes the Prosecutor under Article 15 to undertake investigations based on the request and submissions of individuals and organizations, and not only member states.2 This effort to appeal to the ICC came in the context of a determined Israeli (and U.S.) effort to threaten and cajole the PA not to apply to the ICC at all, as well as threats against the ICC not to accept any such cases. Despite this, the Palestinian Authority eventually formally accepted the jurisdiction of the ICC and requested its investigation of the situation in Palestine, and in Gaza in particular, after the Israeli attacks on Gaza in 2014.

After much pressure, the outgoing Prosecutor of the ICC, Fatou Bensouda from Gambia, eventually agreed to open an investigation into alleged crimes committed by both Israel and Hamas during the Gaza hostilities of 2014, as one of her last acts in office.3 On March 3, 2021, she announced the opening of an investigation into the Situation in the State of Palestine. Her decision was later confirmed by the ICC Court which whose Pre-Trial Chamber found in 2023 that, indeed, it did have jurisdiction over the matter, and that Palestine is a state party for the purposes of requesting the investigation.

On February 12, 2021, British Barrister Karim A. A. Khan was elected as the new chief prosecutor, and was sworn in on June 16, 2021.4 Despite his professed wishes to improve the credibility of the Court, which was being accused of only going after weak African states, and despite his private protestations that he cared about the question of Palestine, little has been done since that time by the Office of the Prosecutor. To the contrary, he publicly indicated that he could not spare resources for this matter, and would prioritize those cases referred to him by the Security Council (which clearly did not include Israel). He also refused to provide any timeline for actions on the investigation of the case of Palestine other than to state that his office was willing to receive additional information and complaints.5

One of the arguments publicly used by Israel to dissuade Palestinians from appealing to the ICC was that Palestinians also committed war crimes during the war on Gaza and that the use of inaccurate rockets which targeted civilian populations in Israel was itself a war crime which the ICC should investigate if it was to address Israeli crimes.6 To their credit, Hamas announced that they had no problem with that and that they would welcome an investigation by the ICC of all war crimes alleged against all parties.7

Argument Continued

Some Israeli government officials are quite aware of the possibility of an ICC investigation, and there have been articles in the Israeli newspapers regarding the risks and vulnerability of Israeli commanders and politicians.8 At one point, the Israeli Ministry of Justice circulated a memorandum to Israeli Knesset members and Government officials alerting them to this danger and warning them to be careful in their public pronouncements which often blatantly threatened or called for measures that would be on their face illegal under international law, and which could be used against them in an international tribunal like the ICC.9 The public position of the Israeli government, however, was that Israel does not recognize the jurisdiction of the Court. It has also used its leverage to try to dissuade Palestinians from even applying to the Court. Prime minister Netanyahu declared that he would consider such appeal to the ICC as a hostile act and that he would treat it accordingly.10 The United States repeated the same arguments and used its own leverage to dissuade the ICC from investigating Israel. In fact the U.S. Congress introduced legislation which contained sanctions against the ICC, its prosecutors, judges, and personnel if they would investigate Israel or the United States.11 The previous administration went as far as cancelling the visa of the Prosecutor of the ICC, and issued sanctions against the ICC, its bank accounts and personnel.12 To the extent that Israel feels it will not be brought to account for its actions before the ICC, we cannot expect that the ICC can create deterrence, provide accountability for war criminals, or even reduce the level of violence.

The greatest tool Israel has, however, to avoid the ICC is the principle of complementarity. Under the rules of the ICC, the jurisdiction of the Court is only complimentary to national courts. It is in fact specifically prohibited from looking into cases that are being, or have been adjudicated before national courts, unless it can be shown that the courts are either unwilling or unable to provide a proper forum for dealing with the alleged crimes and criminals. Israeli officers demonstrating against Netanyahu’s anti democratic measures in Israel have specifically argued that weakening the independence of the Israeli courts would increase their risk of being charged before the ICC at the Hague.

Article 17(2) of the Rome Statute states that a case would be inadmissible if a national court is considering the case, unless it can be shown that the national courts are unwilling or unable to rule on the case, based on the following criteria:

  1. The proceedings were or are being undertaken or the national decision was made for the purpose of shielding the person concerned from criminal responsibility for crimes within the jurisdiction of the Court referred to in Article 5;

  2. There has been an unjustified delay in the proceedings which in the circumstances is inconsistent with an intent to bring the person concerned to justice;

  3. The proceedings were not or are not being conducted independently or impartially, and they were or are being conducted in a manner which, in the circumstances, is inconsistent with an intent to bring the person concerned to justice.13

Israel has always projected the image of having professional and independent courts which are capable of dealing with violations by the government and its highest officers. A thorough analysis of its court decisions will show that, in matters that pertain to Palestinian rights and to issues of a highly political nature or the conduct of the Israeli army, the courts, despite their independence, not only fail to act as a restraint on the army or politicians violating the rights of Palestinians, but have been creative in providing legal justifications for army actions which violate international law. Since most of the decisions of the court are not available in English, and Hebrew is not commonly understood by non-Israeli international lawyers, a case will need to be made when the issue finally arrives at the door of the ICC that Israeli courts indeed are unwilling to objectively deal with such international crimes, but are more likely to justify and legitimize them.

The events since October 7, were far more intensive than the events of 2014 which were the subject of the previous complaints to the ICC, which had not been handled expeditiously, as described above. The shock of the Hamas attack on October 7, and the need for vengeance as well as to restore the “deterrence” lost on that date, meant that the Israeli army would use massive power and would be free of any restraints it previously observed. Leaders from the President, to the Defense Minister, the Chief of Staff, the War Cabinet, and the Prime Minister spoke of the need to “erase” “obliterate” “wipe out” and “flatten” Gaza and have repeatedly used genocidal language.14 During the first hundred days, over 30,000 tons of munitions were dropped on the narrow piece of land constituting the Gaza Strip. “Destruction, not accuracy, is our goal,” stated the Army Chief. He openly announced that there were no restraints, and that he would cut off all water, food, and fuel supplies from the inhabitants of Gaza. Over 90% of the civilian population was rendered homeless, and about 80% of their buildings were destroyed or damaged. These and many other statistics pertaining to the allegations of genocide were quoted in detailed U.N. Reports cited in the South African Complaint to the International Court of Justice (ICJ).15 With every passing day, new and more severe figures about death and destruction are being published.

The very existence of the ICC, and its ability to investigate war crimes, should and does have an effect of placing countries and their armies on notice that their actions may be scrutinized in a neutral international court and, hopefully, this could lead to a reduction in violence and a hesitation to commit atrocities. However, this is subject to the perceived consequences that would flow from such an investigation. In this regard, whether a country adjusts its behavior to take into account the risks of an ICC prosecution is governed by its perception of the likelihood of a real hearing on the merits as well as the willingness of other countries to enforce decisions by the ICC, under the principles of universal jurisdiction. Statements by the U.S., for example, that it will not abide by the rulings of the ICC are not very helpful. On the other hand, the attitude of European countries becomes much more important here since about ⅓ of Israelis travel abroad every year. If Israeli officials and high commanders are afraid that a particular country may honor a warrant issued by the ICC, they are less likely to travel abroad. If, however, they believe that there will be no consequences and no enforcement, then the existence or even decisions of the ICC are less likely to deter them.

Where a country, like Israel, feels it has enough political power and leverage to avoid the jurisdiction of the Court, or to ignore the consequences of any adverse decision, then the ability of the ICC to prevent or reduce the level of violence, or lead to accountability for criminal behavior, is diminished.

An additional new factor that influences the effect of ICC is the involvement of the ICJ. Unlike the ICC, which has managed for years to avoid ruling on the situation in Palestine, the International Court of Justice at the Hague cannot be delayed through bureaucratic measures, nor is it subject to the limitations on its jurisdiction that are present with the ICC. The ICJ could be triggered by a complaint filed by any state that is party to Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide. In this case, the State of South Africa succeeded in filing a complaint against the State of Israel on December 27th.16 The Complaint cited the jus cogens character of the prohibition of genocide and the erga omnes and erga omnes partes character of the obligation owed by South Africa as party to the Convention. South Africa not only made several allegations under the Convention, but it also requested a number of Provisional Measures to be immediately undertaken to prevent genocidal actions before the issuance of a final determination in the Complaint, which could take years to be issued.17

The ICJ held two hearings and issued Provisional Orders by an overwhelming majority of 15–2 or even 16–1 where the Judge appointed by Israel, Aharon Barak, also agreed to two out of the six Provisional Orders issued. One of the Orders in particular demanded that Israel take actions to investigate and prosecute individuals for statements that incite to genocide. In its Decision, the ICJ referred to pronouncements of specific individuals such as the Israeli President and Defense Minister, and required Israel to report within thirty days on its implementation of the Provisional Orders.

These actions by the ICJ have already had an impact on the behavior of Israeli officials. An announcement by the Israeli Justice Ministry was made instructing Israeli officials to be careful and to refrain from public statements that can be considered incitements to genocide.18 The Provisional Order the ICJ issued makes it less likely that the ICC Prosecutor will continue to drag his feet in his own investigation of the behavior of Israeli officials, both military and political, with respect to war crimes, crimes against humanity, and the crime of genocide, all of which are within its jurisdiction.

Whether a decision by the ICC will make it easier or harder to advance the process of negotiations and peace and reconciliation between Israelis and Palestinians is hard to predict. Israel has often objected that appeals to the ICC are a distraction and fall in the way of the peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. In light of the great disparity of power between the parties, this seems to be more of an excuse and avoidance of prosecution, especially since there has not been much of a peace process in the current or last decades. It seems Israel is more interested in acting with impunity than in genuine reconciliation. It has also often demanded that Palestinians refrain from appealing to the ICC as a condition for good relations, and have stated that appeal to the ICC will be viewed as a hostile act, and will have consequences.

Certainly, referral to international adjudicatory bodies is far better than resort to armed conflict to bring about positive diplomatic results and should be encouraged in all cases, even though such proceedings are, by their very nature, adversarial and can raise hostility and objections. A judicial process, by its very nature, forces sides to limit their claims to factual matters that can withstand judicial scrutiny, which may lead to narrowing the gap between the narratives of the disputants. It forces both sides to limit their demands and assertions, and to fit them within an agreed set of principles of international law, that apply universally to all. It forces them to consider the claims of each other, and to refrain from positions that cannot be defended before a neutral tribunal. At the very least, it is an arena that does not produce death and destruction to the adversaries but works towards rational outcomes.

ICC prosecutions may be painful for Israel, but at least they offer the weaker Palestinian side some chance to present their case in a neutral forum and hope for some satisfaction that they cannot get by exercising their right to armed resistance. In all cases, if there was a political settlement, Israel would demand and insist on immunity from ICC prosecution, and would insist in any final peace agreement that Palestinians relinquish any right to bring actions against Israeli individuals before the ICC or any international tribunal. The Interim Agreement between Israel and the PLO of 1994, where the author participated as head of the legal committee on the Palestinian side during the negotiations, specifically contained a provision that the Agreement itself, and the dispute settlement provisions contained in it, would be the sole mechanism for dealing with any dispute arising between Israel and the PLO.19

Conclusion

The ICC can be a useful forum for adjudicating allegations of genocide, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. Such a prospect should have an ameliorating effect providing deterrence and criminal accountability, and should, in theory, reduce the level of violence. In reality, the power of this forum depends on the willingness of third parties, particularly Western states, to respect the decisions of the ICC and to translate them into effective sanctions against the criminals. Where they feel they can escape such consequences, their behavior will not be ameliorated, and the power of the ICC itself will be diminished.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    Home Page, Int’l Crim. Ct., available online (last visited Feb. 8, 2024).

  2. 2.

    Rome Statute, Art. 15.

  3. 3.

    Situations Under Investigation, Int’l Crim. Ct., available online (last visited Feb. 8, 2024).

  4. 4.

    Patrick Wintour, British Barrister Karim Khan Elected ICC’s New Chief Prosecutor, The Guardian, Feb. 12, 2021, paywall.

  5. 5.

    Jonathan Kuttab, Interview with Sha’wan Jabbarin, Executive Director of Al-Haq (Jul. 15, 2023), available online.

  6. 6.

    Nafees Ahmad, War Crimes in the Israel–Hamas Conflict: A Case for the International Criminal Tribunal, Jurist (Oct. 30, 2023), available online.

  7. 7.

    Id.

  8. 8.

    Bart Meijer, ICC Prosecutor Says Israel Must Respect International Law, Reuters, Dec. 3, 2023, available online.

  9. 9.

    Israel–Palestine: The Role of International Justice, UN News, Nov. 17, 2023, available online.

  10. 10.

    Jonathan Kuttab, The International Criminal Court’s Failure to Hold Israel Accountable, Arab Center Wash. DC (Sep. 12, 2023), available online.

  11. 11.

    H.R. Res. 270, 114th Cong. (2015), available online.

  12. 12.

    Presidential Executive Order 13928: Blocking Property of Certain Persons Associated with the International Criminal Court, 85 FR 36139 (Jun. 11, 2020), available online.

  13. 13.

    Home Page, supra note 1.

  14. 14.

    Brian Osgood & Mersiha Gadzo, Israel’s War on Gaza Updates: Israel Must Prevent Genocide in Gaza—ICJ, Al Jazeera, Jan. 26, 2024, available online.

  15. 15.

    Latest Developments re: South Africa v. Israel, I.C.J., available online (last visited Feb. 8, 2024).

  16. 16.

    Id.

  17. 17.

    Id.

  18. 18.

    Jeremy Sharon, What Does Israel Need to Do to Comply With the ICJ Genocide Decision?, Times of Israel, Feb. 1, 2024, available online.

  19. 19.

    The Israeli–Palestinian Interim Agreement, Art. XXI, Israeli Ministry of Foreign Aff. (Sep. 28, 1995), available online.

  20. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Jonathan Kuttab, Seeking Justice and Peace: The Role of the International Criminal Court in Addressing War Crimes in Palestine, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Kuttab.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Moreno Ocampo Avatar Image Luis Moreno Ocampo Senior Fellow, The Carr Center for Human Rights Policy Harvard Kennedy School

How to Control Crimes in Israel/Palestine?

There is no chaos, just complexity. The U.S. vetoes were in accordance with the legal system established by the U.N. Charter, and negotiations between the fifteen S.C. members with different interests and authority are the working methods.

Different authorities select the norms to apply. The international legal order includes the authority of the G.A., the S.C., the ICJ, the ICC, and 193 sovereign nations, to adopt different and sometimes opposite solutions to the same case. All national leaders have the choice to promote military actions, vote at the G.A., and to support, attack, or try to control international criminal justice.

The leaders’ commands trigger institutions to act. Soldiers have limited agency: they follow instructions and rules. Diplomats and intelligence services can receive directives to consecrate their impunity.

Argument

I. Introduction

To answer the Forum’s questions on the International Criminal Court’s (ICC) deterrence potential, we must understand

  1. the facts: Who are the alleged perpetrators? What are the possible crimes committed? and

  2. What are the other relevant frames? What other non-legal standards influence the relevant actors?

The Forum invites us to explore how international law is applied, not just by prosecutors and judges, but also by national leaders, states, and civil society. How does the ICC system, established by the Rome Statute,1 work beyond the courtroom?

Two political scientists, Hyeran Jo and Beth Simmons, extensively researched the deterrent effect of the ICC in general terms: “Does the ICC deter such crimes by raising the risk of punishment for the worst offenses?”2

They argue “that ICC jurisdiction increases the risk of prosecution compared to impunity.”3 In accordance with the Oslo Agreement, the Palestine National Authority has no jurisdiction to prosecute Israelis. Therefore, in the case of crimes committed by Israelis in Gaza and West Bank, ICC jurisdiction increases the chances of deterrence from nothing to something.

Jo and Simmons argue:

But acknowledging the uncertainty of being tried and punished, the ICC is more likely to deter actors when they are sensitive to social pressure.4

In this sense, national and international criticism (or support) for those involved in the commission of crimes influences their behavior.

[They] acknowledge what few would have doubted: the ICC’s contribution to deterrence is conditional. The ICC may have varying effects on different categories of actors, depending on (1) their exposure to the risk of prosecution and (2) the importance they attach—or the vulnerability they believe they have—to the social costs of criminal law violation.5

Following that analysis, Jo and Simmons defined two different forms of deterrence:

  1. Prosecutorial deterrence is a direct consequence of legal punishment: it holds when potential perpetrators reduce or avoid law-breaking for fear of being tried and officially punished. […] Prosecutorial deterrence is possible only if the Court’s existence and actions raise the perceived likelihood that an individual will be tried, and punished.6 (I add the potential for arrest as part of prosecutorial deterrence.)

  2. Social deterrence is a consequence of the broader social milieu in which actors operate: it occurs when potential perpetrators calculate the informal consequences of law-breaking.7

We are careful to craft arguments conditional on who is expected to be deterred. [It has been shown by an empirical study] that the ICC can deter some governments and those rebel groups that seek legitimacy.8

“The Court has jurisdiction in a domain where military and strategic logic generally prevails.”9 Therefore, it’s crucial to analyze how military and political frames are shaping the actors’ decisions, including the influence of the U.S. and other involved countries.

Argument Continued

II. Prosecutorial Deterrence in the Current Gaza Conflict

Military and strategic logic prevailed in the October 7 attack, and in Israel’s reaction, affecting “prosecutorial deterrence.” Hamas leaders adopted a terrorist strategy, ignoring any legal limits. There is a reasonable basis to believe that they authorized and ordered the commission of war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide. Following orders, members of Hamas and other armed groups carried out an attack in Israel that killed more than 1200 persons, injured thousands, and abducted some 240 people, many of whom continue to be held hostage. They retreated to Gaza where they are using civilians as human shields.10

There are two main strategies to control a criminal organization: focus on the leaders or the money. Israel used neither. Israel disdained its own criminal justice system to control Hamas leaders residing in Lebanon and Qatar, and it did not interfere with the financial network providing support for Hamas’s terrorist activities.11

After October 7th, Israel adopted an exclusively military approach to deal with Hamas outside its territory, aiming to kill the combatants who were in Gaza using extensive bombardment. Israel’s military activity affected Gaza’s entire civilian population. It implemented a full siege and forced the displacement of Gaza’s population, at the same time as it affirmed that it respects the parameters of international law.12

The International Court of Justice (ICJ) considered:

Israel launched a large-scale military operation in Gaza, by land, air, and sea, which is causing massive civilian casualties, extensive destruction of civilian infrastructure, and the displacement of the overwhelming majority of the population in Gaza.13

When evaluated using the standard used to start an investigation—a “reasonable basis to believe”—Israel’s military operations in Gaza could constitute war crimes,14 crimes against humanity,15 and genocide.16

The ICJ considered the following statements by Israeli authorities as plausible indicia of genocidal intentions.17

On October 9, 2023, Yoav Gallant, Defense Minister of Israel, announced that he had ordered a “complete siege” of Gaza City and that there would be “no electricity, no food, no fuel” and that “everything [was] closed.” On the following day, Minister Gallant stated, speaking to Israeli troops on the Gaza border: “I have released all restraints […] You saw what we are fighting against. We are fighting human animals.”18

On October 12, 2023, Isaac Herzog, President of Israel, stated, referring to Gaza:

We are working, operating militarily according to rules of international law. Unequivocally. It is an entire nation out there that is responsible. It is not true this rhetoric about civilians not aware, not involved. It is absolutely not true. They could have risen up. They could have fought against that evil regime which took over Gaza in a coup d’état. But we are at war.19

III. Social (and Political) Deterrence

The concept of social deterrence has largely been missing from accounts of how and why the ICC is a potentially powerful institution. This relative silence is ironic since one key purpose of the ICC is to set expectations, thereby placing some tactics outside the boundary of acceptable behavior.20

This social pressure can come from a myriad of sources including the core social circles or supporters of the perpetrators, international organizations, and human rights non-governmental organizations. We call these extra-legal opportunities for the Court to deter atrocity crimes ‘social deterrence.’21

Jo and Simmons explain that organized crime groups like Hamas are not deterred by social factors:

Persons who intentionally terrorize civilians for their personal or political purposes are difficult to deter under any circumstances. […] [The ICC on average] has stronger positive effects on governments than on rebels. […] A judicial institution is at its most powerful when prosecutorial and social deterrence reinforces one another, which happens when actors threaten to impose extra-legal costs for non-compliance with legal authority.22

At the national level, government leaders allegedly involved in the commission of crimes could be prosecuted and, as a consequence, socially and politically isolated. A recent example is that, after his indictment, U.S. Senator Robert Menendez stepped down “from his position as Chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee until the matter has been resolved.”23

However, there are cases where the alleged crimes do not affect the social and political support for the suspects. For instance, Donald Trump was able to characterize the criminal indictments against him as unjust and still receive enough support from U.S. citizens to be the presumptive Republican nominee for the Presidency. Similarly, Prime Minister Netanyahu is receiving national support for the war’s approach. His critics in Israel have been attacked as traitors. He was also able to be politically and militarily supported at the international level, in particular, by the U.S. government.

IV. The U.S. Military, Diplomatic, and Political Support

As mentioned, Jo and Simmons discussed the conflicts between different frames:

One of the most important questions in international policy and research is whether justice is possible in a system dominated by self-regarding sovereign states.24

International Relations Realist scholars rightly point out that international law did not stop the Nazi regime. Instead of improving the League of Nations’ legal architecture, Realists disregarded the entire exercise. They concluded that international law is a utopian mistake, “harmful in directing attention away from the need to prepare for the inevitable aggression when it came.”25

Stephen Krasner, an important Realist international relations professor, wrote that only the powerful states can organize the world and international law should be ignored:

Realists of all types agree that the traditional view of international law held by many lawyers not only ignores or obfuscates power and interests but can be destabilizing and counterproductive […] Law can matter for realists, but only because it helps to construct a self-enforcing equilibrium through ones that reflects the preferences of the powerful.26

Realists believe that the world is in anarchy, because there is no central authority, and propose that “states must provide security for themselves because no one else will.”27

Following such a frame, immediately after the October 7 attack, President Biden applied a long-established U.S. policy to support Israel by bolstering the U.S. military presence in the Middle East. He sent U.S. naval and air assets to the Eastern Mediterranean and the Red Sea to deter Hezbollah from joining the war in Gaza and to strike pro-Iranian militias in the region that have targeted U.S. military personnel and bases, primarily in Syria and Iraq.28

The Biden administration also made vigorous diplomatic efforts to defend Israel from Hezbollah attacks,29 and vetoed three United Nations Security Council (S.C.) Resolutions aiming to establish a ceasefire in Gaza affecting Israel’s war plans.30

The U.S. also opposed a United Nations General Assembly (G.A.) Resolution against Israel’s war policies supported by 79% of the nations in the world.31 The only countries supporting Israel’s military strategy were the U.S., just two European countries (Austria and the Czech Republic), together with Guatemala, Micronesia, Liberia, Paraguay, Papua New Guinea, and Nauru.32

  1. On October 18, 2023, the U.S. vetoed a S.C. resolution that would have called for “humanitarian pauses” to deliver lifesaving aid to millions in Gaza. While twelve of the Council’s fifteen members voted in favor of the Brazilian-led text, one (United States) voted against, and two (Russia and the United Kingdom) abstained. Prior to the vote, two amendments proposed by Russia, calling for an immediate, durable, and full ceasefire, and to stop attacks against civilians did not obtain the required nine votes. U.S. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield explained her country’s veto in the Council chamber saying “this resolution did not mention Israel’s right of self-defense.” She added: “Israel has the inherent right of self-defense as reflected in Article 51 of the U.N. Charter,” noting that the right was reaffirmed by the Council in previous resolutions on terrorist attacks. “This resolution should have done the same.”33

  2. On December 8, 2023, the U.S. vetoed a S.C. Resolution that would have called for an immediate ceasefire in the intense fighting between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. Thirteen members voted in favor of a brief draft resolution put forward by the United Arab Emirates, while Britain abstained. Robert Wood, the U.S. deputy representative at the U.N., said the resolution was “divorced from reality” and “would have not moved the needle forward on the ground.”34

  3. On December 12, 2023, the G.A. adopted a resolution with a large majority of 153 in favor, and 10 against, with 23 abstentions, demanding an “immediate humanitarian ceasefire,” the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages and well as “ensuring humanitarian access.”35

The same day, President Biden warned that Israel was losing international support because of its “indiscriminate bombing” of Gaza, speaking out “in unusually strong language.”36

  1. On December 22, 2023, the S.C. adopted a Resolution demanding to the parties of the conflict the immediate, safe, and unhindered delivery of humanitarian assistance at scale directly to the Palestinian civilian population, and to create the conditions for a sustainable cessation of hostilities.37 Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the U.S. Ambassador to the U.N., agreed with the Resolution and affirmed that both “Israel and Hamas must respect international humanitarian law.”38

    Vassily Nebenzya, the Russian Ambassador to the U.N., explained his abstention:

    The text of the draft has lost a reference to condemnations of all indiscriminate attacks on civilians. What signal does this send to the international community? That the Security Council is giving Israel a green light for war crimes?39

V. A Battle to Impose the Legal Frame

There is no chaos, just complexity. The U.S. vetoes were in accordance with the legal system established by the U.N. Charter, and negotiations between the fifteen S.C. members with different interests and authority are the working methods.

Different authorities select the norms to apply. The international legal order includes the authority of the G.A., the S.C., the ICJ, the ICC, and 193 sovereign nations, to adopt different and sometimes opposite solutions to the same case. All national leaders have the choice to promote military actions, vote at the G.A., and to support, attack, or try to control international criminal justice.

The leaders’ commands trigger institutions to act. Soldiers have limited agency: they follow instructions and rules. Diplomats and intelligence services can receive directives to consecrate their impunity.40

Since the early days of the current conflict, President Biden said Israel had a right to respond to the attacks by Hamas, but warned its retaliatory action must be “according to the rule of law.”41

In those early days, the U.S. Secretary of State said it is “our respect for international law and the laws of war” that “separates Israel, the U.S. and other democracies” from Hamas and terrorist groups that engage in “heinous” activities. He added: “We know that Israel will take all of the precautions that it can” to avoid civilian casualties, “just as we would.”42

On January 26, 2024, responding to the order issued by the ICJ in a case brought by South Africa,43 Netanyahu said Israel’s commitment to international law was “unwavering.”

Like every country, Israel has a basic right to defend itself […] The World Court in the Hague justly rejected the outrageous demand to deprive us of this right.44

Netanyahu appeared to be referring to the fact that the ICJ did not call for an immediate ceasefire in Hamas-run Gaza. He continued:

But the mere claim that Israel is committing genocide against Palestinians is not only false, it’s outrageous, and the willingness of the court to even discuss this is a disgrace that will not be erased for generations.45

The U.S. Secretary of State made similar comments about the case two weeks before the ICJ order:

We believe the submission against Israel to the International Court of Justice distracts the world from all of these important efforts [freeing hostages, strengthening protection of civilians in Gaza, and preventing the conflict from spreading]. And moreover, the charge of genocide is meritless.

It’s particularly galling, given that those who are attacking Israel—Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, as well as their supporter, Iran—continue to openly call for the annihilation of Israel and the mass murder of Jews.46

Israel and the U.S., while pledging to respect and support international legal standards, are challenging their interpretation and application by other authorities. As far back as 1873, Louis Gabriel Gustave Moynier, the Swiss lawyer who co-founded the International Committee of the Red Cross, noted that states at war have no interest in punishing crimes committed by their own soldiers, and international courts are required to guarantee enforcement of the laws of war.47

VI. The Role of the ICJ and the Genocide Convention

South Africa, as one of the 153 state parties of the Genocide Convention, invoked its duty to prevent genocide and brought a case against Israel before the ICJ. South Africa alleged that the evidence it presented “shows incontrovertibly a pattern of conduct and related intention that justifies a plausible claim of genocidal acts.”48

As indicated previously, the Court quoted Israel authorities to consider the possibility of genocidal intentions. The material requisites of genocide were mentioned by the Court, including killings under Article II(a) of the Genocide Convention:

While figures relating to the Gaza Strip cannot be independently verified, recent information indicates that 25,700 Palestinians have been killed, over 63,000 injuries have been reported, over 360,000 housing units have been destroyed or partially damaged, and approximately 1.7 million persons have been internally displaced.49

The material requisites of Articles II(b) and II(c) of the Genocide Convention—bodily and mental harm, and inflicting conditions of life to destroy a group—were also mentioned:

In the past 100 days, sustained bombardment across the Gaza Strip caused the mass displacement of a population that is in a state of flux—constantly uprooted and forced to leave overnight, only to move to places which are just as unsafe. This has been the largest displacement of the Palestinian people since 1948.

This war affected more than 2 million people—the entire population of Gaza. Many will carry lifelong scars, both physical and psychological. The vast majority, including children, are deeply traumatized.

Overcrowded and unsanitary UNRWA shelters have now become ‘home’ to more than 1.4 million people. They lack everything, from food to hygiene to privacy. People live in inhumane conditions, where diseases are spreading, including among children.50

In the Court’s view, the facts and circumstances mentioned above are sufficient to conclude that at least some of the rights claimed by South Africa and for which it is seeking protection are plausible.51

The Court ordered provisional measures. By a vote of 15–2, it ordered that Israel shall take all measures within its power to prevent the commission of genocide, enable humanitarian assistance, ensure the preservation of evidence, and submit a report within one month to the Court on all measures taken to give effect to its order.52

Judge ad hoc Barak from Israel joined the majority to order Israel to:

[P]revent and punish the direct and public incitement to commit genocide […] [and to] take immediate and effective measures to enable the provision of urgently needed basic services and humanitarian assistance to address the adverse conditions of life faced by Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.53

VII. The Palestinian National Authority and the Role of the International Criminal Court

Since the Oslo Agreements were signed in 1993 and 1995, the Palestinian National Authority (PNA) has explored peaceful mechanisms to achieve an agreement with Israel. But, in 2007, Hamas took control of Gaza and conducted a rocket fire campaign against nearby Israeli areas.

On December 27, 2008, Israel launched a large-scale air campaign in the Gaza Strip, the first phase of what was called Operation Cast Lead to stop Hamas’ rocket fire into Israel.54

In January 2009, Israel declared a unilateral ceasefire, and twelve hours later, Hamas announced a one-week ceasefire.55

The same day, and without providing any advance notice, Ali Khashan, the minister of justice of the PNA, visited the ICC’s offices in The Hague and lodged an ad hoc declaration accepting ICC jurisdiction under Article 12(3) of the Rome Statute.56

As then Chief Prosecutor of the ICC, I received Minister Khashan and explained that I could understand the Palestinians’ demand for justice and the importance of his efforts, but I could not guarantee success. My promise was to be impartial and to respect the Rome Statute. And, in this regard, I added that it was not clear that the Palestinian Authority could be considered a “state” as required by the Rome Statute.57

The minister surprised me and, instead of making a political demand, he asked for the opportunity and the time to present arguments to determine whether Palestine can pass criminal jurisdiction to the ICC.58

It was clear to us that part of our duty as the Office of the Prosecutor (OTP) was to offer a fair process to all interested parties to present arguments to the OTP without prejudicing our final decision. I promised the minister that the Palestinian Authority would have the opportunity to thoroughly present its views.59

A. Social and Political Impact

Between 2009 and 2012, I witnessed the impact of the law in creating or reducing social deterrence. The Arab League produced a report supporting the PNA.60 Even Hamas was apparently thinking about justice; and the U.S., to support Israel, was trying to politically influence my decisions.61

On August 14, 2009, the OTP received from the Israeli embassy a copy of the government public report on Operation Cast Lead. The document referenced “multiple IDF investigations into allegations made by various groups of violations of the law.”62

On September 7, 2009, the Israeli embassy also responded specifically to our letter, thanking us for informing them of the opening of the preliminary examination. Israel’s letter said that we did not need more information because the case was obvious: Palestine was not a state.63

We took advantage of the biannual meetings with NGOs at the seat of the Court, and, on October 20, 2010, the OTP organized a special session to discuss Palestine’s statehood. It attracted experts and NGOs with different and contradictory views.64

In 2011, a professor with an informal connection to Hamas approached the OTP. He explained that Hamas would not make peace with Israel, but it was ready for a truce and even to investigate Israel’s allegations against Hamas’s members involved in crimes. He requested more information about the complementarity system.65

Wikileaks exposed Israeli officers’ concern that a response to the Goldstone Report allegations might:

[N]ot be adequate—or happen quickly enough—to slow progress toward action by ICC prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo.66

In February 2010, a different Wikileaks cable reported that:

IDF Military Advocate General Mandelblit […] warned that PA pursuit of Israel through the ICC would be viewed as war by the GOI.67

The U.S. presented its opinion to the OTP, but followed a political approach rather than a legal one. A member of the U.S. government I had known for decades came to The Hague and asked me to close the preliminary examination requested by the Palestinian Authority immediately. When I asked why I should do that, she said: “Because that is what the U.S. wants.”68

I noted her opinions and told her that I understood she was representing her government, but I had legal duties that I intended to respect. I assumed that such an approach worked for the U.S. in some cases and, therefore, she was expecting an affirmative answer.69

In a subsequent meeting in New York, I met one of the highest authorities on foreign relations in the U.S. government. She also asked me to stop Palestine’s preliminary examination. I responded that I was following the preliminary examination procedure, an answer which was met by her silence.70 Since I had nothing to add, I also remained silent and stared back at her. For about three minutes, we stared at each other without a word. At the time, my international cooperation adviser, who had a long diplomatic career, told me that he had never been in such a tense meeting.71

Despite their initial objections, I was invited for dinner with Israeli government members at the Israeli ambassador’s residence in The Hague. After that informal meeting, the OTP had direct contact with Israel’s officers, and we had access to their views.72

In July 2011, Palestine confirmed to the OTP that it had submitted its principal arguments and, on April 3, 2012, the OTP issued its decision:73

The Rome Statute provides no authority for the Office of the Prosecutor to adopt a method to define the term ‘State’ under Article 12(3) which would be at variance with that established for the purpose of Article 12(1).74 […]

[T]he current status granted to Palestine by the United Nations General Assembly is that of ‘observer,’ not as a ‘Non-member State.’75 […]

The Office could in the future consider allegations of crimes committed in Palestine, should competent organs of the United Nations or eventually the Assembly of States Parties resolve the legal issue relevant to an assessment [of Palestine’s statehood.]76

On November 29, 2012, the situation changed. The G.A., voting by an overwhelming majority of 138–9,77 accorded Palestine non-Member Observer State status in the United Nations.78

With their newly recognized status in their pocket, the Palestinians engaged in substantive peace talks with Israel, led by Secretary of State John Kerry. The negotiations failed and a new conflict in Gaza started on June 2014.79

On January 1, 2015, the government of Palestine lodged a declaration under Article 12(3) of the Rome Statute accepting the jurisdiction of the Court over alleged crimes committed “in the occupied Palestinian territory, including East Jerusalem, since June 13, 2014.”80

The G.A. Resolution also established that Palestine was eligible to accede to treaties applying the ‘all States’ formula [as the Rome Statute] to determine membership.81 On January 2, 2015, the government of Palestine acceded to the Rome Statute by depositing its instrument of accession with the United Nations Secretary-General with a date of entry into force starting on April 1, 2015.82

On January 6, 2015, after Palestine’s ratification, the United Nations Secretary-General acting as the “depositary” followed the G.A.’s decision accepting Palestine as a state ratifying the Statute.83

On January 16, 2015, ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda opened a preliminary examination into the situation in Palestine.84

The “State of Palestine” was accepted by the Assembly of the States Parties Credentials Committee during the 2015 Assembly of States Parties.85 Canada was the only state party that objected to “Palestinian statehood and accession to the Rome Statute.”86 In 2016, Palestine became a member of the Assembly of States Parties Bureau.

On May 22, 2018, Palestine referred the situation in the state of Palestine to the Prosecutor, allowing the Prosecutor to initiate an investigation without prior judicial authorization.87

On January 22, 2020, and before opening an investigation, the prosecution requested a ruling under Rome Statute Article 19(3) asking the Court to confirm that the “territory” over which the ICC may exercise its jurisdiction comprised the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including the West Bank, East Jerusalem, and Gaza.88

On January 28, 2020, the Pre-Trial Chamber, considering the complexity and novelty of the Prosecutor’s request, invited observations on the question of jurisdiction.89

On February 5, 2021, the Pre-Trial Chamber decided, by majority, that the territorial scope of its jurisdiction extends to Gaza and the West Bank, including East Jerusalem.90

On March 3, 2021, outgoing ICC Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda announced the opening of the investigation into the Situation in the State of Palestine.91 Her successor, Karim Khan, took office just three months later and confirmed that decision.92 So, when Hamas attacked Israel, an ICC investigation was already underway.

On October 29, 2023, Karim Kahn went to Egypt and visited the Rafah Crossing between Egypt and the Gaza Strip. After the visit, he spoke from Cairo:

I come to Egypt at what everybody knows is a very precarious time in world affairs. […] And it’s in times like this […] that we need the law more than ever. […]

[W]e have watched with horror the pictures emerging from Israel on the 7th of October. […] They’re the most un-Islamic acts and cannot be committed in the name of a religion whose very name is peace. […] [W]hilst I wasn’t able to enter Gaza on this trip, I stood almost on the door of Gaza when I went to the Rafah Crossing this morning. […]

The fact that innocent civilians are trapped under the weight of a war they cannot escape and which is not their fault is not tenable. […]

In this regard, I have to say that Israel has clear obligations in relation to its war with Hamas: not just moral obligations, but legal obligations that it has to comply with the laws of armed conflict. […]

I’m also extremely concerned with the spike, the increase, in the number of reported incidents of attacks by Israeli settlers against Palestinian civilians in the West Bank. We will investigate these attacks and all further attacks must cease immediately.93

On November 17, 2023, the ICC received further referrals of the Situation in the State of Palestine, from South Africa, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Comoros, and Djibouti.94 On January 18, 2024, the Republic of Chile and the United Mexican State submitted additional referrals.95

The Palestine referral of its own situation already authorized prosecutor Fatou Bensouda to open an investigation without asking the Pre-Trial Chamber for authorization. While these new referrals have no impact on the legal proceedings, they are political statements of support for the investigation.

On December 2, 2023, the Prosecutor visited Israel at the request of family victims of Hamas. He also visited Ramallah in the West Bank.

In my meeting with the families of the victims of these attacks, my message was clear: we stand ready to work in partnership with them as part of our ongoing work to hold those responsible to account.96

He called for the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages taken by Hamas and other terror organizations.

In relation to Gaza, and notwithstanding any ongoing violations of international humanitarian law by Hamas and other armed groups in the Gaza Strip, the manner in which Israel responds to these attacks is subject to clear legal parameters that govern armed conflict. Conflict in densely populated areas where fighters are alleged to be unlawfully embedded in the civilian population is inherently complex, but international humanitarian law must still apply and the Israeli military knows the law that must be applied.97

He also expressed his concerns about Israeli Settler violence in the West Bank.98

Two days later, the Prosecutor was in New York presenting his activities before the Assembly of States Parties. He summarized his points on Palestine and Israel, adding “that humanitarian relief, the denial of humanitarian relief, is a matter that my Office is investigating.” He also reiterated his comments on Israeli settlers in the occupied territories.99

On February 12, 2024, the Jerusalem Post alerted that “ICC Prosecutor threatens Israel with war crimes scrutiny if it invades Rafah.”100

The Prosecutor is the only authority to select the incidents or the individuals to be investigated. He could choose Hamas leaders living in Qatar or Lebanon, or he could focus on those living in Gaza. He could choose Prime Minister Netanyahu, or the Israeli soldier who killed the Israeli hostages. He could choose cases against Minister Gvir or settlers in the West Bank, for the recent violence there. Or he could prosecute leaders and settlers for the war crime of transferring Israeli citizens into the Palestinian area.

National investigations have primacy. If Israel conducts genuine proceedings on the same incidents investigated by the ICC, the ICC cannot open investigations against its personnel. The Palestinian Authority has no jurisdiction to prosecute Israeli citizens, but, in principle, such limitation does not affect the ICC.

VIII. Conclusion

After fifteen years of legal battles, the ICC is conducting investigations in Gaza, the West Bank, and East Jerusalem.

Jo and Simmons explained the importance of the system surrounding the ICC:

One prosecutor, acting alone and without significant backing by the international community or local support, could have brought about these consequences merely by issuing a decision to investigate or signing a warrant. ICC interventions are powerful because they are part of a package of efforts to rally support for ending impunity.101

The ad hoc tribunals in Nuremberg, Yugoslavia, and Rwanda were geographically confined to conduct fair international trials within a particular region. The Rome Statute created more than a Court. It produced a peculiar confederation of nation-states connected with a permanent International Criminal Court. States assumed primary responsibility to prevent, investigate, and prosecute the crimes, and they accepted ICC intervention within their jurisdiction if they failed to act.

The Preamble of the Rome Statute defined the goal of the entire system: to put an end to impunity for the perpetrators of the most serious crimes of concern to the international community as a whole and thus to contribute to the prevention of such crimes.102

As the ICC takes action, it not only raises expectations of prosecution; it shapes social expectations about what constitutes justice more broadly.103

Professor James Crawford, the chair of the U.N. International Law Commission working group that produced the Draft Statute in 1994, described the final version of the Statute adopted in Rome as “a distinct and to a considerable extent an autonomous criminal justice system.”104

The complex system worked in the Palestine situation. Chief Prosecutor Fatou Bensouda opened an investigation following a referral from the PNA. Such a decision was later specifically supported by South Africa, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Comoros, Djibouti, Chile, and Mexico. On December 4, 2023, 123 state parties of the Rome Statute reconfirmed:

[Our] unwavering support for the Court as an independent and impartial judicial institution [and] reiterat[ing] [our] commitment to uphold and defend the principles and values enshrined in the Rome Statute and to preserve its integrity undeterred by any threats or measures against the Court, its officials and those cooperating with it.105

However, ICC intervention is deterring neither Hamas’s crimes, nor Prime Minister Netanyahu’s military campaign. Israel is starving and displacing Palestinians in Gaza, and an extreme-right settler, Ben Gvir, as the Minister of National Security, controls the West Bank, where, according to the ICC Prosecutor, Israeli settlers are attacking Palestinians.106

To protect Israel, the U.S. is following Netanyahu’s policies and acting in opposition to the vast majority of the world’s governments, diminishing the ICC’s social deterrence impact. The U.S. is against 86% of the S.C. members, 79% of the G.A., the provisional ruling of the ICJ, and, in principle, ICC intervention. Such opposition is emboldening Prime Minister Netanyahu and affecting U.S. credibility as a supporter of international law.

History teaches us that the war in Gaza will fail to control terrorism. In 1982, Israel invaded Lebanon to uproot the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO). More than 17,000 people in Lebanon were killed, but Israel did achieve its goal of expelling the PLO from the country. But the cost was a brutal escalation of violence, which produced a massacre in Sabra and Shatila, and helped create Hezbollah, the Iranian-backed Shiite group.107

General Stanley McChrystal, who commanded U.S. troops in Iraq and Afghanistan, explained the counterproductive impact of a killing strategy. If there are ten insurgents in a particular region, and you kill two, you may end up with ten more. The families and friends of those you kill become terrorists.108
General McChrystal labeled this paradoxical impact of military operations against terrorism as “insurgent math.”109

Alternatively, justice reduces revenge.

Governments are also much more likely to commit violence against civilians when rebels do so, which suggests that ICC deterrence may contribute to breaking cycles of violence committed on both sides of a conflict.110

To deter crimes in Israel/Palestine, the U.S. has to learn from reality and stop supporting the exclusively military approach. It needs to help conduct criminal investigations against Hamas leaders living outside of Gaza, and sanction the banks facilitating the flow of money to buy weapons.

The Israel/Palestine conflict is an opportunity to rethink how to harmonize power and law. As Jenny Martinez said:

The potential for a mutually beneficial and reinforcing relationship between state power and international law is missing from many contemporary theories.111

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Adopted by the United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court, Jul. 17, 1998, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.183/9, as amended [hereinafter Rome Statute], available online.

  2. 2.

    Hyeran Jo & Beth A. Simmons, Can the International Criminal Court Deter Atrocity?, 70 Int’l Org. 443 (Jul. 8, 2016), paywall, doi, earlier version (Mar. 7, 2016) online.

  3. 3.

    Id.

  4. 4.

    Id.

  5. 5.

    Id.

  6. 6.

    Id.

  7. 7.

    Id.

  8. 8.

    Hyeran Jo & Beth A. Simmons, Can the International Criminal Court Deter Atrocity?, IPI (Dec. 18, 2014), available online, doi.

  9. 9.

    Jo & Simmons, supra note 2.

  10. 10.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Request for the Indication of Provisional Measures: Order, ¶ 13 (Jan. 26, 2024) [hereinafter ICJ Order], available online, video.

  11. 11.

    Rory Jones, Benoit Faucon, Ian Talley & Abeer Ayyoub, The “CEO” of Hamas Who Found the Money to Attack Israel, Wall St. J., Jan. 4, 2024, paywall; Jo Becker & Justin Scheck, Israel Found the Hamas Money Machine Years Ago. Nobody Turned It Off, N.Y. Times, Dec. 16, 2023, updated Dec. 28, 2023, paywall.

  12. 12.

    Cf. ICJ Order, supra note 10, ¶ 24; see also Israel’s Netanyahu: Charge of Genocide “Outrageous”, Reuters, Jan. 26, 2024 [hereinafter Charge of Genocide Outrageous], available online.

  13. 13.

    ICJ Order, supra note 10, ¶ 13.

  14. 14.

    Rome Statute, supra note 1, at Art. 8(2)(b)(xxv)

    (“Intentionally using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare by depriving them of objects indispensable to their survival, including wilfully impeding relief supplies as provided for under the Geneva Conventions [is a war crime].”).

  15. 15.

    Id. at Art. 7(2)(b)

    (“ ‘Extermination’ includes the intentional infliction of conditions of life, inter alia the deprivation of access to food and medicine, calculated to bring about the destruction of part of a population.”);

    Id. at Art. 7(2)(g)

    (“ ‘Persecution’ means the intentional and severe deprivation of fundamental rights contrary to international law by reason of the identity of the group or collectivity”).

  16. 16.

    Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, Art. II, Dec. 9, 1948, S. Exec. Doc. O, 81-1 (1949), 78 U.N.T.S. 277 [hereinafter Genocide Convention], available online; Rome Statute, supra note 1, at Art. 6

    (“(a) Killing members of the group; (b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group; (c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part […])”).

  17. 17.

    ICJ Order, supra note 10, ¶ 54.

  18. 18.

    Id. ¶ 52.

  19. 19.

    Id.

  20. 20.

    Jo & Simmons, supra note 2.

  21. 21.

    Hyeran Jo, Beth A. Simmons & Mitchell Radtke, Conflict Actors and the International Criminal Court in Colombia, 19 J. Int’l Crim. Just. 959 (Sep. 2021), paywall, doi.

  22. 22.

    Id.

  23. 23.

    Ursula Perando & Mia McCarthy, Menendez Steps Down as Chair of Foreign Relations Committee, Politico, Sep. 22, 2023, available online.

  24. 24.

    Jo & Simmons, supra note 2.

  25. 25.

    Martti Koskenniemi, The Place of Law in Collective Security, 17 Mich. J. Int’l L. 455, 455 (1996), available online.

  26. 26.

    Stephen D. Krasner, Realist Views of International Law, 96 ASIL Proceedings 265 (Mar. 2002), paywall, doi.

  27. 27.

    Stephen M. Walt, The Enduring Relevance of the Realist Tradition, in Political Science: State of the Discipline (Ira Katznelson & Helen V. Milner eds., 2003), paywall.

  28. 28.

    Gregory Aftandilian, US Military Presence in the Middle East: Deterrence and Retaliation, Arab Center Wash. DC (Nov. 14, 2023), available online.

    (In October [2023], the Pentagon deployed the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford, the largest such carrier in the world, to the Eastern Mediterranean, along with several support ships. The Ford is known to hold 5000 sailors, 75 aircraft, and an arsenal of missiles that include those capable of downing drones. This deployment was followed by sending the aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower to the region, which passed through the Suez Canal in early November, and is now stationed in the Red Sea).

    Jonathan Beale, How Far Would the US Go to Defend Israel?, BBC News, Oct. 23, 2023, available online.

    (US troops in Iraq and Syria have been attacked several times since October, and a US destroyer in the Red Sea intercepted missiles fired from Yemen which were “potentially” aimed towards Israel).

    Eric Schmitt, 3 American Soldiers Killed in Drone Strike in Jordan, U.S. Says, N.Y. Times, Jan. 28, 2024, available online.

    (As of the end of January 2024, the U.S. has led a major wave of retaliatory strikes in the Middle East, hitting scores of targets belonging to Iranian-backed armed groups. The strikes are a sharp escalation of hostilities in the region, one that President Biden had sought to avoid since the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza began in October).

  29. 29.

    Robbie Gramer, Inside Biden’s Push to Head Off an Israel–Hezbollah War, Foreign Pol., Jan. 11, 2024, available online.

    (“The Biden Administration has dispatched a seasoned envoy to try to strike a major diplomatic deal in the Middle East even against the backdrop of war. Amos Hochstein, a deputy assistant to the president, has accompanied Secretary of State Antony Blinken on a trip to the region to respond to the growing regional crisis sparked by the Israel–Hamas. Hochstein has been tasked with trying to ease tensions between Israel and the Lebanon-based militant group Hezbollah in a bid to head off a new front in the war that could be much deadlier than the ongoing one against Hamas.”).

  30. 30.

    Israel–Gaza Crisis: US Vetoes Security Council Resolution, UN News, Oct. 18, 2023 [hereinafter US Vetoes Security Council Resolution], available online; US Vetoes UN Security Council Resolution Demanding Immediate Ceasefire in Gaza Strip, Times of Israel, Dec. 9, 2023 [hereinafter Immediate Ceasefire Resolution Vetoed], available online; Farnaz Fassihi, Cassandra Vinograd & Thomas Fuller, U.S. Vetoes Security Council Cease-Fire Resolution, N.Y. Times, Feb. 20, 2024, paywall.

  31. 31.

    U.N. General Assembly Votes Overwhelmingly in Favour of Gaza Ceasefire, Al Jazeera, Dec. 12, 2023, available online.

  32. 32.

    Id.

  33. 33.

    US Vetoes Security Council Resolution, supra note 30.

    (Thomas-Greenfield also said that though the U.S. could not support the resolution, it will continue to work closely with all Council members on the crisis, “just as we will continue to reiterate the need to protect civilians, including members of the media, humanitarian workers, and U.N. officials.”).

  34. 34.

    Immediate Ceasefire Resolution Vetoed, supra note 30.

  35. 35.

    UN General Assembly Votes by Large Majority for Immediate Humanitarian Ceasefire During Emergency Session, UN News, Dec. 12, 2023, available online.

  36. 36.

    Colleen Long & Aamer Madhani, Biden Takes a Tougher Stance on Israel’s “Indiscriminate Bombing” of Gaza, AP, Dec. 12, 2023, available online.

  37. 37.

    Security Council Adopts Key Resolution on Gaza Crisis; Russia, US Abstain, UN News, Dec. 22, 2023, available online.

  38. 38.

    Patsy Widakuswara, US Abstains, Allowing UN Security Council Resolution on Gaza to Pass, Voice of America, Dec. 22, 2023, available online.

    (“[Thomas-Greenfield] added that the U.S. is ‘deeply disappointed’ the resolution did not condemn Hamas’ October 7 terror attacks that killed 1,200 people in Israel.”).

  39. 39.

    Id.

    (“Russia, which wanted stronger criticism of Israel in the resolution, also abstained, calling the final draft that contained amendments pushed by Washington ‘extremely neutered’ and ‘toothless.’ ”).

  40. 40.

    Luis Moreno Ocampo, War and Justice in the 21st Century (Nov. 18, 2022), paywall, partially archived.

  41. 41.

    Rozina Sabur & Nataliya Vasilyeva, US Warns Israel to “Uphold Laws of War” as Gaza Faces Onslaught, The Telegraph, Oct. 11, 2023, paywall.

  42. 42.

    Id.

  43. 43.

    ICJ Order, supra note 10.

  44. 44.

    Charge of Genocide Outrageous, supra note 12.

  45. 45.

    Id.

  46. 46.

    Antony J. Blinken, U.S. Secretary of State, Press Conference in Tel Aviv (Jan. 9, 2024), video and transcript.

  47. 47.

    Louis Gabriel Gustave Moynier, Étude sur la Convention de Genève pour L’Amélioration du Sort des Militaires Blessés dans les Armées en Campagne 300 (1870) (Fr.), archived, translated in Pierre Boissier, History of the International Committee of the Red Cross Vol. I: From Solferino to Tsushima 282 (1985), paywall; see also Christopher Keith Hall, The First Proposal for a Permanent International Criminal Court, 38 Int’l Rev. Red Cross 57 (1998), available online.

  48. 48.

    ICJ Order, supra note 10, ¶ 38.

  49. 49.

    Id. ¶ 46.

  50. 50.

    Id. ¶ 49, quoting Philippe Lazzarini, Commissioner-General of UNRWA, The Gaza Strip: 100 Days of Death, Destruction and Displacement, UNRWA (Jan. 13, 2024), available online.

  51. 51.

    ICJ Order, supra note 10, ¶ 54.

  52. 52.

    Id. ¶¶ 78–82.

  53. 53.

    Id. ¶ 86.

  54. 54.

    Taghreed El-Khodary & Ethan Bronner, Israelis Say Strikes Against Hamas Will Continue, N.Y. Times, Dec. 27, 2008, available paywall.

  55. 55.

    Isabel Kershner, Hamas Agrees to One-Week Cease-Fire in Gaza Conflict, N.Y. Times, Jan. 19, 2009, paywall.

  56. 56.

    Office of the Prosecutor, ICC, Visit of the Palestinian National Authority Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mr. Riad al-Malki, and Minister of Justice, Mr. Ali Khashan, to the Prosecutor of the ICC (Feb. 13, 2009), available online.

  57. 57.

    Moreno Ocampo, supra note 40.

  58. 58.

    Id.

  59. 59.

    Id.

  60. 60.

    Arab League Fact Finding Committee, No Safe Place (Apr. 30, 2009), available online.

    (The Arab League Fact-Finding Committee found that the IDF was responsible for the crime of indiscriminate and disproportionate attacks on civilians, and it was responsible for committing crimes against humanity but not genocide. Remarkably, the committee also concluded that Palestinian militants who fired rockets into Israel committed the war crime of indiscriminate and disproportionate attacks on civilians).

  61. 61.

    Moreno Ocampo, supra note 40.

  62. 62.

    See Office of the Prosecutor, ICC, Letter from Béatrice Le Fraper du Hellen, Director of the Jurisdiction, Complementarity and Cooperation Division, to Kyung-Wha Kang, Deputy High Commissioner for Human Rights, ¶ 17 (Jan. 12, 2010), available online.

  63. 63.

    Moreno Ocampo, supra note 40.

  64. 64.

    Office of the Prosecutor, ICC, NGO Roundtable Session on Palestine (Oct. 20, 2010), available online.

  65. 65.

    Moreno Ocampo, supra note 40.

  66. 66.

    A/S Posner Discusses Goldstone Report With Senior Israeli Officials, 10TELAVIV183_a, Wikileaks, ¶ 5 (Jan. 27, 2010), available online.

  67. 67.

    IDF Mag Mandelblit on IDF Investigations Into Operation Cast Lead, 10TELAVIV417_a, Wikileaks, ¶ 1 (Feb. 23, 2010), available online.

  68. 68.

    Moreno Ocampo, supra note 40.

  69. 69.

    Id.

  70. 70.

    Id.

  71. 71.

    Id.

  72. 72.

    Id.

  73. 73.

    Office of the Prosecutor, ICC, Situation in Palestine (Apr. 3, 2012), available online.

  74. 74.

    Id. ¶ 6.

  75. 75.

    Id. ¶ 7.

  76. 76.

    Id. ¶ 8.

  77. 77.

    Against were Canada, the Czech Republic, Israel, the Marshall Islands, the Federated States of Micronesia, Nauru, Panama, Palau, and the United States, with forty-one abstentions.

  78. 78.

    Press Release, United Nations, General Assembly Votes Overwhelmingly to Accord Palestine ‘Non-Member Observer State’ Status in United Nations (Nov. 29, 2012), available online; see also G.A. Res. 67/19, A/Res/67/19, Status of Palestine in the United Nations (adopted Nov. 29, 2012), download, archived.

  79. 79.

    Jodi Rudoren, Israel Halts Talks, Citing Palestinian Unity Agreement, N.Y. Times, Apr. 24, 2014, paywall; Egypt Media Critical of Hamas Amid Gaza War, Al Jazeera, Aug. 16, 2014, available online.

  80. 80.

    State of Palestine, ICC, available online (last visited Feb. 18, 2024).

  81. 81.

    Moreno Ocampo, supra note 40.

  82. 82.

    United Nations Secretary-General, State of Palestine: Accession (Jan. 6, 2015), available online.

  83. 83.

    Id.

  84. 84.

    Press Release, ICC, The Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, Fatou Bensouda, Opens a Preliminary Examination of the Situation in Palestine (Jan. 16, 2015), available online.

  85. 85.

    Assembly of States Parties, Report of the Credentials Committee, ICC-ASP/14/20, 76 Annex I (Nov. 2015), available online.

  86. 86.

    Id. at 81 Annex III.

  87. 87.

    The State of Palestine, Referral Pursuant to Articles 13(a) and 14 of the Rome Statute, PAL-180515-Ref (May 15, 2018), available online.

  88. 88.

    Situation in the State of Palestine, ICC-01/18-12, Prosecution request pursuant to Article 19(3) for a ruling on the Court’s territorial jurisdiction in Palestine (ICC PTC I, Jan. 22, 2020), available online.

  89. 89.

    Situation in the State of Palestine, ICC-01/18-14, Order setting the procedure and the schedule for the submission of observations, ¶ 15 (ICC PTC I, Jan. 28, 2020), available online.

    (The Czech Republic, Austria, Australia, Hungary, Germany, Brazil, and Uganda presented their observations considering that Palestine had not fulfilled all statehood criteria under international law. Most of them accepted that they did not object to the acceptance of Palestine as a state party of the Rome Statute. Still, they understood that such an accession could not substitute the missing elements of statehood. The League of Arab States and the Organization of the Islamic Cooperation filled in support of Palestine’s position).

  90. 90.

    Situation in the State of Palestine, ICC-01/18-143, Decision on the “Prosecution request pursuant to Article 19(3) for a ruling on the Court’s territorial jurisdiction in Palestine” (ICC PTC I, Feb. 5, 2021), available online.

  91. 91.

    Fatou Bensouda, ICC Prosecutor, Statement Respecting an Investigation of the Situation in Palestine (Mar. 3, 2021), available online.

  92. 92.

    See International Criminal Court Prosecutor Says He Aims to ‘Visit Palestine’ in 2023, Times of Israel, Dec. 7, 2022, available online; Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement on the Situation in the State of Palestine: Receipt of a Referral from Five States Parties (Nov. 17, 2023) [hereinafter Five Referrals], available online.

  93. 93.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement from Cairo on the Situation in the State of Palestine and Israel (Oct. 30, 2023), available online, video.

  94. 94.

    Five Referrals, supra note 92.

  95. 95.

    Republic of Chile and the United Mexican States, Referral to the Prosecutor of the ICC on the Situation in Palestine (Jan. 18, 2024), available online.

  96. 96.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement: “We Must Show That the Law Is There, on the Front Lines, and That It Is Capable of Protecting All” (Dec. 3, 2023), available online.

  97. 97.

    Id.

  98. 98.

    Id.

    (“I also, yet again, emphasized my profound concern with the significant increase in incidents of attacks by Israeli settlers against Palestinian civilians in the West Bank. I stated that no Israeli armed with an extreme ideology and a gun can feel they can act with impunity against Palestinian civilians.”).

  99. 99.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement at Opening of the 22nd Session of the Assembly of States Parties (Dec. 4, 2023), available online.

    (“[A]ll attacks against Palestinians in the West Bank by Israeli settlers in the occupied Palestinian territories must cease without delay. No individual with an extreme ideology and a gun can feel they can kill or shoot or attack Palestinians with impunity. And I emphasized Israel as an occupying power has fundamental legal obligations to repress, prevent and punish those crimes and that we’re looking at that as well to make sure their rights are vindicated.”).

  100. 100.

    Yonah Jeremy Bob, ICC Prosecutor Threatens Israel with War Crimes Scrutiny if It Invades Rafah, The Jerusalem Post, Feb. 12, 2024, available online.

  101. 101.

    Jo & Simmons, supra note 2.

  102. 102.

    Rome Statute, supra note 1, at Preamble.

  103. 103.

    Jo & Simmons, supra note 2.

  104. 104.

    James Crawford, The Drafting of the Rome Statute in From Nuremberg to The Hague: The Future of International Criminal Justice 109, 154 (Philippe Sands ed., 2003), paywall, doi, partially archived.

  105. 105.

    Assembly of States Parties, ICC, Resolution on Strengthening the International Criminal Court and the Assembly of States Parties, ICC-ASP/22/ Res. 3 (Dec. 13, 2023), available online.

  106. 106.

    Khan, supra note 99.

  107. 107.

    Fareed Zakaria, Opinion, Israeli Leaders Shouldn’t Neglect the History of Fights Against Terrorism, Wash. Post, Nov. 3, 2023, paywall.

  108. 108.

    Stanley McChrystal, Commander of U.S. and Coalition Forces in Afghanistan, Speech at IISS (Oct. 1, 2009), available online; Michael Hastings, The Operators: The Wild and Terrifying Inside Story of America’s War in Afghanistan (Jan. 5, 2012), paywall; see also United States Department of the Army, The U.S. Army/Marine Corps Counterinsurgency Field Manual (2007), paywall; Owen Bowcott, Drone Strikes Threaten 50 Years of International Law, Says UN Rapporteur, The Guardian, Jun. 21, 2012, available online.

    (Similarly, Zamir Akram, Pakistani ambassador before the U.N. at Geneva, declared in 2012 that killing is “totally counterproductive in terms of succeeding in the war against terror. It leads to greater levels of terror rather than reducing them.”).

    Conor Friedersdorf, How America’s Drone War in Yemen Strengthens al-Qaeda, The Atlantic (Sep. 28, 2015), available online.

    (Jillian Schwedler, a political-science professor in New York who spent decades working on Yemen affirmed that “even drone strikes that kill carefully identified targets in Yemen are counterproductive, strengthening the very groups the United States is trying to destroy.”);

    but see, contra, Aqil Shah, Drone Blowback in Pakistan Is a Myth. Here’s Why, Wash. Post, May 17, 2016, available online.

  109. 109.

    McChrystal, supra note 108.

  110. 110.

    Jo & Simmons, supra note 2.

  111. 111.

    Jenny S. Martinez, The Slave Trade and the Origins of International Human Rights Law 166 (Jun. 15, 2011), paywall, partially archived.

  112. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Luis Moreno Ocampo, How to Control Crimes in Israel/Palestine?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Ocampo.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Scheffer Avatar Image Ambassador David Scheffer Clinical Professor Emeritus (Mayer Brown/Robert A. Helman Professor of Law, 2006–2020) Northwestern University Pritzker School of Law

Three Challenging Policy Issues for the Prosecutor in the Israel/Hamas Situation

There might be strong pressures to keep justice issues completely separate from the diplomatic talks. Given the allegations and disinformation swirling around October 7 and the aftermath, it might prove very problematic how justice would even be discussed among the negotiators. Isolating accountability for atrocity crimes from peace objectives would leave Khan free to pursue his investigation and uphold the prospect of ICC arrest warrants. Such segregation of justice from peace, however, may prove implausible, as the two goals of peace and justice seem destined to become intertwined given the way atrocity crimes presently dominate the situation both on the ground and in international courts, namely the ICC and the ICJ. But if the segregation of peace from justice is the chosen path, then Khan simply could plod his way through investigations and ultimately persuade the Pre-Trial Chamber of the ICC to approve arrest warrants, and then let the chips fall where they may.

Argument

The chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court (ICC),1 Karim A. A. Khan,2 faces several challenging policy issues in the months ahead regarding the Israel/Hamas situation.3 In this comment I examine three of those issues.

I. Role of the Prosecutor

Prosecutor Khan made two particularly important public statements about the Israel/Hamas situation following October 7, 2023. The first was an address he delivered in Cairo on October 29, 2023, the text of which was published in The Guardian on November 10, 2023.4 Khan’s address in Cairo immediately followed his visit to the Rafah crossing at the border between Gaza and Egypt. Khan was quite expansive in Cairo about the obligations of the contentious parties and how they can be held responsible under the Rome Statute. His remarks were aimed at both Israel and the State of Palestine (Palestine), including Hamas.

Khan’s second statement occurred on November 17, 2023, in The Hague when he announced the referral by five ICC States Parties of the Israel/Hamas situation to the ICC.5 These are the same countries (South Africa, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Comoros and Djibouti) that filed a case6 under the Genocide Convention7 before the International Court of Justice on December 29, 2023, seeking to hold Israel accountable under that Convention and requesting provisional measures against Israel. In his statement, Khan confirmed that he was extending his investigation (initially commenced on March 3, 2021 concerning “acts committed since June 13, 2014 in Gaza and the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, which would constitute crimes under the Rome Statute.”) “to the escalation of hostilities and violence since the attacks of October 7, 2023. In accordance with the Rome Statute, my Office has jurisdiction over crimes committed on the territory of a State Party and by nationals of such a State.” He called “on all States Parties to the Rome Statute to provide us with the resources we need to enable us to effectively fulfill our mandate for all situations we examine.”

In my view, Khan need not and should not say more publicly other than cryptic confirmations that his investigations continue. He needs to build trust among a wide range of governments, many of which are non-party States of the Rome Statute, such as Israel, the United States, Turkey, most Arab countries, and influential nations like China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, and Indonesia. These countries need to understand that his office is investigating objectively, with no political agenda, and that those investigations will proceed under the auspices of a Court that they have not joined. That trust will be attained with communications in private and diplomatic channels. There will be more than enough to say publicly in the event the ICC issues arrest warrants in this situation.

Further, Khan likely is reaching out to several non-party States, particularly the United States and Israel, for cooperation in the collection of evidence, including from intelligence sources. In his statement of November 17, 2023, he missed the opportunity to highlight the importance of cooperation from non-party States, particularly those with unique capabilities. He nonetheless should explore those opportunities quietly and diplomatically with such countries. Since the United States is cooperating with Khan on the provision of intelligence relating to the Russia/Ukraine war (fought between two non-party States of the Rome Statute), there will be protests of double standards unless Washington acts in a similar fashion regarding the Israel/Hamas war (fought between Hamas, part of one State Party, the State of Palestine, and one non-party State, Israel).8 The best way for Khan to address that politically sensitive issue with the United States will be to do so discreetly and tactfully in the months ahead.

Argument Continued

II. Article 18 Notification

Khan may have acted already in this respect, but just to check the box: Pursuant to Article 18 of the Rome Statute, the Prosecutor presumably has notified Israel, in particular, of the investigation now underway regarding the Israel/Hamas situation.9 That is an important notification as it should incentivize Israel to demonstrate that it is investigating, for example, claims of war crimes allegedly committed by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and the Israeli political leadership as well as public statements by government and military officials allegedly inciting genocide. Khan should privately encourage Israeli officials to undertake a comprehensive domestic investigation of Israeli actions. Granted, this will be a difficult step for Israel whose population is traumatized by the October 7 intervention and atrocities by Hamas militants.10

Most Israelis at this point will have little tolerance for self-reflection about the conduct of the IDF.11 But everyone will need to recognize the important role for the rule of law being followed by all actors. While under Article 18(3) of the Rome Statute the Israeli investigation would be “open to review by the Prosecutor six months after the date of deferral,” if the Israeli investigation is being undertaken in good faith and diligently, then Khan should use his discretion under his own “review” to extend the period of time that Israel would continue to conduct its domestic investigation prior to continuing his own full-scale investigation. This would conform with principles of complementarity under the Rome Statute.

Khan also presumably has delivered an Article 18 notification to the State of Palestine, whether that means to officials of the Palestinian Authority or the Palestine Liberation Organization. Such notification might prove pro forma as the judicial system in Palestine likely would struggle with any widescale investigation.12 However implausible the procedure, nothing prevents officials of Palestine seeking foreign assistance, including even from Israel, to investigate the actions by Hamas on Israeli territory on October 7 and in the use of human shields during the combat in Gaza, the taking and holding of hostages in Gaza following the October 7 assault, and the commission of any other war crimes under the Rome Statute. All of these acts presumably will be under investigation by Khan, so Palestine has the choice whether or not to weigh in with its own investigations of Hamas’s conduct. Palestine should be as mindful of complementarity, and the risks of ignoring it, as any other State Party of the Rome Statute.

III. Negotiated Settlement

Khan and his staff should be strategizing how he will navigate any evolving diplomacy for a negotiated settlement among Israel and Palestinian representatives (however composed among the Palestinian Authority, Palestine Liberation Organization, and/or Hamas) and major foreign players such as the United States, key Arab states, the European Union, and the United Nations. Every party to those talks, other than probably Israel as long as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in power,13 will insist on the two-state solution14 as a major objective. What will be the fate of international criminal justice in such talks?

There might be strong pressures to keep justice issues completely separate from the diplomatic talks. Given the allegations and disinformation swirling around October 7 and the aftermath, it might prove very problematic how justice would even be discussed among the negotiators.15 Isolating accountability for atrocity crimes from peace objectives would leave Khan free to pursue his investigation and uphold the prospect of ICC arrest warrants. Such segregation of justice from peace, however, may prove implausible, as the two goals of peace and justice seem destined to become intertwined given the way atrocity crimes presently dominate the situation both on the ground and in international courts, namely the ICC and the ICJ. But if the segregation of peace from justice is the chosen path, then Khan simply could plod his way through investigations and ultimately persuade the Pre-Trial Chamber of the ICC to approve arrest warrants, and then let the chips fall where they may.

The more likely prospect is that justice will be factored into negotiations that center on permanently ending hostilities and forging a two-state solution. The victim populations of atrocity crimes will expect justice to be addressed in the talks and doubtless will protest strongly the absence of accountability in the settlement. But the negotiations will compel tough decisions on modifying perfect justice with imperfect justice (or none at all) in order to reach the two-state solution. Khan may choose to engage with the negotiators in order to preserve the ICC’s equities.

It would not be surprising if one or more of the following options arise during the talks:

First, Israel and Palestine could agree, upon normalization of relations, to enter into a non-surrender agreement described by Article 98(2) of the Rome Statute whereby neither country would surrender an individual under an ICC arrest warrant to the ICC without gaining the consent of the “sending State” of that individual.16 Such an agreement would not be so different from probable realities. As a non-party State, Israel would not want to surrender anyone, and particularly not an Israeli citizen, to the ICC. Palestine would want to avoid the surrender of any individual (most likely from Hamas) within Palestine to the control of the ICC. While such an agreement would impair the ICC’s power to prosecute alleged perpetrators of atrocity crimes in the Israel/Hamas situation, the Article 98(2) non-surrender agreement could become a compelling means in the negotiations to essentially take the ICC off the table and focus on the two-state solution.

Nothing would prevent ultimately bringing Hamas leaders to justice in Israel if captured and brought to Israel to stand trial in Israeli courts. Israel, almost certainly, would never immunize them from possible prosecution, particularly for the atrocity crimes perpetrated by Hamas on October 7. In a conditional reciprocal fashion, future Palestinian courts might try to prosecute Israeli citizens for actions taken prior to the peace agreement unless explicitly deprived of that power in the peace agreement as a pre-condition to Israeli recognition of the State of Palestine. These would be difficult trade-offs to negotiate, but they need not necessarily implicate Khan and the ICC as these issues focus on justice rendered by national courts (Israel or Palestine) and not the ICC. But Khan should factor in any such developments in his review of complementarity efforts, if any, by prosecutors and courts in Israel and Palestine.

Finally, the negotiations for the end of hostilities and implementation of the two-state solution could raise the prospect of the United Nations Security Council (S.C.) acting in a manner consistent with the objective set forth in Article 16 of the Rome Statute, namely that:

No investigation or prosecution may be commenced or proceeded with under this Statute for a period of twelve months after the Security Council, in a resolution adopted under Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations, has requested the Court to that effect; that request may be renewed by the Council under the same conditions.17

Israel and Palestine may find this option attractive during the negotiations so as to shelve the ICC for at least one year, perhaps more, if that would mean achieving a permanent end to hostilities and the co-existence of two nations—Israel and Palestine—engaged in normalized diplomatic relations. The prospect of constructive negotiations leading to promises of international financing to rebuild Gaza and to strengthen the economy of Palestine could be a tempting objective that negotiators would be willing to prioritize over speedily achieving criminal justice of leading individual perpetrators of atrocity crimes.

In order to reach a final peace settlement enshrining the two-state solution, the five permanent members of the S.C. might find common cause in adopting a Chapter VII resolution (with sufficient non-permanent member votes) that prevents the ICC from continuing its investigation or prosecution of atrocity crimes in the Israel/Hamas situation under the terms of Article 16 of the Rome Statute. Russia and China might see political value in shielding Hamas officials from ICC scrutiny, and the United States, United Kingdom, and France might see equal political value in shielding Israeli officials from ICC investigation.

Khan will need to keep a very keen eye on negotiations that may unfold in the coming months and weigh to what extent he should personally intervene at any point during those negotiations to respond to proposals pertaining to Article 16 or Article 98(2) or other provisions of the Rome Statute.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    See Home Page, Int’l Crim. Ct., available online (last visited Feb. 7, 2024).

  2. 2.

    See Karim A. A. Khan KC, Int’l Crim. Ct., available online (last visited Feb. 7, 2024).

  3. 3.

    Letter from Vusi Madonsela, Ambassador of the Republic of South Africa to the Kingdom of the Netherlands, State Party referral in accordance with Article 14 of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Int’l Crim. Ct. (Nov. 17, 2023), available online.

  4. 4.

    Karim A. A. Khan, Opinion, We Are Witnessing a Pandemic of Inhumanity: To Halt the Spread, We Must Cling to the Law, The Guardian, Nov. 10, 2023, available online.

  5. 5.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement on the Situation in the State of Palestine: Receipt of a Referral From Five States Parties (Nov. 17, 2023), available online.

  6. 6.

    See Press Release, I.C.J., The Republic of South Africa Institutes Proceedings Against the State of Israel and Requests the Court to Indicate Provisional Measures (Dec. 29, 2023) [hereinafter South Africa Institutes Proceedings], available online.

  7. 7.

    Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide, Dec. 9, 1948, S. Exec. Doc. O, 81-1 (1949), 78 U.N.T.S. 277 [hereinafter Genocide Convention], available online.

  8. 8.

    See South Africa Institutes Proceedings, supra note 6.

  9. 9.

    Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Adopted by the United Nations Diplomatic Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Establishment of an International Criminal Court, Jul. 17, 1998, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.183/9, as amended [hereinafter Rome Statute], Art. 18, available online.

  10. 10.

    Noa Limone, “A Multilayered Trauma Is Affecting Israels in the Wake of October 7. It’s Infectious,” Haaretz, Dec. 2, 2023, paywall.

  11. 11.

    Widening Mideast Crisis: Blast That Killed About 20 Soldiers Linked to Israeli Effort to Create Gaza Buffer Zone, N.Y. Times, Jan. 23, 2024, paywall.

  12. 12.

    Judicial Systems in Member States—Palestine, EAJTN, available online (last visited Feb. 7, 2024).

  13. 13.

    Widening Mideast Crisis: U.S. Official Heads to Middle East for Talks on Hostages, N.Y. Times, Jan. 21, 2024, paywall.

  14. 14.

    Nidal al-Mughrabi, Ali Sawafta, Maayan Lubell, Dan Williams, Ari Rabinovitch & Tom Perry, Israel–Palestinian Conflict: What Is the Two-State Solution and What Are the Obstacles?, Reuters, Jan. 26, 2024, available online.

  15. 15.

    Elizabeth Dwoskin, Growing Oct. 7 “Truther” Groups Say Hamas Massacre Was a False Flag, Wash. Post, Jan. 21, 2024, paywall.

  16. 16.

    Rome Statute, supra note 9, Art. 98.

  17. 17.

    Id. Art. 16.

  18. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    David Scheffer, Three Challenging Policy Issues for the Prosecutor in the Israel/Hamas Situation, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Scheffer.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.

Shany Avatar Image Professor Yuval Shany Hersch Lauterpacht Chair of Public International Law Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Effects of the ICC Intervention in the 2023–2024 Israel–Hamas War

For the Israeli side, the involvement of the ICC—along with other forms of international pressure—do generate, in effect, a degree of deterrence and encourage the activation of domestic mechanisms of accountability. Such deterrence and accountability may have already led to the introduction of certain harm mitigation measures, including greater facilitation of access to humanitarian aid, greater care in targeting decisions, and a tougher line on settler violence. By contrast, on the Palestinian side, it is quite unlikely that the possibility of ICC charges will change the calculus with regard to ongoing military operations, given the fundamental incompatibility of the Hamas fighting strategy with IHL, and given the fact that the Hamas leadership is already deeply implicated in the serious international crimes committed on October 7.

Argument

Introduction

The current conflagration of the armed conflict between Israel and Hamas erupted after the massacre that Hamas forces perpetrated inside Israeli territory on October 7, 2023. Some 1200 Israelis, mostly civilians, were killed on that day; 240 Israelis and foreign national were taken hostage and abducted into Gaza, and many other civilians were injured and subject to sexual assault. The Prime Minister of Israel announced on the evening of October 7 that Israel is in a state of war with Hamas.1 The following months saw an intensive military campaign launched by Israel in Gaza with the stated aim of destroying Hamas’s military and governance capacity and releasing the hostages Hamas holds. It has been reported by Hamas that more than 25,000 Palestinians have died as a result of Israeli attacks, the majority of whom are women and children2 (Israel claims to have killed so far some 9000 Hamas fighters; Palestinian casualty figures do not distinguish between civilians and combatants.)3

Palestinian sources and a number of international observers have accused Israel of committing, among other things, indiscriminate attacks, mass displacement, collective punishment, and imposing an unlawful siege, which involves the use of starvation as a method of war.4 Palestinian and Pro-Palestinian speakers have further claimed that the Israeli military campaign violated international criminal law, including prohibitions against war crimes, crimes against humanity, and genocide.5 Israel has denied these allegations, claiming that it is fighting pursuant to the laws of armed conflict, and that high numbers of civilian casualties were the result of Hamas’s unlawful war tactics—e.g., fighting from tunnels located within urban areas, often below sensitive civilian locations, extensively using civilians as human shields, and stealing and hoarding aid shipments intended for the uninvolved civilians in Gaza.6 Some of the allegations against Israel have been cited by South Africa in its application to the International Court of Justice (ICJ), alleging violations by Israel of the Genocide Convention.7 Israel has denied these allegations too.8

The ICJ is, however, not the only international court examining the potential international law violations which have occurred during the war in Gaza. The ICC has also been active in this regard, and there are high expectations that it will take concrete action in this case. The involvement of the ICC in the Gaza war takes place against the backdrop of an earlier referral of the Palestine situation to the Court by the State of Palestine, which acceded to the Rome Statute in 2015 and has authorized the Court to investigate violations of the Statute that occurred after 2014 (in the context of a previous round of violent clashes—Operation “Protective Edge”).9 On the basis of this referral, the previous Prosecutor, Fatou Bensouda, in 2021 opened an investigation of the Palestine situation,10 after obtaining a ruling from the Pre-Trial Chamber on the existence of territorial jurisdiction.11 The involvement of the ICC in the current war between Israel and Hamas also take place against the expectations generated by the precedent of quick real-time intervention established by the OTP in the Russia–Ukraine war.12

Argument Continued

Following the massacre of October 7 and the massive military response by Israel, the current Prosecutor, Karim Khan, visited the Rafah crossing. On October 30, he issued from Cairo a detailed statement on the situation.13 In this statement, Khan indicated that the atrocities committed on October 7 and the continued holding of Israeli hostages could amount to serious violation of IHL that “cannot go uninvestigated and they cannot go unpunished,” that the use of indiscriminate rockets by Hamas is illegal under international law and that, for the ICC, “jurisdiction continues over any Rome Statute crimes committed by Palestinian nationals or the nationals of any state parties on Israeli territory.” With respect to the conduct of the IDF, Khan made in his Cairo statement the following comments:

Israel has a professional and well-trained military. They have, I know, military advocate generals and a system that is intended to ensure their compliance with international humanitarian law. They have lawyers advising on targeting decisions, and they will be under no misapprehension as to their obligations, or that they must be able to account for their actions. They will need to demonstrate that any attack, any attack that impacts innocent civilians or protected objects, must be conducted in accordance with the laws and customs of war, in accordance with the laws of armed conflict.

He also added the following remarks with respect to potential crimes committed by Israeli settlers in the West Bank:

I’m also extremely concerned with the spike, the increase, in the number of reported incidents of attacks by Israeli settlers against Palestinian civilians in the West Bank. We will investigate these attacks and all further attacks must cease immediately.

In addition, Khan paid specific attention in his comments to the precarious humanitarian aid situation in the Gaza Strip and to its legal implications for both parties to the armed conflict:

Impeding relief supplies as provided by the Geneva Conventions may constitute a crime within the Court’s jurisdiction. I want to underline clearly to Israel that there must be discernible efforts, without further delay, to make sure civilians receive basic food, medicine, anaesthetics, morphine […] And in the same way, I underline to Hamas and anybody who has control in Gaza, that when Inshallah, such aid reaches Gaza, it’s imperative that the assistance gets to the civilian population, and is not misused or diverted away from them.

Finally, he called on state parties, CSOs, and individuals to cooperate with his investigation and share with the OTP evidence relating to criminal allegations.

Two developments in the investigation, which occurred after Khan’s Cairo statement, are particularly noteworthy. First, a number of state parties have referred the Palestine situation to the Court. (To date, South Africa, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Comoros, Djibouti, Chile, and Mexico have made referrals to this effect.) Although such situation referrals have limited practical significance with respect to a pending investigation, they are indicative of the strong political interest in this ICC investigation of the Palestine situation in general, and the war in Gaza in particular. (Note that this development mirrors the more than forty referrals made in the Ukraine situation.) Second, on December 3, Khan visited some of the atrocity sites in Southern Israel and met with families of Israeli victims. He also met during the same visit Palestinian Authority officials in Ramallah and families of Palestinian victims. In his end of visit statement,14 he made the following observations concerning ICC jurisdiction over the crimes committed on October 7:

The attacks against innocent Israeli civilians on 7 October represent some of the most serious international crimes that shock the conscience of humanity, crimes which the ICC was established to address […] I also stand ready to engage with relevant national authorities in line with the principle of complementarity at the heart of the Rome Statute. Such engagement, like my visit, would be without prejudice to the position of Israel on jurisdiction, and as a non-State Party to the Rome Statute.

With respect to allegations made in connection with IDF measures taken in Gaza he added:

Credible allegations of crimes during the current conflict should be the subject of timely, independent examination and investigation.

And with regard to the legal responsibility for insufficient access to humanitarian aid, Khan insinuated that the OTP is ready to act:

As I have repeatedly emphasised, civilians must have access to basic food, water and desperately needed medical supplies, without further delay, and at pace and at scale. And when such aid arrives, it must not be diverted or misused by Hamas. I cannot be more clear about this. All actors must comply with international humanitarian law. If you do not do so, do not complain when my Office is required to act.

On settler violence he remarked that “we are continuing to investigate these incidents with focus and urgency.”

Finally, he indicated that the outcomes of investigation will be measured against the evidentiary standard the OTP follows in its operations—a realistic prospect of conviction:

My Office will further intensify its efforts to advance its investigations in relation to this situation. In this work, we will rely on the partnership of all actors to ensure that when action is taken by my Office it is done on the basis of objective, verifiable evidence which can stand scrutiny in the courtroom and ensure that when we do proceed we have a realistic prospect of conviction.

Effects of the ICC Intervention

Unlike previous rounds of violence between Israel and Hamas, in which ICC intervention was a mere remote possibility given the lack of an active investigation, and the question marks surrounding the Court’s jurisdiction over the territory of the “State of Palestine” (whose international status remains a matter of legal controversy), the current war is conducted under the long shadow of the ICC, whose Pre-Trial Chamber already established jurisdiction and whose Prosecutor already opened an active investigation. Furthermore, given the robust engagement of the Court in the Russia–Ukraine war and the arrest warrants issued against Putin and Lvova-Belova,15 there are strong expectations by different stakeholders that the Court would be similarly active in the Israel–Hamas war. Such expectations manifest themselves, inter alia, in the aforementioned referrals by Rome Statute member states of the Palestine situation to the Court, and in the commitment of resources by member states to facilitate the investigation (still, according to OTP policy, such additional resources would not be earmarked to the Palestine investigation but would assist, indirectly, in funding it).16 Several CSOs and international human rights law experts are also exercising strong public pressure on the OTP to expedite the Palestine investigation, and, in particular, to bring charges against Israeli officials.17

On the basis of the statements issued so far by the Prosecutor, it appears likely that certain top Hamas leaders might be prosecuted for their role in and responsibility for the October 7 massacre, the taking of hostages, and the indiscriminate firing of rockets at Israel. OTP investigations are also likely to examine, in connection with the current war, Israeli targeting decisions, its siege policy—which has been described by some critics as tantamount to a policy of starvation, if not worse (crimes against humanity or genocide)18—and settler violence taking place concurrently in the West Bank. However, whereas any investigations of Israeli-suspected crimes would need to await a complementarity determination of whether Israel is willing and able to employ its own legal procedures to the same acts, no similar procedures appear to exist in the case of crimes committed by Hamas. Such asymmetry in complementarity determinations could result in different timelines for requesting arrest warrants or issuing summons to appear for Israelis and Palestinians, which would, in turn, raise new allegations of pro-Israeli bias against the Prosecutor.19

In any event, the leverage held by the OTP against Israel appears to be much more significant than the one it hold vis-à-vis Hamas. Given the status of the latter as a proscribed terror organization in several key jurisdictions,20 its leaders—who are likely to be targeted by an ICC arrest warrant—already operate outside the framework of international law and without any legal immunity. They are therefore subject to a constant risk of arrest and trial (over and beyond the risk of being targeted by Israel Military). Given their designation as wanted terrorists, it is already quite unlikely that they would openly travel to ICC member states or to other states likely to surrender them to the ICC; nor is it likely that they will give up the unlawful modus operandi by which they conduct the war because of the threat of ICC proceedings. This is because acts of terrorism and violations of IHL, such as using human shields, play a central part in their strategy of conducting an asymmetric military conflict with Israel.

Unlike with regard to Hamas, the specific warnings issued by the Prosecutor to Israel on its need to explain controversial targeting decision, remove restrictions on access by Palestinian civilians to humanitarian aid, and prevent settler violence may create real deterrence—especially given the fact that the relevant measures and policies are developed and applied in an orderly decision-making process supervised by lawyers who assess legal risks, including ICC proceedings and other forms of legal scrutiny applied to the same measures and policies by other states (including the U.S. and other allies of Israel). ICC charges could reinforce any negative findings such a scrutiny would entail and complicate Israel’s ability to continue to rely on its international alliances.

Indeed, one may already see some reaction by Israel to the Prosecutor’s warnings (as well as to the criticism and pressure directed at it by other international actors): The IDF has provided some explanations regarding two of its most controversial bombing operations in Jabalya and Maghazi—insisting in one case on the high military value of the tunnel complex attacked and on that it was the unintended collapse of adjacent civilian buildings which resulted in significant collateral harm,21 and citing a mistake in the other case in selecting the correct attack weapon (this incident has been already referred to independent investigation).22 With respect to the humanitarian aid situation, Israel has moved away from the policy of “total siege” on Gaza it initially announced,23 to reopening one of the border crossings between Israel and Gaza (Kerem Shalom)24 and removing all quantitative restrictions on entry into Gaza of basic humanitarian provisions.25 Violence by extremist settlers has also been publicly condemned by Israel’s Minister of Defense and Prime Minister,26 and a few extremist settlers have also been put in administrative detention.27 Finally, one may note the recent statement issued jointly by the Attorney-General and State Attorney reminding members of the public that calls to harm uninvolved Palestinian civilians could constitute a criminal law offense of incitement, and noting that some incidents relating to the war are already being examined by their offices.28

It thus seems that, for the Israeli side, the involvement of the ICC—along with other forms of international pressure—do generate, in effect, a degree of deterrence and encourage the activation of domestic mechanisms of accountability (inter alia, in order to generate complementary under the Rome Statute). Such deterrence and accountability may have already led to the introduction of certain harm mitigation measures, including greater facilitation of access to humanitarian aid, greater care in targeting decisions, and a tougher line on settler violence. By contrast, on the Palestinian side, it is quite unlikely that the possibility of ICC charges will change the calculus with regard to ongoing military operations, given the fundamental incompatibility of the Hamas fighting strategy with IHL, and given the fact that the Hamas leadership is already deeply implicated in the serious international crimes committed on October 7. With regard to them, the possible effect of the ICC is in increasing, to some extent, the likelihood of apprehending them, or at least restricting their ability to move across borders. Finally, ICC proceedings might also provide victims—both Israeli and Palestinian—a legal venue in which the harms they suffered could be chronicled in an international public record, and condemned under international law in the name of a broad segment of the international community. This last measure of accountability could have broader implications, far beyond the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, contributing to the further development of international criminal law by the ICC.

Endnotes — (click the footnote reference number, or ↩ symbol, to return to location in text).

  1. 1.

    “We Are at War,” Netanyahu Says, After Hamas Launches Devastating Surprise Attack, Times of Israel, Oct. 7, 2023, available online.

  2. 2.

    Death Toll in Gaza Reaches Over 23,000 on 94th Day of Israeli Aggression, WAFA, Jan. 8, 2024, available online.

  3. 3.

    Emanuel Fabian, IDF Says It Has Killed More Than 9,000 Hamas Operatives in Gaza Since Start of War, Times of Israel, Jan. 14, 2024, available online.

  4. 4.

    See e.g., Press Release, S.C., SC/15473, Civilians in Gaza Must Not Be Collectively Punished for Atrocities Committed by Hamas, Speakers Tell Security Council, Urging Ceasefire (Oct. 30, 2023), available online.

  5. 5.

    See e.g., Jonathan Kuttab, The Case for Prosecuting Israel for Genocide in Gaza, Arab Center Wash. DC (Dec. 14, 2023), available online.

  6. 6.

    See e.g., Peter Beaumont, What Is a Human Shield and How Has Hamas Been Accused of Using Them?, The Guardian, Oct. 30, 2023, available online.

  7. 7.

    Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ, Application instituting proceedings and request for the indication of provisional measures (Dec. 29, 2023), available online.

  8. 8.

    See Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v. Israel), ICJ CR 2024/2, Verbatim Record, Israel’s Oral Argument (Jan. 12, 2024), available online, video.

  9. 9.

    State of Palestine, ASP (Jul. 23, 2019), available online (last visited Feb. 1, 2024).

  10. 10.

    Fatou Bensouda, ICC Prosecutor, Statement Respecting an Investigation of the Situation in Palestine (Mar. 3, 2021), available online.

  11. 11.

    Situation in the State of Palestine, ICC-01/18-143, Decision on the “Prosecution request pursuant to article 19(3) for a ruling on the Court’s territorial jurisdiction in Palestine,” (ICC PTC I, Feb. 5, 2021), available online.

  12. 12.

    See e.g., Yvonne Dutton & Milena Sterio, The War in Ukraine and the Legitimacy of the International Criminal Court, Just Security (Aug. 30, 2022), available online.

  13. 13.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement from Cairo on the Situation in the State of Palestine and Israel (Oct. 30, 2023), available online, video.

  14. 14.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement: “We Must Show That the Law Is There, on the Front Lines, and That It Is Capable of Protecting All” (Dec. 3, 2023), available online.

  15. 15.

    Karim A. A. Khan, ICC Prosecutor, Statement On the Issuance of Arrest Warrants Against President Vladimir Putin and Ms Maria Lvova-Belova (Mar. 17, 2023), available online.

  16. 16.

    See e.g., Belgium Provides 5m Funding to Investigate War Crimes in Israel and Palestine, Belga News Agency, Nov. 8, 2023, available online; Jane Matthews, Govt Announce Additional Funding for ICC as Sinn Féin Call for Israel’s Referral to the Court, The Journal, Nov. 14, 2023, available online; see also Ryan Goodman, How Best to Fund the International Criminal Court, Just Security (May 27, 2022), available online.

  17. 17.

    Mat Nashed & Zena Al Tahhan, “Alarming”: Palestinians Accuse ICC Prosecutor of Bias After Israel Visit, Al Jazeera, Dec. 9, 2023, available online; Open Letter to the Assembly of State Parties Regarding the ICC Office of the Prosecutor’s Engagement With the Situation in Palestine, TWAILR (Dec. 6, 2023), available online.

  18. 18.

    Press Release, OHCHR, Gaza: UN Experts Call on International Community to Prevent Genocide against the Palestinian People (Nov. 16, 2023), available online.

  19. 19.

    See e.g., Triestino Mariniello, The ICC Prosecutor’s Double Standards in the Time of an Unfolding Genocide, Opinio Juris (Jan. 3, 2024), available online.

  20. 20.

    Backgrounder: Hamas, ADL (Oct. 10, 2023), available online (last visited Feb. 1, 2024).

  21. 21.

    See e.g., Bel Trew & Josh Marcus, Israel Defends Strike on Jabalia Refugee Camp Thought to Have Killed Dozens, The Independent, Nov. 1, 2023, available online.

  22. 22.

    See e.g., Jack Khoury, Israeli Army Says It “Regrets” Civilian Deaths in Strike on Gaza’s Maghazi Refugee Camp, Haaretz, Dec. 29, 2023, available online.

  23. 23.

    Bel Trew, The Reality of Israel’s “Total Siege” on Gaza—Where Two Million Palestinians Are Trapped in a 25 Mile Stretch of Land, The Independent, Oct. 17, 2023, available online.

  24. 24.

    Gaza: UN Welcomes Kerem Shalom Border Crossing Announcement, UN News, Dec. 15, 2023, available online.

  25. 25.

    Debbie Mohnblatt, COGAT: Israel Can Increase Aid to Gaza, But UN Logistics Stand in the Way, The Media Line, Dec. 15, 2023, available online.

  26. 26.

    See e.g., Emily Rose, Israeli Defence Minister Condemns Settler Violence, Reuters, Dec. 5, 2023, available online; Tovah Lazaroff, Netanyahu Issues Rare Condemnation of Settler Violence, The Jerusalem Post, Nov. 9, 2023, available online.

  27. 27.

    Jeremy Sharon, Settler Put in Administrative Detention on Suspicion of Posing Threat to National Security, Times of Israel, Dec. 6, 2023, available online.

  28. 28.

    Israeli Ministry of Justice, LinkedIn (Jan. 10, 2024), available online.

  29. Suggested Citation for this Comment:

    Yuval Shany, Effects of the ICC Intervention in the 2023–2024 Israel–Hamas War, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas#Shany.

    Suggested Citation for this Issue Generally:

    What Should the ICC Do in Response to the Israel/Hamas Conflict?, ICC Forum (Feb. 22, 2024), available at https://iccforum.com/israel-and-hamas.